{"id":59580,"date":"2026-08-15T10:30:45","date_gmt":"2026-08-15T10:30:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/uncategorized\/wheat-prices-uncertain-following-weather-prediction-in-russia\/"},"modified":"2026-08-15T10:30:45","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T10:30:45","slug":"wheat-prices-uncertain-following-weather-prediction-in-russia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/wheat-prices-uncertain-following-weather-prediction-in-russia\/","title":{"rendered":"Wheat prices uncertain following weather prediction in Russia\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Chicago wheat futures fall to $6.84 due to potential rain in southern Russia and Ukraine.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A stronger US dollar pressures farm goods, making them more expensive for importers.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chicago wheat futures (Symbol: Wheat-C) declined to $6.84 after a surge to $7.20. This price level is the highest since July, driven by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/chicago-wheat-set-for-biggest-weekly-gain-in-a-month-on-global-crop-concerns\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">reduced harvest estimates in Russia<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Russian analysts recently cut their harvest forecasts by around 10 million metric tons due to adverse weather conditions, including dryness and spring frosts.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/dollar-strengthens-ahead-of-news-on-global-inflation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">strengthening of the US dollar<\/a> has added downward pressure on wheat prices, driving the commodity prices higher for international buyers in global markets. This currency dynamic has added the recent correction in wheat prices. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As the dollar appreciates, importers with other currencies face higher costs, potentially leading to a decrease in demand for US wheat and further influencing market sentiment.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Image-1-1-1024x504.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13517\" style=\"width:1450px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>SEE: The image above shows the movement in wheat prices, as observed on the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/au\/app\/vt-markets-online-trading\/id1372647263?mt=8\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">VT Markets app<\/a>.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Wheat prices change according to the weather<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The market is now assessing the potential impact of forecasted rain in southern Russia and Ukraine. While the rain could increase the harvest estimates, high temperatures may reduce its effectiveness in benefiting the crops.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Further, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/FarmPolicy\/status\/1795915577225015343\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">uncertainty about the Black Sea supply<\/a> is likely to prevent significant near-term declines in wheat prices. A dip is expected from July as northern hemisphere harvests increase grain supply.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">July <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/corn?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#corn<\/a>, July <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/soybeans?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#soybeans<\/a> and CBOT <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/wheat?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#wheat<\/a> futures all ended the day down on Wednesday. <br><br>&quot;Wheat was supported early in the day by ongoing production concerns in the Black Sea, but this is no longer fresh news and is losing its impact on futures.&quot;<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/AiHO3PI5rm\">https:\/\/t.co\/AiHO3PI5rm<\/a><\/p>&mdash; FarmPolicy (@FarmPolicy) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/FarmPolicy\/status\/1795915577225015343?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 29, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>India may start importing after six years<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Adding to the market dynamics, there are expectations that India <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/commodities\/india-set-wheat-imports-after-six-years-shore-up-reserves-2024-05-29\/#:~:text=NEW%20DELHI%2FMUMBAI%2C%20May%2029,elections%20removes%20a%20key%20hurdle.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"may begin wheat imports\">may begin wheat imports<\/a> after a six-year hiatus to replenish reserves and control prices. This potential move could support global wheat prices.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">India set for wheat imports after six years, to shore up reserves <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ZT8feqV5k2\">https:\/\/t.co\/ZT8feqV5k2<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/d8drrkMbz2\">pic.twitter.com\/d8drrkMbz2<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/1795798548065182016?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 29, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Commodity funds were net sellers of CBOT wheat on Wednesday, having recently reduced their short positions in all three contracts. This trend suggests a shift in market sentiment, influenced by planting progress and weather forecasts.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wheat prices may remain volatile as traders monitor weather developments in Russia and Ukraine. If rain forecasts materialise, prices could stabilise or decline slightly. Conversely, if the rain fails to benefit crops, prices might rebound. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Further, as northern hemisphere harvests begin in July, increased grain supply could lead to a more pronounced dip in wheat prices. Market participants should watch for updates on crop forecasts from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.igc.int\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"International Grains Council\">International Grains Council<\/a> and other agricultural bodies.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Create your live VT Markets account<\/strong><\/a><strong> and <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>start trading<\/strong><\/a><strong> now.<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>\n\n<!-- vt-src:13516 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wheat prices drop to $6.84 following forecasted rain in southern Russia and Ukraine. A stronger US dollar also pressures the demand of farm goods. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-59580","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Wheat prices drop to $6.84 following forecasted rain in southern Russia and Ukraine. 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A stronger US dollar also pressures the demand of farm goods.","og:url":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/wheat-prices-uncertain-following-weather-prediction-in-russia\/","article:published_time":"2026-08-15T10:30:45+00:00","article:modified_time":"2026-08-15T10:30:45+00:00","article:publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vtmarketsglobal\/","twitter:card":"summary_large_image","twitter:site":"@vtmarketsglobal","twitter:title":"Wheat prices uncertain following weather prediction in Russia - VT Markets","twitter:description":"Wheat prices drop to $6.84 following forecasted rain in southern Russia and Ukraine. A stronger US dollar also pressures the demand of farm goods.","twitter:creator":"@vtmarketsglobal"},"aioseo_meta_data":{"post_id":"59580","title":null,"description":null,"keywords":null,"keyphrases":null,"canonical_url":null,"og_title":null,"og_description":null,"og_object_type":"default","og_image_type":"default","og_image_custom_url":null,"og_image_custom_fields":null,"og_custom_image_width":null,"og_custom_image_height":null,"og_video":null,"og_custom_url":null,"og_article_section":null,"og_article_tags":null,"twitter_use_og":false,"twitter_card":"default","twitter_image_type":"default","twitter_image_custom_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_fields":null,"twitter_title":null,"twitter_description":null,"schema_type":null,"schema_type_options":null,"pillar_content":false,"robots_default":true,"robots_noindex":false,"robots_noarchive":false,"robots_nosnippet":false,"robots_nofollow":false,"robots_noimageindex":false,"robots_noodp":false,"robots_notranslate":false,"robots_max_snippet":null,"robots_max_videopreview":null,"robots_max_imagepreview":"none","tabs":null,"priority":null,"frequency":null,"local_seo":null,"created":"2026-08-15 10:30:45","updated":"2026-08-15 10:30:45"},"aioseo_breadcrumb":"<div class=\"aioseo-breadcrumbs\"><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\" title=\"Home\">Home<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/category\/analysis\/\" title=\"Today&apos;s Analysis\">Today's Analysis<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\tWheat prices uncertain following weather prediction in Russia \n<\/span><\/div>","aioseo_breadcrumb_json":[{"label":"Home","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca"},{"label":"Today's Analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/category\/analysis\/"},{"label":"Wheat prices uncertain following weather prediction in Russia\u00a0","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/wheat-prices-uncertain-following-weather-prediction-in-russia\/"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59580","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59580"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59580\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59580"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59580"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59580"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}