{"id":32612,"date":"2025-10-20T11:52:47","date_gmt":"2025-10-20T03:52:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/in-september-the-house-price-index-in-china-rose-to-2-2-from-2-5\/"},"modified":"2025-10-20T11:52:47","modified_gmt":"2025-10-20T03:52:47","slug":"in-september-the-house-price-index-in-china-rose-to-2-2-from-2-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/live-updates\/in-september-the-house-price-index-in-china-rose-to-2-2-from-2-5\/","title":{"rendered":"In September, the House Price Index in China rose to -2.2% from -2.5%"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>Japan and Oil Prices<\/h3>\n<p>China&#8217;s house price index increased to -2.2% in September from the previous -2.5%, showing a slight improvement. Meanwhile, China&#8217;s economy expanded by 4.8% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2025, consistent with expectations.<\/p>\n<p>Oil prices stabilized as WTI held steady near $57.00 amid OPEC+ oversupply concerns. The Japanese yen weakened as fiscal concerns resurfaced with the revival of the LDP-JIP coalition.<\/p>\n<p>Currency markets showed fluctuations, with EUR\/USD trading subdued near 1.1650 after France&#8217;s credit rating was downgraded. GBP\/USD held above 1.3400, affected by a softer US dollar and dovish Bank of England expectations.<\/p>\n<p>Gold prices decreased to around $4,245 as demand waned following the festive period. The crypto market saw a rebound for Mantle, Zcash, and Bittensor over the weekend, while BNB, Solana, and Cardano experienced double-digit losses due to significant liquidations.<\/p>\n<h3>China House Prices and Economic Growth<\/h3>\n<p>The upcoming meeting between Trump and Xi at the APEC summit is anticipated by market participants as a potential point of tension or negotiation. This context adds to the complex dynamics in global financial markets.<\/p>\n<p>The slight improvement in China\u2019s house price index, moving to -2.2%, suggests the property crisis we have been watching since the Evergrande collapse in the early 2020s may be finding a floor. However, with GDP growth at a modest 4.8% and the PBOC guiding the yuan weaker, we should see this as managed stabilization, not a robust recovery. The strength in the Australian dollar seems like a temporary reaction, making it a candidate for selling call options if further Chinese data disappoints.<\/p>\n<p>Europe presents a clearer, more bearish picture for us to act on. The downgrade of France\u2019s credit rating to A+ is a significant event, confirming underlying fiscal weakness in a core Eurozone economy. We should consider buying puts on the EUR\/USD, as the pair struggling near 1.1650 shows a clear lack of confidence that is unlikely to reverse in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Geopolitical tensions are creating a major divergence in the commodities market that we can exploit. Gold holding near $4,250, nearly double its price from the highs of 2024, shows extreme demand for safe havens ahead of the Trump-Xi meeting. In contrast, WTI oil is languishing at $57, suggesting the market is far more worried about a global slowdown than any supply disruption.<\/p>\n<p>The weakness in crude oil is directly tied to OPEC+ oversupply concerns, a familiar story for us. We saw similar struggles back in 2024 when several members, including Iraq, consistently produced above their agreed-upon quotas, undermining price stability. Selling out-of-the-money call spreads on WTI futures seems like a prudent strategy, as a price spike above $65 seems unlikely without a major catalyst.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, the crypto market is signaling a broad risk-off mood following over $1 billion in liquidations. With major altcoins like Solana and Cardano dropping more than 10%, the speculative froth is being aggressively removed from the system. This deleveraging event makes it wise to hedge any remaining long positions by purchasing puts on Bitcoin and Ethereum futures.<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s economy grows, house prices stabilize; oil steady, yen weakens, crypto mixed, markets eye Trump-Xi meeting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":16967,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-32612","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"China&#039;s economy grows, house prices stabilize; 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