{"id":36566,"date":"2025-12-11T13:57:44","date_gmt":"2025-12-11T05:57:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/in-november-the-actual-rics-housing-price-balance-for-the-uk-was-16-outperforming-forecasts\/"},"modified":"2025-12-11T13:57:44","modified_gmt":"2025-12-11T05:57:44","slug":"in-november-the-actual-rics-housing-price-balance-for-the-uk-was-16-outperforming-forecasts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/live-updates\/in-november-the-actual-rics-housing-price-balance-for-the-uk-was-16-outperforming-forecasts\/","title":{"rendered":"In November, the actual RICS Housing Price Balance for the UK was -16%, outperforming forecasts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) released its Housing Price Balance for November, showing an outcome of -16%, which is more favourable than the anticipated -21%. This suggests a less pessimistic view of the housing market as fewer surveyors reported falling house prices compared to those citing increases.<\/p>\n<p>In other market news, the GBP\/USD rate weakened to approximately 1.3365 during the early European session. Additionally, the USD\/INR saw a substantial rise amid uncertainties over US-India trade talks, while the Japanese Yen lost ground against a rebounding US Dollar.<\/p>\n<h3>Major Currency Pairs and Gold Analysis<\/h3>\n<p>The EUR\/USD pair is trading near 1.1690 following a dovish rate cut by the Federal Reserve, and the GBP\/USD pair remains under pressure, trading near 1.3365, due to the US Dollar&#8217;s rebound. Gold prices retreated from a fresh weekly high, attributed to a positive risk tone and a modest bounce in the US Dollar, while Solana&#8217;s price fell below $130 following a hawkish Federal Reserve rate cut.<\/p>\n<p>The Federal Open Market Committee\u2019s latest projections show that interest rates will average 3.4% by the end of 2026. Meanwhile, Hyperliquid is trading over $28.00, recovering from $27.50, with continued market losses ahead of a Fed monetary policy decision.<\/p>\n<p>We are seeing the Pound soften ahead of the Bank of England&#8217;s expected rate cut next week. With UK inflation having recently cooled, similar to the trend we observed back in late 2023 when CPI fell to 3.9%, the market has largely priced in a 25 basis point reduction. This sets up a scenario where options strategies, like a long strangle on GBP\/USD, could be effective to trade a surprise announcement from the BoE.<\/p>\n<h3>UK Housing Survey and Trading Strategies<\/h3>\n<p>The surprise in the UK housing survey, showing a balance of -16% instead of the feared -21%, suggests pessimism in the property market may have peaked. This is reminiscent of the pattern from 2023, when the index began recovering from deeper lows of -67%, which historically supports domestic sectors. We should therefore consider buying call options on UK homebuilder stocks or the FTSE 250 index to position for a potential short-term bounce.<\/p>\n<p>The US Dollar is rebounding because the Federal Reserve, while cutting rates, signaled a much slower pace of easing ahead. The interest rate swaps market now implies just 50 basis points of cuts for all of 2026, a significant downgrade from the 100 basis points priced in only a month ago. This suggests selling short-dated call options on EUR\/USD could be a viable strategy to capitalize on this renewed dollar strength.<\/p>\n<p>We see Gold retreating from its weekly high near $4,250 as the dollar firms up and the Fed raises its GDP forecasts. This pullback may present a buying opportunity, given that the overarching global theme remains central bank easing, a lesson learned from the post-2008 period. Considering the record levels of central bank gold purchases we saw in 2022 and 2023, selling put options at lower strike prices could be a way to enter a long position at a more attractive level.<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UK housing decline eases; USD strengthens broadly, pressuring GBP and gold, while Solana dips below $130.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":17033,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-36566","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36566","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36566"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36566\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17033"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36566"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36566"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36566"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}