{"id":46307,"date":"2026-04-03T11:24:24","date_gmt":"2026-04-03T03:24:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/uobs-quek-ser-leang-sees-usd-sgd-drifting-towards-1-2760-short-term-yet-recovering-in-q2\/"},"modified":"2026-04-03T11:24:24","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T03:24:24","slug":"uobs-quek-ser-leang-sees-usd-sgd-drifting-towards-1-2760-short-term-yet-recovering-in-q2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/live-updates\/uobs-quek-ser-leang-sees-usd-sgd-drifting-towards-1-2760-short-term-yet-recovering-in-q2\/","title":{"rendered":"UOB\u2019s Quek Ser Leang sees USD\/SGD drifting towards 1.2760 short term, yet recovering in Q2"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/SGD is under near-term pressure towards 1.2760, while the broader setup still points to a recovery phase in the second quarter. Key support levels are 1.2660 and 1.2586, with resistance near the 55-week EMA around 1.2940.<\/p>\n<p>In early March, the pair moved above a minor declining weekly trendline near 1.2755, after the late-January low of 1.2586. Indicators cited include the weekly slow stochastic turning up from oversold levels.<\/p>\n<p>Any rise is expected to meet resistance at 1.2900, linked to a major declining weekly trendline, and at 1.2950, near the 55-week EMA. A recovery requires the pair to stay above 1.2586, with near-term support at 1.2660.<\/p>\n<p>The pair later moved above the major declining weekly trendline and reached 1.2929, close to the 55-week EMA at 1.2940, before dropping. A positive weekly MACD is also noted.<\/p>\n<p>Support is at the minor rising weekly trendline at 1.2760, with further support at 1.2660 and 1.2586. The 55-week EMA at 1.2939 remains resistance.<\/p>\n<p>The article states it was produced using an AI tool and checked by an editor.<\/p>\n<p>Looking back at the analysis from early 2025, we can see the forecast for a recovery in the second quarter was broadly correct, even with the noted short-term pressure. The resistance around the 1.2940 level did prove significant, capping the initial moves before a breakout later that year. This historical price action confirms that these key technical levels must be respected.<\/p>\n<p>As of early April 2026, the situation has evolved, with USD\/SGD consolidating after peaking near 1.3450 late last year. Recent US inflation data for March 2026 came in slightly below expectations at 2.9%, while Singapore&#8217;s Q1 GDP growth showed resilience at 3.1%, shifting short-term momentum. Given this backdrop, we see a parallel to the downside pressure noted in early 2025.<\/p>\n<p>For the coming weeks, traders could consider buying near-term put options with a strike around 1.3100 to hedge against or speculate on a drop towards the 1.3050 support level. The fading upward momentum is reminiscent of the conditions just before the &#8220;sudden plunge&#8221; we saw in March of 2025. This strategy offers a defined-risk way to position for a potential pullback.<\/p>\n<p>Considering the volatility observed last year, employing a long straddle strategy could be prudent if a major data release, like the upcoming US jobs report, is on the horizon. This involves buying both a call and a put option at the same strike price, profiting from a large price move in either direction. This approach is suitable for a market that seems poised for a breakout from its current tight range.<\/p>\n<p>For those with a more neutral to slightly bullish long-term view, selling out-of-the-money covered calls against existing long positions could be an effective strategy. Selling calls with a strike price near the old 1.3450 highs would generate income while the pair potentially trades sideways in the near term. This aligns with the idea that while a major reversal isn&#8217;t imminent, the strong upward trend has paused for now.<\/p>\n<p>The key support level identified in January 2025 was 1.2586; today, the equivalent line in the sand is closer to the 1.3000 psychological level. A decisive break below this would signal that the recovery phase that began last year is truly under threat. Therefore, setting stop-losses or alerts around this area is critical for risk management.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/SGD pressured toward 1.2760 support; broader Q2 recovery possible, with key supports 1.2660\/1.2586, resistance 1.2940.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46307","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46307","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46307"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46307\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46307"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46307"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46307"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}