{"id":39396,"date":"2026-01-17T01:44:21","date_gmt":"2026-01-16T17:44:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/in-november-canadas-investment-in-foreign-securities-rose-to-16-49-billion-recovering-from-a-deficit\/"},"modified":"2026-01-17T01:44:21","modified_gmt":"2026-01-16T17:44:21","slug":"in-november-canadas-investment-in-foreign-securities-rose-to-16-49-billion-recovering-from-a-deficit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/live-updates\/in-november-canadas-investment-in-foreign-securities-rose-to-16-49-billion-recovering-from-a-deficit\/","title":{"rendered":"In November, Canada\u2019s investment in foreign securities rose to $16.49 billion, recovering from a deficit"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>Role of Geopolitical Factors in Market Trends<\/h3>\n<p>Overall, geopolitical factors, market expectations, and central bank decisions play a substantial role in these market trends. An example is seen where easing Iran tensions allowed WTI oil to recover.<\/p>\n<p>In the crypto market, Bitcoin maintained its support above $95,000, despite reduced retail demand. Ethereum showed stable trading patterns, while XRP declined for the third day, affected by a weakening derivatives market.<\/p>\n<p>Upcoming economic events such as US PCE and Davos have the potential to impact global economic predictions. These events, coupled with other key economic indicators like BoJ meetings and UK CPI data, are closely monitored for future guidance.<\/p>\n<p>The massive C$16.49 billion move by Canadian investors into foreign securities in November 2025 signals a significant capital outflow. This trend suggests a weakening Canadian dollar, as investors must sell CAD to purchase foreign assets. We should consider this a bearish signal for the CAD against other major currencies, especially given that Statistics Canada confirmed this was the largest net purchase of foreign securities in over a year.<\/p>\n<p>This sentiment aligns with the ongoing strength of the US dollar, which has been capping rebounds in pairs like EUR\/USD and GBP\/USD. Recent data from December 2025, showing a solid 195,000 jobs added in the US, reinforces the case for a robust American economy. Therefore, positioning for further upside in USD\/CAD through call options or futures seems like a primary strategy.<\/p>\n<h3>Caution on the US Labor Market<\/h3>\n<p>However, we must remain cautious due to concerns about fragility in the US labor market voiced by Fed officials. The upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data will be a critical catalyst for the US dollar&#8217;s next move. After core PCE held at 3.4% in November 2025, another hot print could accelerate USD gains, while a soft number could reverse them quickly.<\/p>\n<p>Given this upcoming event risk, a direct bet might be too risky, so we should also look at volatility strategies. Using options to purchase straddles or strangles on USD\/CAD ahead of the PCE release could profit from a large price swing in either direction. We saw similar uncertainty around Fed policy in late 2024 lead to sharp moves that rewarded volatility traders.<\/p>\n<p>Beyond the dollar, we are watching the Japanese yen closely as USD\/JPY approaches the 158.00 level, triggering fears of intervention from Tokyo. This adds another layer of complexity, potentially creating safe-haven flows that could impact currency crosses. Any official action could cause a sudden spike in market-wide volatility.<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Canada boosts foreign investments; currency shifts, oil rebounds, and crypto steadies amid geopolitics and upcoming events.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":16959,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39396","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39396","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39396"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39396\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16959"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39396"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39396"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39396"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}