{"id":29467,"date":"2025-08-22T11:40:04","date_gmt":"2025-08-22T11:40:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=29467"},"modified":"2025-08-22T11:40:04","modified_gmt":"2025-08-22T11:40:04","slug":"oil-edges-higher-as-ukraine-cease-fire-talks-stall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/oil-edges-higher-as-ukraine-cease-fire-talks-stall\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil Edges Higher as Ukraine Cease-Fire Talks Stall"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"573\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/Oil6-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-41762\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>WTI trades at <strong>$63.37<\/strong>, up <strong>0.35%<\/strong>, while Brent rises <strong>0.3%<\/strong> to <strong>$67.85<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fading optimism around a Putin-Zelensky summit, boosting geopolitical risk premium.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Crude oil prices firmed on Friday as investors tempered earlier optimism about a near-term Russia-Ukraine cease-fire. Brent climbed to <strong>$67.85<\/strong> a barrel and WTI rose to <strong>$63.74<\/strong>, leaving both benchmarks on track to end the week higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our research desk shows that enthusiasm for peace talks has waned, with a summit between Presidents Putin and Zelensky proving difficult to arrange.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">European natural gas prices are headed for the first weekly gain in three as the initial optimism over US President Donald Trump\u2019s efforts to end Russia\u2019s war in Ukraine wanes <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SBm0k47xgp\">https:\/\/t.co\/SBm0k47xgp<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1958802037375742039?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 22, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Disagreements over potential security guarantees have <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/u2oM4Ki01q\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">added friction<\/a>, with Russia insisting it should play a role in any framework agreed for Ukraine\u2019s protection. The stalling of negotiations has reignited concerns about tougher sanctions on Moscow, which could tighten supply and drive oil higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Crude oil (CL-OIL) has had a volatile 2025, with price action swinging widely between April\u2019s low of $55.11 and July\u2019s peak of $77.90. After the strong mid-year rally, momentum has cooled, and oil has drifted lower toward the $63 area, where it is now attempting to stabilise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The moving averages (5, 10, 30) show a bearish alignment following the recent decline, though the short-term lines are beginning to flatten, suggesting that selling pressure may be easing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/image-15-1024x453.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29468\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">#image_title<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The MACD, still below the zero line, reflects weak momentum but hints at a potential base forming as the histogram shows signs of narrowing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the short term, resistance sits around $66\u201367, which aligns with the moving averages and recent swing highs. A breakout above this zone could invite a retest of $70 and higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the downside, immediate support is at $60, with stronger backing near the April low of $55.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As long as prices hold above $60, the market may be carving out a consolidation base, but a break lower would risk a deeper retracement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overall, crude oil remains in a cautious phase, with traders awaiting fresh catalysts such as US inventory data, <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/vJO67D7nh0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">OPEC policy signals<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/BXbHdPypNu\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">global demand outlooks<\/a> to determine the next decisive move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Cautious Forecast<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If talks continue to stall, WTI could retest the <strong>$67.00\u2013$70.00<\/strong> zone, with geopolitical risk keeping the upside bias intact. A breakthrough in cease-fire discussions, however, would likely deflate the risk premium, dragging crude back toward <strong>$60.00<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login?_gl=1*5vyjdn*_gcl_au*Njc1MzM0NjY0LjE3NTEzNTM4MTc.*_ga*MjA5ODA0NDIzNC4xNzI3OTE1ODQ1*_ga_J26NL1ZVX7*czE3NTE4NzkxMDYkbzMwOCRnMSR0MTc1MTg3OTExOCRqNDgkbDAkaDA.*_ga_6XQ8153GYW*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzU3JGcxJHQxNzUxODc5MTE4JGo1MCRsMCRoMA..*_ga_BG6LYEHPX1*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMTgkajUwJGwwJGgw*_ga_J8BRGZSREX*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_7CG6454YR5*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_69Z54R4H9N*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_CY2VCKFC3C*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_TXZ07R2C21*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_17TMGY9BBE*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_MWDVVSEVL5*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_2QCC3S2748*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_E7D2PCX624*czE3NTE4NzkxMjYkbzUkZzAkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajYwJGwwJGgw*_ga_XJ4037XKK6*czE3NTE4NzkxMjYkbzUkZzAkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajYwJGwwJGgw*_ga_EJCVQDC7VT*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajQyJGwwJGgw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">start trading<\/a> now.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>WTI steadies near $63.74 as fading hopes for a Russia-Ukraine cease-fire keep sanctions risk in focus. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":41762,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[66],"class_list":["post-29467","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-oil"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":""},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"WTI steadies near $63.74 as fading hopes for a Russia-Ukraine cease-fire keep sanctions risk in focus. - vtmarkets.com\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/oil-edges-higher-as-ukraine-cease-fire-talks-stall\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 4.9.10\" \/>\n\n\t\t<script type=\"text\/javascript\"> (function(c,l,a,r,i,t,y){ c[a]=c[a]||function(){(c[a].q=c[a].q||[]).push(arguments)}; 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