{"id":58676,"date":"2026-08-12T14:52:52","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T14:52:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/uncategorized\/us-dollar-holds-steady-as-july-cpi-looms-fed-hike-odds-ease-amid-iran-talks-uncertainty\/"},"modified":"2026-08-12T14:52:52","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T14:52:52","slug":"us-dollar-holds-steady-as-july-cpi-looms-fed-hike-odds-ease-amid-iran-talks-uncertainty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/live-updates\/us-dollar-holds-steady-as-july-cpi-looms-fed-hike-odds-ease-amid-iran-talks-uncertainty\/","title":{"rendered":"US dollar holds steady as July CPI looms, Fed hike odds ease amid Iran talks uncertainty"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The US dollar was rangebound ahead of July US CPI data due at 12:30 GMT. The US Dollar Index (DXY) was flat near 99.85 at the time of writing. Fed funds futures implied 50% odds of a 25bp September increase to a 3.75\u20134.00% target range, down from 75% at end-July, and the curve priced just over 40bp of cumulative tightening over the next 12 months.<\/p>\n\n<h3>US Inflation Data and Policy Expectations<\/h3>\n\n<p>Forecasts pointed to headline CPI rising 0.1% m\/m after -0.4% in June, while easing to 3.4% y\/y from 3.5%. Core CPI was seen up 0.2% m\/m versus 0.0% previously, with the annual rate slipping to 2.5% from 2.6%.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Upcoming Market Drivers and Geopolitical Developments<\/h3>\n\n<p>Markets were also set to take direction later in the week from July PPI figures due on Thursday, while Reuters cited an Iranian source saying Tehran and Washington were not discussing an extension of the ceasefire and that the US returning to an MoU, with a timetable for commitments, was among topics under discussion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/trade-now\/>here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>US dollar stayed rangebound near 99.85 as markets awaited July CPI, PPI, and shifting Fed odds.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":55882,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-58676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"US dollar stayed rangebound near 99.85 as markets awaited July CPI, PPI, and shifting Fed odds.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/live-updates\/us-dollar-holds-steady-as-july-cpi-looms-fed-hike-odds-ease-amid-iran-talks-uncertainty\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 4.9.10\" \/>\n\n\t\t<script type=\"text\/javascript\"> (function(c,l,a,r,i,t,y){ c[a]=c[a]||function(){(c[a].q=c[a].q||[]).push(arguments)}; 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