{"id":34767,"date":"2025-11-13T13:11:38","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T05:11:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=34767"},"modified":"2025-11-13T13:11:38","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T05:11:38","slug":"dollar-index-steadies-as-shutdown-nears-end","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/dollar-index-steadies-as-shutdown-nears-end\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Index Steadies as Shutdown Nears End"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/Image_fx-2025-10-13T133508917-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-32046\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Dollar<\/strong><strong> Index (USDX)<\/strong> held near <strong>99.50<\/strong>, moving sideways after Congress approved a short-term funding bill to end the <strong>41-day<\/strong> shutdown.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Markets now price a <strong>60% probability<\/strong> of a <strong>25 bps Fed rate cut<\/strong> in December, down from <strong>67%<\/strong> a day earlier.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p>The dollar steadied around <strong>99.50<\/strong> on Thursday, consolidating recent moves as traders looked ahead to the formal end of the U.S. government shutdown. The <strong>House of Representatives\u2019 approval<\/strong> of a temporary funding measure, following the Senate\u2019s earlier vote, paves the way for <strong>President Donald Trump<\/strong> to sign the bill into law, allowing federal operations to resume within days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The House of Representatives on Wednesday night passed a short-term funding bill that will end the longest U.S. government shutdown in history.<br><br>The bill now heads to the desk of President Donald Trump to be signed into law. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zypeYrXfBR\">https:\/\/t.co\/zypeYrXfBR<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hxgQVG92BX\">pic.twitter.com\/hxgQVG92BX<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBC\/status\/1988780649021370801?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 13, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The reopening is expected to restore data flow from key agencies after six weeks of delays, though the <strong>White House<\/strong> cautioned that <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ggNruSwpIh\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">October\u2019s CPI and jobs report<\/a> may never be released due to incomplete survey coverage during the shutdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Market sentiment has improved modestly as fiscal uncertainty fades, though attention remains on upcoming data revisions that could influence the <strong>Federal Reserve\u2019s<\/strong> next policy decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Rate-Cut Odds Ease as Traders Reassess Fed Path<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Money markets now assign a <strong>60% chance<\/strong> of a <strong>quarter-point cut<\/strong> at the December meeting, down from <strong>67%<\/strong> on Wednesday. The repricing came as traders weighed signs of resilience in consumer demand against softer labour readings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Fed to cut rates again in December on weakening job market, say most economists: Reuters poll <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/pcB5iTjHuA\">https:\/\/t.co\/pcB5iTjHuA<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/pcB5iTjHuA\">https:\/\/t.co\/pcB5iTjHuA<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1988770089856827723?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 13, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Earlier this week, <strong>ADP data<\/strong> showed private employers shedding roughly <strong>11,250 jobs per week<\/strong> over the four weeks to October, underscoring a cooling trend in hiring but not enough to confirm a deep slowdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders will watch for fresh inflation data once normal government reporting resumes to confirm trend direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Dollar Index (USDX)<\/strong> trades near <strong>99.37<\/strong>, up <strong>0.03%<\/strong> intraday after bouncing from a session low of <strong>99.13<\/strong>. On the <strong>15-minute chart<\/strong>, price action remains range-bound between <strong>99.10<\/strong> and <strong>99.60<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/image-16-1024x450.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-34768\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Short-term moving averages (5, 10, 30) show mild consolidation, while the <strong>MACD<\/strong> histogram flattens around the zero line, suggesting equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Immediate resistance is located near <strong>99.60<\/strong>, followed by <strong>99.85<\/strong>, while support lies at <strong>99.10\u201399.00<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Cautious Forecast<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With the shutdown set to end and data releases expected to restart, the dollar may stabilise within the <strong>99.00\u201399.60<\/strong> corridor in the short term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If revived reports indicate stronger consumer inflation or steady wage growth, the <strong>USDX<\/strong> could retest the <strong>99.85<\/strong> region. Conversely, weaker data confirming labour softness may pull the index back toward <strong>99.10<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The broader outlook remains neutral to slightly bullish while the index holds above the <strong>99.00<\/strong> support base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login?_gl=1*5vyjdn*_gcl_au*Njc1MzM0NjY0LjE3NTEzNTM4MTc.*_ga*MjA5ODA0NDIzNC4xNzI3OTE1ODQ1*_ga_J26NL1ZVX7*czE3NTE4NzkxMDYkbzMwOCRnMSR0MTc1MTg3OTExOCRqNDgkbDAkaDA.*_ga_6XQ8153GYW*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzU3JGcxJHQxNzUxODc5MTE4JGo1MCRsMCRoMA..*_ga_BG6LYEHPX1*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMTgkajUwJGwwJGgw*_ga_J8BRGZSREX*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_7CG6454YR5*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_69Z54R4H9N*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_CY2VCKFC3C*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_TXZ07R2C21*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_17TMGY9BBE*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_MWDVVSEVL5*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_2QCC3S2748*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_E7D2PCX624*czE3NTE4NzkxMjYkbzUkZzAkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajYwJGwwJGgw*_ga_XJ4037XKK6*czE3NTE4NzkxMjYkbzUkZzAkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajYwJGwwJGgw*_ga_EJCVQDC7VT*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajQyJGwwJGgw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">start trading<\/a> now.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The dollar index hovered around 99.5 as markets anticipate US government reopening, traders scale back expectations of a December Fed rate cut. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":32046,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[9,11],"class_list":["post-34767","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-dollar","tag-indices"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":""},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34767","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34767"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34767\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32046"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34767"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34767"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34767"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}