{"id":36816,"date":"2025-12-15T13:57:48","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T05:57:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/industrial-production-in-china-for-november-registered-at-4-8-falling-short-of-the-5-forecast\/"},"modified":"2025-12-15T13:57:48","modified_gmt":"2025-12-15T05:57:48","slug":"industrial-production-in-china-for-november-registered-at-4-8-falling-short-of-the-5-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/live-updates\/industrial-production-in-china-for-november-registered-at-4-8-falling-short-of-the-5-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"Industrial production in China for November registered at 4.8%, falling short of the 5% forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s industrial production in November increased by 4.8% year-on-year, falling short of the anticipated 5% growth. This data suggests a slower pace of industrial growth than expected.<\/p>\n<p>Elsewhere, the market saw various developments. The GBP\/USD pair maintained stability above the mid-1.3300s, while gold continued its bullish momentum, reaching the $4,330 mark amid expectations of key US macroeconomic releases.<\/p>\n<h3>Cryptocurrency Market Developments<\/h3>\n<p>In the cryptocurrency sector, Solana&#8217;s price approached a potential breakout, with institutional interest driving nearly $1 billion in spot ETF inflows. Aave (AAVE) also showed potential for a breakout, trading above $204.<\/p>\n<p>The S&#038;P 500 advanced following a US Federal Reserve rate cut earlier in the week that was perceived as less aggressive, benefiting non-tech sectors of the market.<\/p>\n<p>Market participants are advised to conduct thorough research before making investment decisions due to the inherent risks and potential emotional distress involved. It is emphasised that neither FXStreet nor its authors provide personalised investment advice, and all information should be considered carefully.<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s industrial production growth for November came in at 4.8%, missing the 5% expectation and confirming a continued economic slowdown. This marks the third consecutive month of slowing growth, a trend that dampens the outlook for industrial commodities. We see this as a signal to consider buying put options on commodity-linked assets, such as Australian dollar futures or major mining stocks, to protect against further weakness.<\/p>\n<h3>Federal Reserve Rate Cut and Market Impact<\/h3>\n<p>The recent Federal Reserve rate cut has pushed the S&#038;P 500 higher, but this rally seems fragile given the underlying signs of a global slowdown. With the US 2-year yield sitting around 3.50%, derivatives markets are pricing in a 65% chance of another rate cut by March 2026, indicating the Fed is worried about growth. This environment suggests traders should prepare for higher volatility by purchasing VIX call options or using index option straddles to trade sharp moves in either direction.<\/p>\n<p>We are seeing a major split in the commodities market that traders can exploit. WTI crude oil is struggling to stay above $57 a barrel, reflecting the weak manufacturing data from China, while Gold has rallied to over $4,300 an ounce. This divergence points to a stagflationary environment, and a pair trade of long gold futures against short crude oil futures could be an effective way to play this theme in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n<p>In the currency markets, the Japanese Yen&#8217;s weakness remains a dominant factor, propping up pairs like AUD\/JPY even as Australian fundamentals face headwinds from China. The Bank of Japan&#8217;s commitment to its loose policy, reaffirmed during its November 2025 meeting, continues to weigh on the currency. Therefore, using options to build a bearish position on the Yen against a basket of currencies could offer opportunities, even as other markets slow down.<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s industrial growth slows; gold climbs, Solana nears breakout; S&#038;P 500 rises post Fed rate cut.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":17038,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-36816","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36816","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36816"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36816\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17038"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36816"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36816"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36816"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}