{"id":60030,"date":"2026-08-15T11:50:51","date_gmt":"2026-08-15T11:50:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/uncategorized\/aud-edges-higher-as-u-s-dollar-rally-pauses\/"},"modified":"2026-08-15T11:50:51","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T11:50:51","slug":"aud-edges-higher-as-u-s-dollar-rally-pauses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/aud-edges-higher-as-u-s-dollar-rally-pauses\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD Edges Higher as U.S. Dollar Rally Pauses"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>AUD\/USD rose 0.2% to $0.6541, moving further from a three-month low of $0.6443; resistance stands at $0.6545 and $0.6630.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Market participants await pivotal consumer price index report due on 27 November.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Australian dollar managed to extend its rally into a fourth session on Wednesday, gaining ground as the U.S. dollar paused its recent ascent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The greenback&#8217;s momentum eased as traders awaited clarity on President-elect Donald Trump\u2019s cabinet choices and the likelihood of his proposed fiscal and tariff policies being implemented.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Trump\u2019s dramatic search for a Treasury secretary continues as he\u2019s scheduled to hold interviews Wednesday with former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh and Marc Rowan, according to people familiar with the matter <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/EV1Xg08e1w\">https:\/\/t.co\/EV1Xg08e1w<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/1859056009295069213?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 20, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>AUDUSD Finds Support Amid Hawkish RBA Outlook<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Australian dollar edged up 0.2% to $0.6529, consolidating after earlier gains and moving further from its recent low of $0.6448.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Resistance now lies at $0.6540 and $0.6600, with traders closely monitoring upcoming inflation data for October, which is expected to provide further directional cues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-33-1024x446.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15803\" style=\"width:1450px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picture: The AUD\/USD pair edges higher to 0.6529, supported by bullish momentum, with minor pullbacks near resistance, as seen on the <a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\" title=\"\">VT Markets app<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia\u2019s (RBA) last meeting revealed that the central bank remains vigilant about inflation risks, maintaining a <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CMfUIYi3HG\">hawkish tone compared to global peers<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, analysts at JPMorgan expect a dovish pivot in the coming months, with a potential rate cut in February contingent on economic data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Market expectations reflect this uncertainty, with only a 37% probability of a rate cut in February and a stronger 58% chance of easing by April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The consumer price index report due on 27 November will be pivotal, with trimmed mean core inflation projected to hover near the upper end of the RBA\u2019s 2-3% target band.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>U.S. Dollar Pause<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The easing of the U.S. dollar rally, triggered by profit-taking and speculation over President-elect Trump\u2019s fiscal policies, has provided breathing room for the AUD and NZD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>See also: <\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/market_analysis\/week-ahead-inflation-dilemma-and-rate-cuts\/\">Week Ahead: Inflation Dilemma and Rate Cuts<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This pause in dollar strength offers support for both currencies, but further upside will depend on domestic data and central bank decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both currencies remain sensitive to shifts in global risk sentiment, <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Ua11cafhbH\">U.S. dollar movements<\/a>, and local economic data, making the coming weeks crucial for their trajectories.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>&nbsp;now.<\/strong><\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>\n\n<!-- vt-src:15802 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD extends gains amid a softer U.S. dollar, supported by steady central bank outlooks and cautious market sentiment. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60030","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"AUD extends gains amid a softer U.S. dollar, supported by steady central bank outlooks and cautious market sentiment. - vtmarkets.com\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/aud-edges-higher-as-u-s-dollar-rally-pauses\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.1\" \/>\n\n\t\t<script type=\"text\/javascript\"> (function(c,l,a,r,i,t,y){ c[a]=c[a]||function(){(c[a].q=c[a].q||[]).push(arguments)}; 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