{"id":60497,"date":"2026-08-26T06:12:04","date_gmt":"2026-08-26T06:12:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/uncategorized\/greenback-tests-key-99-zone-ahead-of-fed-inflation-data\/"},"modified":"2026-08-26T06:12:04","modified_gmt":"2026-08-26T06:12:04","slug":"greenback-tests-key-99-zone-ahead-of-fed-inflation-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/greenback-tests-key-99-zone-ahead-of-fed-inflation-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Greenback Tests Key 99 Zone Ahead of Fed Inflation Data"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-post-featured-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1408\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/08\/download-2-1.png\" class=\"attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"object-fit:cover;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/08\/download-2-1.png 1408w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/08\/download-2-1-300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/08\/download-2-1-1024x559.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/08\/download-2-1-768x419.png 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/08\/download-2-1-500x273.png 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/08\/download-2-1-400x218.png 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/08\/download-2-1-350x191.png 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/08\/download-2-1-200x109.png 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1408px) 100vw, 1408px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US dollar remained under pressure on Wednesday as markets stayed cautious ahead of key US inflation data and upcoming Federal Reserve communication. Traders are balancing expectations for future Fed policy adjustments against ongoing concerns around US fiscal conditions and broader demand for dollar assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key points<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USDX traded near <strong>98.89<\/strong>, close to a three-month low, as the dollar remained around its long-term trend indicator.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders are focused on upcoming <strong>US PCE inflation data<\/strong> and Fed communication for clues on the future path of interest rates.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>USDX is testing the <strong>98.99 200-day SMA<\/strong>, with <strong>99.50 resistance<\/strong> and <strong>98.50 support<\/strong> as key short-term levels.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why worth watching<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US dollar remains closely linked to expectations for Federal Reserve policy, making upcoming inflation data a key driver for USDX. The market is watching whether PCE inflation supports a more accommodative Fed outlook or keeps interest rates elevated for longer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Beyond inflation expectations, Treasury market movements are also influencing dollar sentiment. US 10-year Treasury futures have weakened in recent months, implying higher yields, but USDX has not strengthened alongside the move. This suggests rate support is being balanced by other factors, including changing Fed expectations and broader confidence in US assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For USDX, the immediate focus is whether price can reclaim the 200-day moving average or whether the recent decline from the July high continues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key trading levels<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/vt-markets-app\/?utm_source=&#038;utm_content=DMA\"><span class=\"blue-text\">USDX quote on VT,<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-symbol-overview.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"lineWidth\": 2,\n  \"lineType\": 0,\n  \"chartType\": \"area\",\n  \"showVolume\": false,\n  \"fontColor\": \"rgb(106, 109, 120)\",\n  \"gridLineColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.06)\",\n  \"volumeUpColor\": \"rgba(34, 171, 148, 0.5)\",\n  \"volumeDownColor\": \"rgba(247, 82, 95, 0.5)\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"widgetFontColor\": \"#DBDBDB\",\n  \"upColor\": \"#22ab94\",\n  \"downColor\": \"#f7525f\",\n  \"borderUpColor\": \"#22ab94\",\n  \"borderDownColor\": \"#f7525f\",\n  \"wickUpColor\": \"#22ab94\",\n  \"wickDownColor\": \"#f7525f\",\n  \"colorTheme\": \"dark\",\n  \"isTransparent\": false,\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"chartOnly\": false,\n  \"scalePosition\": \"right\",\n  \"scaleMode\": \"Normal\",\n  \"fontFamily\": \"-apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Trebuchet MS, Roboto, Ubuntu, sans-serif\",\n  \"valuesTracking\": \"1\",\n  \"changeMode\": \"price-and-percent\",\n  \"symbols\": [\n    [\n      \"VANTAGE:USDX|1D\"\n    ]\n  ],\n  \"dateRanges\": [\n    \"1d|1\",\n    \"1m|30\",\n    \"3m|60\",\n    \"12m|1D\",\n    \"60m|1W\",\n    \"all|1M\"\n  ],\n  \"fontSize\": \"10\",\n  \"headerFontSize\": \"medium\",\n  \"autosize\": true,\n  \"width\": \"100%\",\n  \"height\": \"100%\",\n  \"noTimeScale\": false,\n  \"hideDateRanges\": false,\n  \"hideMarketStatus\": false,\n  \"hideSymbolLogo\": false\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END --><br>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>At 101.55:<\/strong> Recent swing high and wider recovery reference<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>At 100.00:<\/strong> Psychological resistance<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>At 99.50:<\/strong> Short-term resistance<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>At 98.99:<\/strong> 200-day SMA and key decision zone<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>At 98.89:<\/strong> Current trade zone<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>At 98.50:<\/strong> Immediate support<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>At 98.00:<\/strong> Previous consolidation area<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>At 97.50:<\/strong> Wider downside reference<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>At 97.25:<\/strong> Recent low<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Technical analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/codeMzI4NGQ4OTg5OWQ1OGMyYjAyOTY1NWMxZjIzYjhlNmNfeDYxc3VCU1FsdG9KTlBSSkpPVm9ReXFJVmpyclRDVGdfVG9rZW46VlMxVGI3VmpKb0RERTJ4SGd4RWxZQWhUZ1BlXzE3ODc3MTgwNjM6MTc4NzcyMTY2M19WNAampadd_watermarktrueampscene_typeCCM.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>USDX<\/strong> is trading slightly below its <strong>200-day SMA at 98.99<\/strong>, placing the index at an important technical decision zone. The dollar recovered from the <strong>97.25 area<\/strong> earlier in the year before reaching a July high near <strong>101.55<\/strong>, but momentum weakened after the failed attempt to extend above that level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The recent decline has brought USDX back toward the 200-day moving average, where buyers and sellers are currently competing for control. A sustained move above <strong>99.00\u201399.20<\/strong> would suggest buyers are defending the long-term trend level, while continued weakness below the moving average would keep pressure on the broader structure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong>US10YR futures<\/strong> chart shows Treasury prices have moved lower in recent months, implying that US yields have risen. However, USDX has not responded with a similar recovery, showing that higher yields are being offset by other dollar drivers, including Fed expectations and market confidence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The immediate technical range sits between <strong>98.50 support and 99.50 resistance<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A move above <strong>99.50<\/strong> would improve the short-term structure and bring <strong>100.00<\/strong> back into focus. A break below <strong>98.50<\/strong> would weaken the setup and expose <strong>98.00<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Bullish scenario:<\/strong> USDX reclaims and holds above <strong>99.00\u201399.20<\/strong>, confirming buyers are defending the 200-day SMA. A sustained recovery could bring <strong>99.50<\/strong> and <strong>100.00<\/strong> into focus.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Bearish scenario:<\/strong> USDX fails to recover above the 200-day SMA and breaks below <strong>98.50<\/strong>. This would signal renewed selling pressure and could expose <strong>98.00<\/strong> followed by <strong>97.50<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>Disclaimer<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The price levels and trade scenarios above reflect the author\u2019s view at the time of writing and do not represent financial advice or an official recommendation from VT Markets. Traders should conduct their own analysis and manage risk carefully.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Next market drivers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Traders are watching the upcoming US PCE inflation report, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh\u2019s Jackson Hole speech, Treasury market movements and broader dollar sentiment. The market focus remains on whether inflation data changes expectations for future Fed policy decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trade USDX with VT Markets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX CFDs provide exposure to movements in the US dollar index, allowing traders to take a view on dollar strength or weakness without directly holding the underlying currency basket.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Because the dollar influences global markets, USDX is closely watched alongside interest rates, inflation expectations, commodities and major currency pairs. Traders can use market analysis tools to monitor price movements and key technical levels as dollar conditions change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Explore <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/indices\/?utm_source=DMA&amp;utm_content=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Index<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/learn-forex?utm_source=DMA&amp;utm_content=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Forex<\/a> CFDs with VT Markets<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Frequently Asked Questions<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><br>What is happening to DXY?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">DXY is consolidating near three-month lows as traders assess upcoming US PCE inflation data and Federal Reserve policy expectations. The market is monitoring whether incoming data changes expectations for future interest rate decisions, while the index remains near its 200-day moving average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What is the difference between DXY and USDX CFDs?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">DXY, also known as the US Dollar Index, is a benchmark that measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX CFDs allow traders to speculate on movements in the Dollar Index without directly owning the underlying index. This provides exposure to changes in dollar strength or weakness while using CFD trading tools.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Can I trade USDX CFDs with VT Markets?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yes. VT Markets offers USDX CFDs, allowing traders to monitor and trade movements linked to the US Dollar Index while using market analysis tools to track key drivers such as Federal Reserve expectations, inflation data, interest rates and currency market conditions. <a href=\"http:\/\/vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/?utm_source=DMA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Trade now<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USDX analysis: The US dollar index remains near three-month lows as traders assess upcoming PCE inflation data, Fed policy expectations and Treasury market signals, while the 200-day moving average becomes a key technical level.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":60496,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60497","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USDX analysis: The US dollar index remains near three-month lows as traders assess upcoming PCE inflation data, Fed policy expectations and Treasury market signals, while the 200-day moving average becomes a key technical level.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/greenback-tests-key-99-zone-ahead-of-fed-inflation-data\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.1\" \/>\n\n\t\t<script type=\"text\/javascript\"> (function(c,l,a,r,i,t,y){ c[a]=c[a]||function(){(c[a].q=c[a].q||[]).push(arguments)}; 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