{"id":60047,"date":"2026-08-15T11:54:19","date_gmt":"2026-08-15T11:54:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/uncategorized\/dollar-slips-as-rate-cut-bets-grow\/"},"modified":"2026-08-15T11:54:19","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T11:54:19","slug":"dollar-slips-as-rate-cut-bets-grow","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/dollar-slips-as-rate-cut-bets-grow\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Slips as Rate Cut Bets Grow"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Listen to the article here:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-audio\"><audio controls src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/16004.mp3\"><\/audio><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Key Points:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The DXY dollar index falls 0.1% to 105.992.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Markets now expect an 85% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The U.S. dollar weakened slightly, reflecting growing market bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut later this month. The dollar index (USDX) dropped as traders adjusted their expectations following Friday&#8217;s Non-Farm Payrolls report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-6-1024x444.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16005\" style=\"width:1450px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picture: USDX tests resistance at 106.02, with MACD supporting potential further gains, as seen on the <a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\" title=\"\">VT Markets app<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Looking at the chart, the USDX shows signs of a <strong>bullish short-term bias<\/strong>, with the price holding above recent support and trying to break through resistance. The <strong>MACD<\/strong> confirms this momentum, but traders should closely monitor key levels, particularly <strong>105.37<\/strong> for support and <strong>106.02<\/strong> for resistance<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Although the U.S. economy added 227,000 jobs in November and wages saw an uptick, the unexpected rise in the unemployment rate boosted the case for a rate cut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A resilient US economy and deepening geopolitical tensions around the world are making asset managers rethink their expectations for a weaker dollar <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/eYmLs9OvHN\">https:\/\/t.co\/eYmLs9OvHN<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/1866000369379168298?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 9, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Data suggests the labour market is cooling, providing room for the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points at its December 18 meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The market is now pricing in an 85% probability of the <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/cSR913MHED\">rate cut<\/a>, further dampening the dollar\u2019s appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This expectation shift is forecasted to contribute to a softer dollar, even as investors turn to safe-haven assets in response to global political unrest, particularly the escalating tensions in the Middle East and other regions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">What&#39;s next for Syria?<br><br>The fall of Bashar Al-Assad is putting the world on watch for more chaos in the Middle East <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PwRUQHpfv2\">https:\/\/t.co\/PwRUQHpfv2<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/1866024498979323967?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 9, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The dollar may struggle to maintain strength as rate cuts reduce its yield advantage over other currencies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As traders continue to weigh the implications of the Fed&#8217;s policy direction, the dollar could face <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hfQQ3Zu0XT\">further pressure<\/a>, particularly if the inflation data released this week points to continued economic moderation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The currency\u2019s short-term trajectory will likely be shaped by both domestic economic indicators and geopolitical developments, with the next few days crucial for determining whether the dollar\u2019s downward trend continues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>See also: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/market_analysis\/week-ahead-rates-rebounds-revelations\/\">Week Ahead: Rates, Rebounds, Revelations<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Market participants are expected to turn their attention to the Fed\u2019s December meeting, with eyes on inflation data and further economic signals that may solidify the case for the anticipated rate cut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>\u00a0now.<\/strong><\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>\n\n<!-- vt-src:16004 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Investors turn cautious on the dollar as rate cut expectations rise following mixed U.S. jobs data and global tensions. &#8211; 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