{"id":60181,"date":"2026-08-18T10:12:03","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T10:12:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/uncategorized\/gold-slips-as-higher-treasury-yields-and-oil-weigh-on-prices\/"},"modified":"2026-08-18T10:12:03","modified_gmt":"2026-08-18T10:12:03","slug":"gold-slips-as-higher-treasury-yields-and-oil-weigh-on-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/gold-slips-as-higher-treasury-yields-and-oil-weigh-on-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold Slips as Higher Treasury Yields and Oil Weigh on Prices"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/image.png\" alt=\"Gold bar inside the glass box\" class=\"wp-image-60478\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Gold moved lower as rising US Treasury yields increased the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Spot gold was down <strong>0.58% at $4,391.05<\/strong> earlier in the session.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Markets still see roughly a <strong>65% probability of the Fed holding rates unchanged in September<\/strong>, limiting some of the pressure on gold.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders are now focused on the <strong>Federal Reserve\u2019s July meeting minutes<\/strong>, Treasury yields and oil prices for the next directional signal.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gold came under renewed pressure as firmer US Treasury yields and rising oil prices outweighed some of the support from reduced expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Gold prices fell on Tuesday, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar, rising Treasury yields and a sharp increase in oil prices, as investors awaited the minutes from the Federal Reserve\u2019s July meeting for further signals on the interest rate outlook.<br><br>As of 5:28 GMT, spot gold\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/GM2lHu2LeN\">pic.twitter.com\/GM2lHu2LeN<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Economy Middle East (@Economy_ME) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Economy_ME\/status\/2089596586611339426?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 18, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">XAUUSD is trading around <strong>$4,391.05<\/strong>, down roughly <strong>0.58%<\/strong>, after pulling back from a session high of <strong>$4,436.08<\/strong>. Meanwhile, December US gold futures slipped <strong>0.5% to $4,452.90<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The pullback reflects a shift in the immediate market balance. Lower Fed tightening expectations remain supportive for gold, but rising bond yields and energy-driven inflation concerns are creating fresh resistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Traders Are Watching Gold<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The key tension for XAUUSD is between <strong>easing Fed rate expectations and rising market yields<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The benchmark US 10-year Treasury yield climbed to around <strong>4.72%<\/strong>, increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold, which does not generate interest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oil is adding another layer of pressure. Brent crude rose above <strong>$91 per barrel<\/strong> as markets monitored rising geopolitical risks and potential impacts on energy supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Higher energy costs can reinforce inflation concerns and keep longer-term interest rates elevated, creating additional pressure on gold prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the same time, softer US employment, inflation and retail-sales data have reduced expectations for further Fed tightening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Jennifer Lee, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, predicts the Fed will hold interest rates steady this year before cutting rates in 2027. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is set to speak later this month at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/18TmvucUyu\">pic.twitter.com\/18TmvucUyu<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2089064696649224504?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 16, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Markets now assign roughly a <strong>65% probability that rates will remain unchanged in September<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That leaves gold caught between two opposing forces: softer Fed expectations on one side and firmer Treasury yields and oil prices on the other.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key Trading Levels<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN --><div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/GOLD\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">GOLD chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>  {  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,  \"calendar\": false,  \"details\": false,  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,  \"hide_legend\": false,  \"hide_volume\": false,  \"hotlist\": false,  \"interval\": \"D\",  \"locale\": \"en\",  \"save_image\": true,  \"style\": \"1\",  \"symbol\": \"TVC:GOLD\",  \"theme\": \"dark\",  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",  \"watchlist\": [],  \"withdateranges\": false,  \"compareSymbols\": [],  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",  \"studies\": [],  \"width\": 900,  \"height\": 500}  <\/script><\/div><!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Price Level<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>What Traders Are Watching<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$4,396<\/td><td>Recent intraday high and immediate resistance area<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$4,395<\/td><td>Short-term resistance after the latest rejection<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$4,391<\/td><td>Current trading area and near-term price reference<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$4,390<\/td><td>Initial support near the recent pullback low<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$4,388<\/td><td>Key short-term support if selling pressure continues<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">XAUUSD is trading around the <strong>$4,391 area<\/strong> after pulling back from the recent high near <strong>$4,396<\/strong>. The rejection from the upper range suggests short-term selling pressure has increased, with traders watching whether buyers can defend the <strong>$4,390 support zone<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A move above <strong>$4,395<\/strong> could signal renewed buying momentum and bring the <strong>$4,396 resistance area<\/strong> back into focus. On the downside, a break below <strong>$4,390<\/strong> could expose the <strong>$4,388 support level<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bullish and Bearish Setups<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/xauusd188-1024x473.webp\" alt=\"Gold Slips as Higher Treasury Yields and Oil Weigh on Prices\" class=\"wp-image-65468\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Setup<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Trigger<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Potential Market Reaction<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recovery Attempt<\/td><td>Hold above $4,390<\/td><td>XAUUSD may retest the $4,395\u2013$4,396 resistance zone<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bullish Breakout<\/td><td>Break above $4,396<\/td><td>Momentum could strengthen towards higher levels<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Range Consolidation<\/td><td>Hold between $4,390 and $4,396<\/td><td>Gold may remain range-bound as traders assess direction<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bearish Breakdown<\/td><td>Fall below $4,388<\/td><td>Selling pressure could increase towards lower support areas<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The bullish setup depends on XAUUSD maintaining support above <strong>$4,390<\/strong> and recovering towards the <strong>$4,395\u2013$4,396 resistance zone<\/strong>. A sustained move above <strong>$4,396<\/strong> could indicate renewed buying interest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The bearish scenario becomes more relevant if XAUUSD breaks below <strong>$4,388<\/strong>, which could signal weakening short-term momentum and expose further downside levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>Disclaimer<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The price levels and market scenarios above reflect an analytical view at the time of writing and do not represent financial advice or an official recommendation from VT Markets. Traders should conduct their own analysis and apply appropriate risk management.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trade Gold CFDs With VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gold remains sensitive to changes in Treasury yields, Fed expectations, the US dollar and geopolitical developments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">VT Markets provides access to <strong>XAUUSD CFDs<\/strong>, allowing traders to follow gold price movements without owning physical bullion. XAUUSD can be accessed through the VT Markets App, WebTrader, TradingView, MetaTrader 4 and MetaTrader 5, subject to jurisdiction and account availability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/xauusd247-3-1024x300.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-64053\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Start <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">trading gold<\/a> with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">VT Markets<\/a> today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Trade Gold as a CFD?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gold CFDs provide exposure to changes in the gold price without requiring physical ownership or storage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">XAUUSD can react quickly to central-bank decisions, inflation data, bond yields, currency movements and geopolitical events, making these drivers particularly relevant when monitoring short-term volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">VT Markets also provides access to XAUUSD alongside forex, indices, oil, shares, ETFs and other CFD markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What to Watch Next<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gold\u2019s next direction will depend largely on whether Fed signals can offset the pressure from rising Treasury yields and oil prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Key factors include:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Fed Meeting Minutes:<\/strong> The July meeting minutes are due Wednesday and could provide further clues on policymakers&#8217; views on inflation and interest rates.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Treasury Yields:<\/strong> Continued strength in the 10-year yield could keep pressure on non-yielding gold.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Oil Prices:<\/strong> Higher energy prices may reinforce inflation concerns and expectations for restrictive monetary policy.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>US-Iran Developments:<\/strong> Further escalation could affect both inflation expectations and safe-haven demand.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Fed Rate Expectations:<\/strong> Markets currently favour a September hold, but that pricing remains sensitive to incoming data.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>US Dollar:<\/strong> Any recovery in the dollar could add another headwind for XAUUSD.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From a technical perspective, traders are watching whether gold can recover above the <strong>$4,394 area<\/strong>, while <strong>$4,388.87<\/strong> remains the immediate short-term support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Frequently Asked Questions<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why is gold falling today?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gold is under pressure from rising US Treasury yields and firmer oil prices, which are increasing inflation concerns and the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What is XAUUSD trading at?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The attached chart shows XAUUSD trading around <strong>$4,391.05<\/strong>, down approximately <strong>0.58%<\/strong> during the session.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why are Treasury yields important for gold?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Higher Treasury yields increase the potential return available from interest-bearing assets, which can reduce the relative appeal of non-yielding gold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Are markets still expecting another Fed rate hike?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Current pricing indicates roughly a <strong>65% probability that the Fed holds rates unchanged in September<\/strong>, following weaker employment, inflation and retail-sales data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What gold levels are traders watching?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The immediate levels are <strong>$4,394.10<\/strong> resistance and <strong>$4,390.00<\/strong> support. Below that, <strong>$4,389.00<\/strong> is an important downside reference.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Points: Gold came under renewed pressure as firmer US Treasury yields and rising oil prices outweighed some of the support from reduced expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening. XAUUSD is trading around $4,391.05, down roughly 0.58%, after pulling back from a session high of $4,436.08. Meanwhile, December US gold futures slipped 0.5% to $4,452.90. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/gold-slips-as-higher-treasury-yields-and-oil-weigh-on-prices\/\" class=\"read-more\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":60180,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60181","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Key Points: Gold came under renewed pressure as firmer US Treasury yields and rising oil prices outweighed some of the support from reduced expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening. 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XAUUSD is trading around $4,391.05, down roughly 0.58%, after pulling back from a session high of $4,436.08. Meanwhile, December US gold futures slipped 0.5% to $4,452.90. 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XAUUSD is trading around $4,391.05, down roughly 0.58%, after pulling back from a session high of $4,436.08. Meanwhile, December US gold futures slipped 0.5% to $4,452.90. 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