{"id":33069,"date":"2025-10-24T11:06:50","date_gmt":"2025-10-24T03:06:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=33069"},"modified":"2025-10-24T11:06:50","modified_gmt":"2025-10-24T03:06:50","slug":"usdx-holds-ahead-of-key-u-s-inflation-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/usdx-holds-ahead-of-key-u-s-inflation-report\/","title":{"rendered":"USDX Holds Ahead of Key U.S. Inflation Report"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/image_fx_-2025-03-28T114103.832-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-19471\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>USDX<\/strong> rose <strong>0.10%<\/strong> to <strong>98.78<\/strong>, on track for a <strong>weekly gain<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders await <strong>CPI data<\/strong>, postponed due to the U.S. government shutdown.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Focus turns to the <strong>Trump\u2013Xi summit<\/strong> next week and upcoming <strong>Fed rate decision<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>U.S. dollar index<\/strong> stabilised just below the 99.00 level on Friday, supported by cautious sentiment ahead of the <strong>crucial U.S. inflation report<\/strong>, which could help determine the near-term direction for interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Data-starved bond traders risk seeing the October rally in Treasuries spoiled by the key inflation figures they\u2019ve been waiting for <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/5k0TDhSaW1\">https:\/\/t.co\/5k0TDhSaW1<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1981518679629005276?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 24, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The inflation report, delayed due to the <strong>ongoing government shutdown<\/strong>, is expected to confirm that price pressures remain sticky, though not strong enough to derail expectations of a <strong>rate cut at next week\u2019s Federal Reserve meeting<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Strategists at JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America expect the Federal Reserve to stop shrinking its roughly $6.6 trillion balance sheet this month, bringing an end process designed to remove liquidity from financial markets. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/D9tBzPeu4F\">https:\/\/t.co\/D9tBzPeu4F<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1981378220369834146?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 23, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>However, a hotter-than-anticipated reading could influence the <strong>December policy outlook<\/strong>, reducing the likelihood of further easing into year-end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Market Context<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Beyond U.S. data, traders also focused on geopolitics as the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/BVYKkJgft1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">White House confirmed the Trump\u2013Xi meeting<\/a><\/strong> scheduled for next week in South Korea. U.S. and Chinese trade negotiators are set to hold preparatory talks in <strong>Malaysia<\/strong> this weekend, potentially setting the tone for a breakthrough in tariff discussions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, the dollar was headed for its <strong>largest weekly advance against the yen<\/strong>, underpinned by rising <strong>expectations of fiscal stimulus in Japan<\/strong> following recent political developments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The yen slid after pro-stimulus Sanae Takaichi was elected prime minister in Japan, but ING FX strategist Francesco Pesole says her coalition may limit spending and the government won&#39;t want the Bank of Japan to delay hikes too long <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/D5RqwJ2BU4\">https:\/\/t.co\/D5RqwJ2BU4<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Hh3QHcDrDW\">pic.twitter.com\/Hh3QHcDrDW<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1980665380768215178?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 21, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>euro<\/strong> and <strong>pound<\/strong> also softened, with both currencies pressured by subdued risk appetite and diverging central bank paths.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>U.S. Dollar Index (USDX)<\/strong> edged higher to <strong>98.78<\/strong>, gaining <strong>0.10%<\/strong> as the greenback steadied following a week of mixed macroeconomic signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders remain cautious ahead of key U.S. inflation and consumer spending data, with the dollar drawing mild support from safe-haven demand amid lingering uncertainty over global growth and geopolitical tensions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From a <strong>technical perspective<\/strong>, the index is gradually recovering from its early October lows near <strong>95.82<\/strong>, maintaining a short-term upward bias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/1_image-35-1024x450.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33070\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Price action has stabilised above the <strong>30-day moving average<\/strong>, while the <strong>5- and 10-day MAs<\/strong> are showing early signs of convergence, an indication of building bullish momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the index continues to face stiff resistance near the <strong>99.00\u201399.20<\/strong> zone, where previous rallies stalled. A break above this range could open the path toward <strong>100.00<\/strong>, while immediate support lies at <strong>98.00<\/strong>, followed by <strong>97.20<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>MACD<\/strong> indicator suggests a modest bullish tone. The MACD line remains above the signal line, and while histogram bars have narrowed, they still reflect positive momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This supports the view of gradual strengthening rather than a sharp rebound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Outlook<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The dollar\u2019s direction now hinges on Friday\u2019s <strong>U.S. CPI release<\/strong> and its implications for the <strong>Fed\u2019s October 29\u201330 policy meeting<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A softer print could reinforce rate-cut bets, while any upside surprise may push traders to scale back expectations of additional easing in December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login?_gl=1*17o07u3*_gcl_au*NTkyNjQyMjA3LjE3NTkxMzQ2NTc.*_ga*MjA5ODA0NDIzNC4xNzI3OTE1ODQ1*_ga_BG6LYEHPX1*czE3NjExMjAwNzUkbzIzMiRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzYkbDAkaDA.*_ga_J8BRGZSREX*czE3NjExMjAwNzUkbzIzMyRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzYkbDAkaDA.*_ga_69Z54R4H9N*czE3NjExMjAwNzUkbzIzMiRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzYkbDAkaDA.*_ga_CY2VCKFC3C*czE3NjExMjAwNzUkbzIzMiRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzYkbDAkaDA.*_ga_TXZ07R2C21*czE3NjExMjAwNzUkbzIzMiRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzYkbDAkaDA.*_ga_17TMGY9BBE*czE3NjExMjAwNzUkbzIzMSRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzYkbDAkaDA.*_ga_2QCC3S2748*czE3NjExMjAwNzUkbzIzMCRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzYkbDAkaDA.*_ga_MWDVVSEVL5*czE3NjExMjAwNzYkbzIyOSRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzckbDAkaDA.*_ga_EJCVQDC7VT*czE3NjExMjAwNzUkbzIyNSRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzYkbDAkaDA.*_ga_XJ4037XKK6*czE3NjExMjAwNzUkbzIyMSRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzYkbDAkaDA.*_ga_E7D2PCX624*czE3NjExMjAwNzYkbzIyMCRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzckbDAkaDA.*_ga_J26NL1ZVX7*czE3NjExMjAwNzUkbzE4NyRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzYkbDAkaDA.*_ga_6XQ8153GYW*czE3NjExMjAwNzUkbzI4MyRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzYkbDAkaDA.*_ga_7CG6454YR5*czE3NjExMjAwNzUkbzIzMyRnMSR0MTc2MTEyMDA5OSRqMzYkbDAkaDA.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">start trading<\/a> now.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The dollar index held steady near 99 on Friday. Delayed U.S. inflation data could shape expectations for the next Federal Reserve rate move. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":19471,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[9,11],"class_list":["post-33069","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-dollar","tag-indices"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":""},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33069","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33069"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33069\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19471"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33069"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33069"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33069"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}