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Monthly Archives: July 2026

Euro climbs as weak US payrolls soften Fed hike bets, pressuring dollar

Written on July 2, 2026 at 9:25 pm, by

Euro rises to nine-day high as weak US jobs data lowers Fed hike odds, pressuring dollar.

BoE’s Mann Flags Potential ‘Activist’ Move as Sticky Services Inflation Complicates Rate-Cut Bets

Written on July 2, 2026 at 8:57 pm, by

BoE’s Mann warns “activist” tightening may be needed if inflation expectations worsen; rates likely higher-for-longer amid sticky services inflation.

Thailand Enters 2Q26 Firmer as Exports Lift Outlook, Bank of Thailand Holds Rates at 1.00%

Written on July 2, 2026 at 8:55 pm, by

Thailand enters 2Q26 stronger on exports and tech investment; weak domestic demand keeps rates steady.

Sintra Signals Central Banks Pivot from Forward Guidance to Data-led Framework Guidance

Written on July 2, 2026 at 8:26 pm, by

Sintra signals central banks shifting from forward guidance to data-driven framework guidance using real-time AI monitoring.

US factory orders fall less than forecast, keeping Fed in holding pattern ahead of payrolls

Written on July 2, 2026 at 8:25 pm, by

May US factory orders fell 1.3%, beating forecasts; economy cooling not collapsing, focus shifts to payrolls, volatility.

Annual USMCA Reviews Through 2036 Keep Mexico Investment on Hold, Raising Peso Risk Premiums

Written on July 2, 2026 at 7:56 pm, by

Annual USMCA reviews until 2036 keep trade stable but prolong uncertainty, dampening Mexico investment, peso outlook.

RBNZ holds MPC at six before election as July rate decision looms after deadlock

Written on July 2, 2026 at 7:55 pm, by

RBNZ keeps MPC at six ahead of election; July decision uncertain as hawks push hikes, NZD volatility.

USD/CAD slips as weak US payrolls curb Fed hike bets; oil weakness caps loonie gains

Written on July 2, 2026 at 7:26 pm, by

USD/CAD fell to 1.4180 after weak US jobs data, lowering Fed hike odds; oil weakness capped CAD gains.

Canada Manufacturing PMI Holds Above 53, Supporting Bank of Canada’s Cautious Stance and CAD Bias

Written on July 2, 2026 at 7:25 pm, by

Canada’s manufacturing PMI rose to 53.0, signaling modest expansion, supporting CAD, TSX, and hawkish policy.

ECB Weighs Higher Minimum Reserves, Testing Eurozone Liquidity and Nudging Euribor-OIS Spreads Wider

Written on July 2, 2026 at 6:26 pm, by

ECB may raise minimum reserves, shifting balances to non‑remunerated accounts, tightening liquidity and widening Euribor‑€STR spreads.

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