{"id":34828,"date":"2025-11-14T03:11:32","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T19:11:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/the-niesrs-three-month-gdp-estimate-for-the-uk-fell-from-5-294-to-0\/"},"modified":"2025-11-14T03:11:32","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T19:11:32","slug":"the-niesrs-three-month-gdp-estimate-for-the-uk-fell-from-5-294-to-0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/live-updates\/the-niesrs-three-month-gdp-estimate-for-the-uk-fell-from-5-294-to-0\/","title":{"rendered":"The NIESR&#8217;s three-month GDP estimate for the UK fell from 5.294% to 0%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The latest NIESR GDP estimate for the UK in October fell sharply from a previous high of 5.294% to a flat 0%. <\/p>\n<p>This shift suggests a halt in economic expansion as measured over a three-month period. <\/p>\n<h3>Market Movements<\/h3>\n<p>In related financial movements, the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced a drop of 600 points. <\/p>\n<p>Economic data from the Eurozone has become a focus, with traders preparing for upcoming US data releases.<\/p>\n<p>Currencies like GBP\/USD and gold have also faced market pressures. <\/p>\n<p>The GBP\/USD slipped below 1.3200, while EUR\/USD eased to below 1.1650. <\/p>\n<p>Gold fell to $4,150 per troy ounce, and Bitcoin saw little movement, stabilizing around $102,800. <\/p>\n<p>Ripple&#8217;s price fluctuated slightly below $2.50, influenced by positive cryptocurrency market sentiment. <\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, there is ongoing speculation about the Bank of Japan&#8217;s future interest rate changes as rates remain at 0.5%. <\/p>\n<h3>Insight and Analysis<\/h3>\n<p>Further insights can be found in FXStreet\u2019s daily newsletter and various market analyses provided by respecting legal terms and responsibility disclaimers.<\/p>\n<p>We are seeing a dramatic stall in the UK economy, with the latest three-month GDP growth estimate falling to zero. This abrupt slowdown, confirmed by the Office for National Statistics&#8217; recent report of a 0.2% monthly contraction in September 2025, signals that the Bank of England&#8217;s series of rate hikes has finally hit the brakes. The market will now price in a much more dovish BoE, making further interest rate increases this year highly unlikely.<\/p>\n<p>This shift should lead us to consider bearish positions on the Pound Sterling. While the US dollar is also showing weakness, the severity of the UK&#8217;s growth problem likely makes GBP the weaker currency. Derivative traders could look at buying puts on GBP\/USD or establishing short futures contracts, targeting levels below 1.3000 in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side of the Atlantic, caution from the Federal Reserve is dampening the US dollar&#8217;s appeal. The latest US CPI data released yesterday, November 12, 2025, showed inflation cooling to 2.8%, giving the Fed room to pause or even pivot. We see this reflected in fed funds futures, with the CME&#8217;s FedWatch Tool now implying a 70% chance of a rate cut by the March 2026 meeting.<\/p>\n<p>This environment of slowing global growth is creating fear, which we can see in the equity markets. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has jumped above 22, a level we haven&#8217;t seen since the banking stresses of early 2024. This suggests traders should consider buying protection, such as puts on the S&#038;P 500, or using options strategies that benefit from increased market swings.<\/p>\n<p>A clear divergence is appearing between the Bank of Japan and Western central banks. With the BoJ still considering its next rate hike from 0.5%, the Yen stands out as a potential safe-haven currency with a hawkish policy tailwind. This fundamental difference makes shorting USD\/JPY an attractive strategy, especially as the pair has already slipped in response to weakening US data.<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UK GDP stalls at 0%, Dow drops 600 points, GBP\/USD falls, gold declines, Bitcoin remains stable.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":17030,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34828","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34828"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34828\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17030"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34828"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34828"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34828"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}