In November, Switzerland’s year-on-year producer and import prices rose to -1.6%, a slight increase from the previous -1.7%. This data point is part of the regular indicators used to assess economic conditions.<\/p>\n
Additional related articles include movements in currency pairs and commodity evaluations. For example, the EUR\/USD saw activity due to better-than-expected Eurozone factory output. Meanwhile, gold experienced a rise amid potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and increased safe-haven demand.<\/p>\n
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With Swiss producer prices still showing deflation at -1.6%, the Swiss National Bank remains under pressure to act. This negative inflation, a persistent issue for the Swiss economy throughout 2025, makes it difficult for the central bank to justify its franc’s current strength. We believe this increases the probability of another rate cut in the first quarter of 2026, so traders should consider options that would profit from a weaker franc.<\/p>\n
The rally in gold is directly tied to market expectations of a Federal Reserve pivot. Current Fed funds futures data from the CME Group shows the market is now pricing in an 85% probability of a rate cut by March 2026. This sentiment, driven by a string of softer US inflation and employment data over the past quarter, suggests the path of least resistance for the US dollar is lower.<\/p>\n
This environment is extremely bullish for precious metals, with silver now trading above $63.50. This price action is reminiscent of the sharp rally we witnessed in late 2023 when falling real yields acted as a powerful tailwind for non-yielding assets. We see continued upside, and long call options on gold and silver ETFs offer a way to capture this momentum while managing downside risk.<\/p>\n
A clear divergence is opening up between the Eurozone and the United Kingdom. The latest Eurostat release showed a surprising 0.7% month-over-month jump in industrial production, whereas the UK’s Office for National Statistics confirmed a 0.2% contraction in GDP for the third quarter. This fundamental weakness in the UK economy suggests the EUR\/GBP cross has further room to climb.<\/p>\n
As we head into the final weeks of the year, thin holiday liquidity could amplify market moves. We’ve seen historically that volatility can spike unexpectedly during this period, even on little news. Given the uncertain outlook and the market’s focus on central bank policy shifts, using derivatives to define risk, such as buying straddles on major currency pairs, is a prudent strategy.<\/p>\n
Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Swiss producer-import prices slightly improved; markets react to Eurozone data, gold rises on Fed rate cut hopes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":17028,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-36845","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36845","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36845"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36845\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17028"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36845"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36845"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36845"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}