{"id":38260,"date":"2026-01-05T21:59:44","date_gmt":"2026-01-05T13:59:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/in-november-the-uks-m4-money-supply-yoy-increased-from-3-5-to-4-3\/"},"modified":"2026-01-05T21:59:44","modified_gmt":"2026-01-05T13:59:44","slug":"in-november-the-uks-m4-money-supply-yoy-increased-from-3-5-to-4-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/live-updates\/in-november-the-uks-m4-money-supply-yoy-increased-from-3-5-to-4-3\/","title":{"rendered":"In November, the UK&#8217;s M4 Money Supply (YoY) increased from 3.5% to 4.3%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The UK&#8217;s M4 money supply increased year-on-year from 3.5% in October to 4.3% in November. This reflects liquidity changes within the economy, impacting potential monetary policy adjustments.<\/p>\n<p>Gold remains above $4,400, driven by geopolitical tensions such as those from Venezuela. The commodity offers a stable investment amidst uncertainty.<\/p>\n<h3>Market Sentiment<\/h3>\n<p>The GBP\/JPY pair shows little movement, with yen support due to Bank of Japan (BOJ) comments. Market sentiment is cautious, influenced by geopolitical factors.<\/p>\n<p>USD\/CHF gains support from safe-haven flows, reacting to weaker Swiss economic data. The Swiss franc draws attention from those seeking stability.<\/p>\n<p>Inflation remains a concern, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari. This indicates ongoing challenges for monetary policy in the future.<\/p>\n<p>The December ISM Manufacturing PMI is projected to show continued contraction in US factory activity. This index is a critical measure of health in the manufacturing sector.<\/p>\n<h3>Advanced Economies in 2026<\/h3>\n<p>Forecasts indicate potential stronger performance for advanced economies in 2026. This follows anticipated resilience in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Meme coins like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe experience price gains. These changes are linked to reactions towards events in Venezuela.<\/p>\n<p>FXStreet lists top forex brokers in preparation for opportunity-driven markets in 2026. Traders are advised to consider evolving market dynamics. <\/p>\n<p>Overall, the economic environment is shaped by geopolitical, monetary policy, and emerging market trends. Remaining informed is key as new developments arise.<\/p>\n<p>We are seeing conflicting signals that point to rising market volatility in the coming weeks. On one hand, the Federal Reserve remains concerned about inflation, while on the other, key economic data like the US factory activity index is signaling a slowdown. This tension between a hawkish Fed and a weakening economy is a classic recipe for uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>In the United Kingdom, the recent jump in M4 money supply to 4.3% is a significant development. This surge in liquidity, happening while UK CPI in late 2025 hovered around 3.1%, puts pressure on the Bank of England to maintain its tight monetary policy. We should anticipate continued volatility in GBP currency pairs and look at options to trade potential swings in UK interest rate expectations.<\/p>\n<p>The US ISM Manufacturing PMI is expected to confirm a continued contraction, with recent readings in 2025 consistently below the 50-point mark that separates growth from decline. The December number, which came in at 48.2, confirms the 14th straight month of contraction we have seen in the sector. This weakness in the industrial economy contrasts sharply with the Fed\u2019s view that inflation, last printed at a stubborn 3.4% in November, is still too high.<\/p>\n<p>Geopolitical risks, particularly surrounding Venezuela, are driving significant safe-haven flows into assets like gold and the US dollar. We\u2019ve seen gold surge past $4,400, a level supported by the massive central bank gold purchases that exceeded 950 metric tons during 2025. This risk-off sentiment is also propping up the USD\/CHF pair, especially with Swiss economic data recently missing its targets.<\/p>\n<p>These safe-haven moves are creating speculative opportunities elsewhere, as evidenced by the rally in meme coins. While the GBP\/JPY pair remains in a tight range, the underlying tension from a hawkish Bank of England and a potentially interventionist Bank of Japan could lead to a sharp breakout. Derivative traders should be positioned for sudden spikes in volatility across multiple asset classes, as the current environment is fragile.<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UK money supply rises, gold stable amid tensions, inflation concerns persist, markets respond to evolving global dynamics.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":17026,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38260","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38260","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38260"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38260\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17026"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38260"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38260"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38260"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}