{"id":22984,"date":"2025-03-10T15:04:43","date_gmt":"2025-03-10T15:04:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=17480"},"modified":"2025-03-10T15:04:43","modified_gmt":"2025-03-10T15:04:43","slug":"week-ahead-trumps-tariff-uncertainty-stokes-market-focus-on-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/week_ahead\/week-ahead-trumps-tariff-uncertainty-stokes-market-focus-on-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"Week ahead: Trump&#8217;s tariff uncertainty stokes market focus on inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"536\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2026\/03\/33-14-1024x536.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17487\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This week, global markets will focus on key economic data releases, central bank decisions, and geopolitical developments. With inflation trends, employment reports, and monetary policy updates on the agenda, investors should prepare for potential volatility across equities, forex, and commodities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>KEY INDICATORS<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Monday, 10 March:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub><strong>Japan GDP (Q4 2024 Final Estimate)<\/strong> \u2013 A key indicator of Japan\u2019s economic health, impacting the JPY and regional markets.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub><strong>UK Industrial Production (January)<\/strong> \u2013 Provides insights into Britain\u2019s economic momentum.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tuesday, 11 March:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub><strong>US Inflation Report (February CPI) <\/strong>\u2013 A crucial release for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"Federal Reserve\">Federal Reserve<\/a> policy expectations. Markets will react strongly to any deviations from forecasts.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub><strong>Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Inde<\/strong>x \u2013 A leading indicator of economic confidence in the Eurozone\u2019s largest economy.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Thursday, 13 March:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub><strong>European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate Decision<\/strong> \u2013 The ECB\u2019s stance on inflation and future rate moves will be closely watched.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub><strong>US Producer Price Index (PPI, February) <\/strong>\u2013 Inflationary pressures at the wholesale level could influence Fed policy expectations.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2026\/03\/wmo_20250310_1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17481\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Asia-Pacific markets mixed after volatile trading week<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub>Asia-Pacific markets were mixed on Monday after a volatile trading week around the world.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>US stocks \u2014 which are expected to open lower on Monday \u2014 have been on a roller-coaster ride since the start of the month due to uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump\u2019s tariff policies, and their impact on the superpower\u2019s growth and inflation.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Japan\u2019s benchmark <a href=\"https:\/\/indexes.nikkei.co.jp\/en\/nkave\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"Nikkei 225\">Nikkei 225<\/a> led gains in Asia, rising 0.38% in choppy trade, to end the day at 37,028.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>The broader Topix index, meanwhile, fell 0.29% to close at 2,700, paring earlier gains.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>The country\u2019s cash earnings rose 2.8% year-on-year in January, slowing from December\u2019s revised 4.4% climb.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>South Korea\u2019s Kospi added 0.27%, to end the day at 2,570, while the small-cap Kosdaq fell 0.26% to 725.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Australia\u2019s S&amp;P\/ASX 200 rose 0.18% to end the day at 7,962, after closing at a six-month high in its previous session.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2026\/03\/wmo_20250310_2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17482\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Japanese yen bulls retain control amid bets for more BoJ rate hikes<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub>The Japanese yen continues to draw support from bets for more BoJ rate hikes.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>The narrowing US-Japan rate differential further benefits the lower-yielding JPY.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Expectations that the Fed will resume its rate-cutting cycle undermine the USD.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>The Japanese yen remains on the front foot against the USD amid divergent BoJ-Fed expectations.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>MARKET MOVERS<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>USD\/JPY<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2026\/03\/wmo_20250310_3-1024x622.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17483\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Potential short preference<br><\/strong>Short positions below 147.005 with targets at 146.699 &amp; 146.300 in extension.<br><strong>Alternative scenario<br><\/strong>Above 147.504 look for further upside with 147.795 &amp; 148.156 as targets.<br><strong>The RSI is bearish and calls for further decline.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>USD\/CAD<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2026\/03\/wmo_20250310_4-1024x622.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17484\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Potential short preference<br><\/strong>Short positions below 1.43595 with targets at 1.43423 &amp; 1.43157 in extension.<br><strong>Alternative scenario<br><\/strong>Above 1.43882 look for further upside with 1.44088 &amp; 1.44214 as targets.<br><strong>The RSI is mixed with a bearish bias.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Technical indicators<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2026\/03\/wmo_20250310_5.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17485\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Nasdaq 100<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2026\/03\/wmo_20250310_6-1024x621.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17486\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The short preference<br><\/strong>Short positions below 19860.54 with targets at 19742.88 &amp; 19614.90 in extension.<br><strong>Alternative scenario<br><\/strong>Above 20071.08 look for further upside with 20135.07 &amp; 20227.96 as targets.<br><strong>The RSI is mixed to bearish.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>NEWS HEADLINES<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>European markets reverse course to trade lower as volatility persists<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub>European markets were trading lower on Monday, erasing gains seen earlier in the session to continue the volatility seen in global markets last week.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>The pan-European <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.net\/indices\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Stoxx 600\">Stoxx 600<\/a> was 0.3% lower at 9:26 a.m. London time, with all major bourses in negative territory.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Germany\u2019s Dax was 0.5% lower, after edging higher during early morning deals.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>China bond yields jump to three-month highs as investors pare rate cut expectations<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub>China\u2019s sovereign bond yields hit their highest levels this year, as investors trimmed holdings on bets that additional fiscal spending will boost growth and push back interest rate cuts.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Yields on China\u2019s 10-year government bond, which moves inversely to prices, gained over 10 basis points on Monday to hit 1.865%, their highest level this year.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>The sell-off in bonds followed a rally in the Chinese offshore stock market, signalling a shift of liquidity toward riskier assets.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Yields on 30-year sovereign bonds climbed above the key psychological level of 2% to reach 2.030% on Monday, while yields on the one-year note also gained 10 basis points to hit 1.643%. By 1 p.m. in Beijing, yields had pared some gains.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Stock futures fall on Monday morning after S&amp;P 500&#8217;s worst week since September<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><sub>Stock futures moved lower on Monday morning ahead of a packed week of economic data, with investors smarting from losses in early March.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Futures for the S&amp;P 500 fell 0.42%.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.53%.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 144 points, or 0.34%.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>Last week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 3.10% for its worst weekly mark since September.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>The Dow fell 2.37%.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>The Nasdaq Composite shed 3.45%.<\/sub><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><sub>On the inflation front, the February consumer price index release is slated for Wednesday, followed by the producer price index on Thursday.<\/sub><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.net\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"here\">here<\/a> to open account and start trading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week, global markets will focus on key economic data releases, central bank decisions, and geopolitical developments. With inflation trends, employment reports, and monetary policy updates on the agenda, investors should prepare for potential volatility across equities, forex, and commodities. KEY INDICATORS Monday, 10 March: Tuesday, 11 March: Thursday, 13 March: Asia-Pacific markets mixed after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/week_ahead\/week-ahead-trumps-tariff-uncertainty-stokes-market-focus-on-inflation\/\" class=\"read-more\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17487,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22984","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-week_ahead"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22984","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22984"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22984\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17487"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22984"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22984"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22984"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}