{"id":27769,"date":"2025-07-31T07:33:12","date_gmt":"2025-07-31T07:33:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=27769"},"modified":"2025-07-31T07:33:12","modified_gmt":"2025-07-31T07:33:12","slug":"usdx-loses-2-month-high-as-focus-shifts-to-fed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/usdx-loses-2-month-high-as-focus-shifts-to-fed\/","title":{"rendered":"USDX Loses 2-Month High as Focus Shifts to Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/image_fx_-2025-03-14T112706.474-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-18365\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dollar Index (USDX) fell 0.2% to 99.606 after reaching 99.983 on Wednesday.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Trump warns of 50% tariffs on Brazil and copper, casting uncertainty over trade talks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The U.S. dollar retreated slightly on Thursday, cooling after a strong rally that pushed the Dollar Index (USDX) to a two-month high of 99.983 the day before. The index pulled back by 0.2% to settle at 99.606 as trader focus moved from monetary policy to renewed global risk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Powell says Fed does not consider government interest rate costs in policy debate <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/mNqYgZF1cC\">https:\/\/t.co\/mNqYgZF1cC<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/mNqYgZF1cC\">https:\/\/t.co\/mNqYgZF1cC<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1950753445410910702?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 31, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The initial surge came after stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data, including robust private payrolls and a better-than-forecast GDP print. This bolstered the dollar midweek, reinforced by Federal Reserve Chair <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/yhFgDDL3mK\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Jerome Powell\u2019s neutral stance<\/a> at the latest policy meeting. While the Fed left rates unchanged, Powell offered little guidance on potential cuts, leaving traders guessing on September\u2019s direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, Thursday\u2019s tone was shaped by President Trump\u2019s trade remarks. He warned that <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/gH1oaSZuRM\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Friday\u2019s trade deadline would not see another extension<\/a>, and announced fresh 50% tariffs on Brazil and on copper-related products.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In addition, Trump said <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/olLmpYhAiZ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Canada\u2019s stance on recognising a Palestinian state<\/a> may jeopardise trade talks\u2014injecting further uncertainty into North American economic relations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After bouncing from the 98.40 support zone on 30 July, the USDX staged a steady climb, building a bullish structure supported by successive higher lows. The price broke decisively above 99.20 in the early hours of 31 July, triggering a sharp rally that peaked at 99.714. However, the breakout lacked follow-through above that resistance, leading to a mild pullback toward the 99.35 region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/1_image-34.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-27770\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picture: USDX rally stalls below 99.75 as momentum eases, as seen on the <a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">VT Markets app<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The moving averages (5, 10, 30) began to narrow and curl downward following the peak, with the 5- and 10-period MAs beginning to cross below the 30, signalling an early trend reversal. Price currently hovers near the short-term MA cluster, attempting to find a new footing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The MACD histogram shows a clear fade in bullish momentum, with green bars shrinking and the MACD line approaching a bearish crossover below the signal line. If this crossover completes, it would reinforce downside pressure in the near term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For now, 99.20 serves as the first key support level to watch, followed by 98.90 if sellers regain control. A close above 99.60 would be required to invalidate the pullback and suggest a retest of 99.71 or even a move toward the 100.00 psychological level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Cautious Forecast<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If USDX breaks below 99.30, the next support sits near 99.00. However, a bounce above 99.60 could keep bulls eyeing the 100.00 level again. The dollar&#8217;s near-term path hinges on the outcome of trade negotiations due Friday, and any additional geopolitical shocks triggered by White House policy shifts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login?_gl=1*5vyjdn*_gcl_au*Njc1MzM0NjY0LjE3NTEzNTM4MTc.*_ga*MjA5ODA0NDIzNC4xNzI3OTE1ODQ1*_ga_J26NL1ZVX7*czE3NTE4NzkxMDYkbzMwOCRnMSR0MTc1MTg3OTExOCRqNDgkbDAkaDA.*_ga_6XQ8153GYW*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzU3JGcxJHQxNzUxODc5MTE4JGo1MCRsMCRoMA..*_ga_BG6LYEHPX1*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMTgkajUwJGwwJGgw*_ga_J8BRGZSREX*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_7CG6454YR5*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_69Z54R4H9N*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_CY2VCKFC3C*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_TXZ07R2C21*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_17TMGY9BBE*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_MWDVVSEVL5*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_2QCC3S2748*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_E7D2PCX624*czE3NTE4NzkxMjYkbzUkZzAkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajYwJGwwJGgw*_ga_XJ4037XKK6*czE3NTE4NzkxMjYkbzUkZzAkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajYwJGwwJGgw*_ga_EJCVQDC7VT*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajQyJGwwJGgw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">start trading<\/a> now.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar eases from recent highs as markets shift attention to looming trade deadlines and tariff risks following Powell\u2019s steady hand. &#8211; 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