{"id":59736,"date":"2026-08-15T10:58:38","date_gmt":"2026-08-15T10:58:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/uncategorized\/yen-poised-for-best-weekly-gain-in-three-months-as-carry-trades-unravel\/"},"modified":"2026-08-15T10:58:38","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T10:58:38","slug":"yen-poised-for-best-weekly-gain-in-three-months-as-carry-trades-unravel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/yen-poised-for-best-weekly-gain-in-three-months-as-carry-trades-unravel\/","title":{"rendered":"Yen poised for best weekly gain in three months as carry trades unravel"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The yen has surged 2.5% this week, marking its biggest weekly gain since late April-early May.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Investors shifted to safe assets, including the yen, amid a global stock sell-off and suspected Tokyo interventions.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The yen (USDJPY) dominated currency markets this month, climbing to a near three-month high of 151.945 per dollar on Thursday. This is a major shift from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/japanese-yen-nears-38-year-low-as-markets-eye-intervention-and-us-inflation-data\/\">its 38-year low<\/a> of 161.96 per dollar at the start of the month. By Friday, the yen was at 153.66, set for a 2.5% rise for the week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/USDJPY-VTMarkets-26July-1024x455.jpeg\" alt=\"The chart illustrates the daily price movement of the USDJPY-ECN currency pair. The trend is slightly negative at -0.01%, with an opening price of 153.921, closing at 153.913, a high of 154.141, and a low of 153.364. The moving averages (5, 10, 20, 30) indicate a recent downward trend, as the price has been declining. The MACD (26, 16, 9) histogram shows a negative trend, with the MACD line below the signal line, indicating bearish momentum. Trading volume has been increasing during the downtrend, suggesting high trading activity.\" class=\"wp-image-14349\" style=\"width:1450px;height:auto\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>See: Upside prevails for Japanese yen. Download the <a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">VT Markets app<\/a> now.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This large move follows <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/japan-likely-conducting-intervention-to-defend-the-yen\/\">suspected interventions by Tokyo in early July<\/a>, which led to an unwinding of profitable carry trades. Traders had borrowed the yen at low rates to invest in dollar-priced assets for higher returns. The interventions caught traders off guard, leading to a swift adjustment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The rapid yen rally suggests a potential for consolidation soon. However, with declining risk assets and data suggesting potential U.S. rate cuts, the yen could appreciate further.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Investors eye U.S. PCE data as Fed meeting loom<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Investor attention is now on U.S. personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data, the Federal Reserve&#8217;s favoured measure of inflation. The PCE data is expected to show a 0.1% monthly increase. The Fed meets next week and is expected to maintain current rates, but markets are fully pricing in a rate cut in September.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>BOJ may raise rates amid rising inflation and yen surge<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise rates next week, with markets pricing a 64% chance of a 10 basis point hike. Data showed core inflation in Japan&#8217;s capital accelerating for a third straight month in July, keeping expectations of a near-term interest rate hike alive. However, the yen&#8217;s surge might give the BOJ more time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The pressure on the BOJ to tighten policy has reduced. Nonetheless, the BOJ is still expected to announce details of their balance sheet reduction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Dollar index steady as euro gains slightly on strong U.S. economic data<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The dollar index (DXY), which measures the U.S. unit against six rivals, was little changed at 104.29. The euro (EURUSD) was slightly stronger at $1.08575. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/us-dollar-index-loses-strength-as-fed-rate-cut-expectations-grow\/\">dollar found support<\/a> after data showed the U.S. economy expanded faster than expected, with inflation slowing in the second quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The U.S. economy remains resilient even with restrictive interest rates. The first rate cut is expected in November, requiring a long string of lower inflation readings before easing rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Sterling edges higher amid Bank of England rate cut speculation<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sterling (GBPUSD) was 0.12% higher at $1.2865 but below the one-year high of $1.3044 hit last week. Traders are pricing a 50% chance of the <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/markets\/status\/1816691358058402129\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Bank of England cutting rates next week<\/a>, with markets anticipating 51 basis points of cuts this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Some of the UK price indicators the Bank of England is watching closely for signs of lingering inflation are flashing a green light for interest-rate reductions as soon as next week <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/VgegExyyCB\">https:\/\/t.co\/VgegExyyCB<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg Markets (@markets) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/markets\/status\/1816691358058402129?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 26, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Australian dollar (AUDUSD) and the New Zealand dollar (NZDUSD), seen as risk proxies, were down nearly 2% for the week. On Friday, both currencies were slightly higher, with the Aussie up 0.23% at $0.6552 and the kiwi up 0.13% at $0.5891.<strong><br><\/strong><strong><br><\/strong><strong>Start trading now \u2014 click <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\"><strong>here<\/strong><\/a><strong> to create your live VT Markets account.<\/strong><\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>\n\n<!-- vt-src:14348 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The yen (USDJPY) dominated currency markets this month, climbing to a near three-month high of 151.945 per dollar on Thursday. This is a major shift from its 38-year low of 161.96 per dollar at the start of the month. By Friday, the yen was at 153.66, set for a 2.5% rise for the week.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-59736","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The yen (USDJPY) dominated currency markets this month, climbing to a near three-month high of 151.945 per dollar on Thursday. This is a major shift from its 38-year low of 161.96 per dollar at the start of the month. 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By Friday, the yen was at 153.66, set for a 2.5% rise for the week.","inLanguage":"en-US","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/#website"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/yen-poised-for-best-weekly-gain-in-three-months-as-carry-trades-unravel\/#breadcrumblist"},"author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/author\/josephine\/#author"},"creator":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/author\/josephine\/#author"},"datePublished":"2026-08-15T10:58:38+00:00","dateModified":"2026-08-15T10:58:38+00:00"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/","name":"VT Markets","inLanguage":"en-US","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/#organization"}}]},"og:locale":"en_US","og:site_name":"VT Markets -","og:type":"article","og:title":"Yen poised for best weekly gain in three months as carry trades unravel - VT Markets","og:description":"The yen (USDJPY) dominated currency markets this month, climbing to a near three-month high of 151.945 per dollar on Thursday. This is a major shift from its 38-year low of 161.96 per dollar at the start of the month. By Friday, the yen was at 153.66, set for a 2.5% rise for the week.","og:url":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/yen-poised-for-best-weekly-gain-in-three-months-as-carry-trades-unravel\/","article:published_time":"2026-08-15T10:58:38+00:00","article:modified_time":"2026-08-15T10:58:38+00:00","article:publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vtmarketsglobal\/","twitter:card":"summary_large_image","twitter:site":"@vtmarketsglobal","twitter:title":"Yen poised for best weekly gain in three months as carry trades unravel - VT Markets","twitter:description":"The yen (USDJPY) dominated currency markets this month, climbing to a near three-month high of 151.945 per dollar on Thursday. This is a major shift from its 38-year low of 161.96 per dollar at the start of the month. By Friday, the yen was at 153.66, set for a 2.5% rise for the week.","twitter:creator":"@vtmarketsglobal"},"aioseo_meta_data":{"post_id":"59736","title":null,"description":null,"keywords":null,"keyphrases":null,"canonical_url":null,"og_title":null,"og_description":null,"og_object_type":"default","og_image_type":"default","og_image_custom_url":null,"og_image_custom_fields":null,"og_custom_image_width":null,"og_custom_image_height":null,"og_video":null,"og_custom_url":null,"og_article_section":null,"og_article_tags":null,"twitter_use_og":false,"twitter_card":"default","twitter_image_type":"default","twitter_image_custom_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_fields":null,"twitter_title":null,"twitter_description":null,"schema_type":null,"schema_type_options":null,"pillar_content":false,"robots_default":true,"robots_noindex":false,"robots_noarchive":false,"robots_nosnippet":false,"robots_nofollow":false,"robots_noimageindex":false,"robots_noodp":false,"robots_notranslate":false,"robots_max_snippet":null,"robots_max_videopreview":null,"robots_max_imagepreview":"none","tabs":null,"priority":null,"frequency":null,"local_seo":null,"created":"2026-08-15 10:58:39","updated":"2026-08-15 10:58:39"},"aioseo_breadcrumb":"<div class=\"aioseo-breadcrumbs\"><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\" title=\"Home\">Home<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/category\/analysis\/\" title=\"Today&apos;s Analysis\">Today's Analysis<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\tYen poised for best weekly gain in three months as carry trades unravel\n<\/span><\/div>","aioseo_breadcrumb_json":[{"label":"Home","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca"},{"label":"Today's Analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/category\/analysis\/"},{"label":"Yen poised for best weekly gain in three months as carry trades unravel","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/yen-poised-for-best-weekly-gain-in-three-months-as-carry-trades-unravel\/"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59736","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59736"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59736\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59736"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59736"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59736"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}