{"id":59950,"date":"2026-08-15T11:36:25","date_gmt":"2026-08-15T11:36:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/uncategorized\/dollar-rises-china-stimulus-shifts-fed-outlook\/"},"modified":"2026-08-15T11:36:25","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T11:36:25","slug":"dollar-rises-china-stimulus-shifts-fed-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/dollar-rises-china-stimulus-shifts-fed-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Rises, China Stimulus Shifts Fed Outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The dollar index rose, reflecting shifting bets on Fed rate cuts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fed commentary and U.S. retail sales data later this week will guide sentiment.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The dollar\u2019s strength reflects reduced expectations for deeper rate cuts after last week\u2019s U.S. economic data showed inflation rising slightly above forecasts, though jobless claims also climbed to <strong>258,000.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Dollar extends gains while investors parse China&#39;s stimulus plans <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/rWJ5UUBdCh\">https:\/\/t.co\/rWJ5UUBdCh<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2xkn6W14cE\">pic.twitter.com\/2xkn6W14cE<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/1845634392007307584?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 14, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fed Governor Christopher Waller, speaking later today, may offer further insights, particularly as his recent remarks suggested support for rate reductions to combat slowing inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-19-1024x449.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15357\" style=\"width:1450px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picture: US Dollar Index climbs to 102.805, with bullish momentum building as it tests resistance near 102.945 amidst shifting Fed policy expectations, as seen on the <\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\">VT Markets app<\/a><\/em><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong>US Dollar Index (USDX)<\/strong> closed at <strong>102.805<\/strong>, posting a modest increase of <strong>0.15%<\/strong> during the session.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The price oscillated between <strong>102.685<\/strong> and <strong>102.870<\/strong>, showing limited but steady upward momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The MACD (12, 26, 9) is now in positive territory, with the MACD line trending above the signal line and positive histogram bars expanding, signalling improving bullish sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The price has risen above key moving averages (5, 10, and 30-period), confirming a bullish alignment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These technical indicators suggest the USDX may maintain upward pressure soon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A key level to watch is <strong>102.945<\/strong>, the session\u2019s high, which acts as short-term resistance. A breakout above this level could open the door to further gains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the downside, <strong>102.435<\/strong> serves as critical support. A break below this level could signal a potential pullback, testing lower ranges around <strong>102.200<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Evolving Fed Policy and Geopolitical Risks Sustain Dollar Demand<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Recent market dynamics reflect improved sentiment toward the US dollar as traders weigh inflation data and evolving Federal Reserve policy expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Federal Reserve&#8217;s recent dovish signals, suggesting the tightening cycle may pause, have tempered some gains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>See also: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/dollar-surges-as-fed-outlook-stays-cautious\/\">Dollar Surges as Fed Outlook Stays Cautious | VT Markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, rising geopolitical risks and softening demand in risk assets could maintain demand for the US dollar as a safe-haven currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Start trading now \u2014 click <\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\">here<\/a><\/strong><strong> to create your live VT Markets account.<\/strong><\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>\n\n<!-- vt-src:15356 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar rose Monday due to weak Chinese stimulus. Traders shift focus to U.S. retail data and Fed cues. &#8211; vtmarkets.com <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-59950","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The U.S. dollar rose Monday due to weak Chinese stimulus. 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