{"id":59939,"date":"2026-08-15T11:34:01","date_gmt":"2026-08-15T11:34:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/uncategorized\/australian-dollar-sinks-as-china-stimulus-fades\/"},"modified":"2026-08-15T11:34:01","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T11:34:01","slug":"australian-dollar-sinks-as-china-stimulus-fades","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/australian-dollar-sinks-as-china-stimulus-fades\/","title":{"rendered":"Australian Dollar Sinks as China Stimulus Fades"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>AUDUSD fell 0.4% to $0.6716, continuing a five-session losing streak.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The kiwi hit a seven-week low, pressured by increased expectations of RBNZ rate cuts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Australian dollar extended its decline on Thursday, dropping 0.4% to $0.6716 amid weakening investor sentiment driven by the lack of fresh stimulus news from China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This marks the fifth straight session of losses, pushing the Aussie closer to its 200-day moving average of $0.6627.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Australian economy&#8217;s dependence on China has left the currency vulnerable as Chinese officials have yet to introduce substantial stimulus measures, leading to further declines in key commodity prices such as iron ore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-13-1024x454.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15321\" style=\"width:1449px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picture: AUD\/CNH consolidates near 4.7600, awaiting a breakout as traders eye key support and resistance levels, as seen on the <\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\">VT Markets app<\/a><\/em><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">AUD\/CNH closed at 4.76038, with a slight dip of 0.04% during the session, as the pair saw low volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Price action remained largely range-bound between a high of 4.76386 and a low of 4.75564, suggesting a lack of strong directional momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The moving averages (5, 10, and 30-period) are clustering tightly around the current price, reflecting consolidation without a clear bullish or bearish trend emerging.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The MACD (12, 26, 9) also signals indecision, with the MACD line crossing the signal line but with very little histogram movement, indicating weak momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Support is evident near 4.74063, while resistance is seen around 4.77326. A break below support could signal a further drop, while a move above resistance could point to renewed bullish strength.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Given the current technical indicators, the pair is likely to remain in this consolidation phase until a breakout from the current range occurs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Kiwi Feels the Heat<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The kiwi dollar also faces pressure, falling to a seven-week low of $0.6050 after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) introduced a 50 basis-point rate cut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Expectations are growing that the RBNZ might even introduce a 75 basis-point cut in November, which sent the NZD below the 200-day moving average of $0.6096.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>You might like: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/kiwi-hits-7-week-low-as-rbnz-eases-policy\/\">Kiwi Hits 7-Week Low as RBNZ Eases Policy<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The broader direction of both currencies hinges on the U.S. consumer inflation data due later today. A higher-than-expected CPI figure could dampen hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut in November.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Futures markets now imply just a 20% chance of the Fed maintaining rates next month, especially after a stronger-than-expected jobs report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Analysts, including Kyle Rodda<strong>,<\/strong> emphasise the U.S. dollar\u2019s resurgence, driven by economic outperformance and the fading prospects of Chinese fiscal stimulus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Aussie dollar near 2024 high as China cuts rates ahead of RBA <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/heRpLQGXag\">https:\/\/t.co\/heRpLQGXag<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zImKadk4x2\">pic.twitter.com\/zImKadk4x2<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/1838453339727507882?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 24, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Despite the Aussie\u2019s current struggles, analysts at HSBC remain optimistic, citing the currency\u2019s low valuation and expectations of coordinated fiscal and monetary policy support from China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">They argue that the true impact will come from sustained policy efforts rather than immediate results, keeping some hopes alive for a recovery in the Australian dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Start trading now \u2014 click <\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\">here<\/a><\/strong><strong> to create your live VT Markets account.<\/strong><\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>\n\n<!-- vt-src:15320 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Australian dollar continues its decline, weighed down by fading hopes of China\u2019s stimulus and strong U.S. economic data. &#8211; vtmarkets.com <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-59939","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Australian dollar continues its decline, weighed down by fading hopes of China\u2019s stimulus and strong U.S. economic data. - vtmarkets.com\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/australian-dollar-sinks-as-china-stimulus-fades\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.1\" \/>\n\n\t\t<script type=\"text\/javascript\"> (function(c,l,a,r,i,t,y){ c[a]=c[a]||function(){(c[a].q=c[a].q||[]).push(arguments)}; 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