{"id":49877,"date":"2026-05-09T03:59:16","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T19:59:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/canada-sheds-18000-jobs-as-unemployment-hits-6-9-fuelling-bank-of-canada-rate-cut-bets\/"},"modified":"2026-05-09T03:59:16","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T19:59:16","slug":"canada-sheds-18000-jobs-as-unemployment-hits-6-9-fuelling-bank-of-canada-rate-cut-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/live-updates\/canada-sheds-18000-jobs-as-unemployment-hits-6-9-fuelling-bank-of-canada-rate-cut-bets\/","title":{"rendered":"Canada sheds 18,000 jobs as unemployment hits 6.9%, fuelling Bank of Canada rate-cut bets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Canada lost 18,000 jobs in April, taking total job losses in 2026 to 112,000. The unemployment rate rose to 6.9%, matching the level from April last year.<\/p>\n<p>Hours worked were broadly unchanged, while the labour force participation rate increased. The rise in unemployment was linked to weak hiring rather than an increase in layoffs.<\/p>\n<p>Permanent layoffs continued to fall in April and were 10% below their peak in October 2025. Unemployment also increased as more people left roles to look for new jobs, and as new entrants found it hard to get work.<\/p>\n<p>The report said domestic spending by consumers, businesses and governments is expected to support a gradual improvement in labour conditions later in the year. The article stated it was produced using an AI tool and reviewed by an editor.<\/p>\n<p>With Canada losing another 18,000 jobs in April, continuing the weak trend we&#8217;ve seen all year, the pressure is mounting on the Bank of Canada. The unemployment rate climbing to 6.9% gives the central bank a strong reason to consider an interest rate cut. As of this morning, futures markets are now pricing in a greater than 75% chance of a rate cut by the Bank&#8217;s July meeting, up from around 60% last week.<\/p>\n<p>This situation makes a bullish stance on the USD\/CAD currency pair attractive in the coming weeks. We saw a similar pattern during the central bank&#8217;s easing cycle back in 2015, where a dovish Bank of Canada led to a pronounced weakening of the loonie. Traders should consider buying call options on USD\/CAD to capitalize on a potentially lower Canadian dollar while managing risk.<\/p>\n<p>The outlook for the S&#038;P\/TSX 60 index is less clear, which points toward volatility-based trades. The fact that the rising unemployment is due to weak hiring, not a spike in layoffs, suggests the economy is slowing rather than collapsing. Given this uncertainty, buying straddles on major Canadian index ETFs could be a prudent way to play an expected increase in market choppiness.<\/p>\n<p>We anticipate that resilient consumer spending will eventually improve conditions later in the year, as expected. This longer-term view may favour rate-sensitive sectors like utilities and real estate investment trusts (REITs). Selling cash-secured puts on strong names in these sectors could be a way to generate income or enter positions at a more attractive price if the market sees a short-term dip.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Canada shed 18,000 jobs in April; unemployment rose to 6.9% amid weak hiring and higher participation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[46],"class_list":["post-49877","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates","tag-policy"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49877","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49877"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49877\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49877"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49877"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49877"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}