{"id":59945,"date":"2026-08-15T11:35:27","date_gmt":"2026-08-15T11:35:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/uncategorized\/wheat-rises-on-global-production-concerns\/"},"modified":"2026-08-15T11:35:27","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T11:35:27","slug":"wheat-rises-on-global-production-concerns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/wheat-rises-on-global-production-concerns\/","title":{"rendered":"Wheat Rises as Dry Weather Impacts Global Crops"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Wheat prices increased 1.6%, supported by tightening production in key exporters.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Soybeans and corn saw minor gains as traders positioned ahead of a critical U.S. supply-demand report.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wheat prices continued their upward trajectory as concerns about dry weather affecting crops in major exporting regions took hold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The most active wheat contract on the Chicago Board of Trade rose 1.6% to $6.08-3\/4 per bushel, marking the highest price since October 3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Traders in the market noted that farmers were holding back on sales, with expectations of further price increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-17-1024x445.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15337\" style=\"width:1450px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picture: Wheat futures climb to 5.887, supported by bullish momentum and positive signals from moving averages and MACD, as seen on the <\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\">VT Markets app<\/a><\/em><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wheat futures closed at 5.887, reflecting an increase of 1.06% for the session. The price traded within a range, reaching a high of 5.894 and a low of 5.850. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From this chart, we can see the recent uptrend indicates growing bullish momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The price is currently above the key 5, 10, and 30-period moving averages, which are all aligned positively, suggesting continued upward momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The MACD (12, 26, 9) also supports this outlook, with the MACD line trending above the signal line and increasing positive histogram bars, pointing to strengthening momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Key support is visible around 5.791, a level previously tested during the session. On the upside, resistance is near 5.906, where the price met selling pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A break above this resistance could lead to further gains, while a failure to hold above support could signal a potential pullback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Weather Challenges Impact Key Exporters<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This price spike is supported by weather challenges faced by key exporters like Argentina and Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Rosario grains exchange revised its forecast for the 2024\/25 Argentine wheat harvest down to 19.5 million metric tons, a reduction from 20.5 million tons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In Russia, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/commodityinsights\/en\/market-insights\/latest-news\/agriculture\/100324-russian-wheat-price-hits-three-months-high-amid-drought-and-supply-cuts\"><strong>sowing rates<\/strong><\/a> have reached an 11-year low, with the Sovecon consultancy highlighting that this could impact the country\u2019s 2025 grain harvest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Russia, aiming to sow 20 million hectares with winter grain, has so far reached 13 million hectares, but dry conditions are hindering progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Exclusive: A bumper harvest and a hefty grain surplus in Iraq, typically one of the Middle East&#39;s biggest wheat importers, has left the government with the prospect of a net loss of nearly half a billion dollars, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@Reuters<\/a> calculations <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/BUgtI2aGzn\">https:\/\/t.co\/BUgtI2aGzn<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/1844433429066129713?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 10, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Looking ahead, traders may continue to focus on weather developments in key wheat-producing regions, and the USDA\u2019s report could shift sentiment around corn and soybean supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wheat prices may remain elevated if production issues persist, while any surprises in the USDA\u2019s data could prompt fresh movements in the soybean and corn markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Start trading now \u2014 click <\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\">here<\/a><\/strong><strong> to create your live VT Markets account.<\/strong><\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>\n\n<!-- vt-src:15336 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chicago wheat rose for a fourth session, driven by dry weather concerns, with focus shifting to the USDA supply-demand report. &#8211; vtmarkets.com <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-59945","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Chicago wheat rose for a fourth session, driven by dry weather concerns, with focus shifting to the USDA supply-demand report. - vtmarkets.com\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/wheat-rises-on-global-production-concerns\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.1.1\" \/>\n\n\t\t<script type=\"text\/javascript\"> (function(c,l,a,r,i,t,y){ c[a]=c[a]||function(){(c[a].q=c[a].q||[]).push(arguments)}; 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