{"id":59957,"date":"2026-08-15T11:38:03","date_gmt":"2026-08-15T11:38:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/uncategorized\/rupee-near-record-low-equities-under-pressure\/"},"modified":"2026-08-15T11:38:03","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T11:38:03","slug":"rupee-near-record-low-equities-under-pressure","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/rupee-near-record-low-equities-under-pressure\/","title":{"rendered":"Rupee Near Record Low, Equities Under Pressure"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The rupee is trading at 84.07 against the U.S. dollar, just shy of its all-time low of 84.0750.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Foreign investors have sold $8.4 billion worth of Indian stocks in October, marking the highest monthly outflows since 2002.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The rupee traded at 84.07 to the U.S. dollar by mid-morning on Friday, staying near its record low of 84.0750, which it hit earlier in the week. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The currency has struggled despite strength in other Asian currencies like the Philippine peso, which gained 0.3%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Local outflows from the Indian equity markets, driven by foreign portfolio investors, have kept the rupee under pressure.<br><br><strong>See also: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/indian-rupee-hits-record-low-amid-dollar-demand\/\">Indian Rupee Hits Record Low Amid Dollar Demand<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This month alone, foreign investors have sold $8.4 billion in local stocks, on track to be the largest outflows since at least 2002. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As a result, the BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 indices were both down 0.5%, extending their losing streak to a fourth consecutive session.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-36-1024x468.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15415\" style=\"width:1317px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>See: USD\/INR is consolidating around 84.18 with low momentum after peaking at 84.265 on the <a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\">VT Markets app<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Dollar Demand Weighs on Rupee, but State Bank Sales Offer Support<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dollar bids from foreign banks, related to custodial outflows, alongside oil companies\u2019 demand for dollars, are key factors contributing to the rupee\u2019s weakness. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, traders pointed out that mild dollar sales from state-run banks, likely under the Reserve Bank of India\u2019s guidance, helped limit the rupee&#8217;s fall below its all-time low.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Strong U.S. Retail Sales Boost Dollar and Support Moderate Fed Rate Cut Outlook<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meanwhile, U.S. retail sales data released on Thursday surpassed expectations, showing a 0.4% increase compared to the forecasted 0.3%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jobless claims also dropped, supporting the view that the Federal Reserve may only cut rates by 25 basis points in November rather than a more aggressive 50 bps. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This stronger-than-expected data lifted the U.S. dollar to an 11-week high of 103.87, while U.S. bond yields also rose, reinforcing demand for the greenback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Dollar jumps as strong US retail sales ease recession fears \u2013 business live <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/oiVzjxPjJ9\">https:\/\/t.co\/oiVzjxPjJ9<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Guardian news (@guardiannews) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/guardiannews\/status\/1824089181607665898?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 15, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The dollar&#8217;s recovery, however, may not have much room to run. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The dollar index\u2019s strength appears overstretched and with U.S. bond yields stalling near 4%, the index could fall back to around 102. Should this scenario unfold, it could offer some relief to the rupee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The near-term outlook for the rupee remains cautious, with continued pressure from equity outflows and the stronger dollar. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If foreign selling of Indian equities persists, we could see the rupee test or even break below its record low, unless the RBI steps in with further intervention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Start trading now \u2014 click <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\"><strong>here<\/strong><\/a><strong> to create your live VT Markets account.<\/strong><\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>\n\n<!-- vt-src:15414 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rupee trades at 84.07 near record low as foreign investors sell $8.4B in Indian stocks, keeping equities under pressure. &#8211; 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