{"id":27043,"date":"2025-07-23T13:46:56","date_gmt":"2025-07-23T13:46:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/chris-turner-from-ing-observed-an-unexpected-rise-in-eur-usd-above-last-weeks-1-1720-high\/"},"modified":"2025-07-23T13:46:56","modified_gmt":"2025-07-23T13:46:56","slug":"chris-turner-from-ing-observed-an-unexpected-rise-in-eur-usd-above-last-weeks-1-1720-high","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/live-updates\/chris-turner-from-ing-observed-an-unexpected-rise-in-eur-usd-above-last-weeks-1-1720-high\/","title":{"rendered":"Chris Turner from ING observed an unexpected rise in EUR\/USD above last week&#8217;s 1.1720 high"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD surpassed last week&#8217;s high of 1.1720, due to speculation that the currency demand is related to asset rotation from equities, government bonds, and credits. There is growing interest in euro-denominated products, with issuers meeting this demand.<\/p>\n<p>Technical indicators suggest potential EUR\/USD support after weeks of consolidation. However, if USD\/JPY remains stable and US housing data improves, EUR\/USD could return to the 1.1680 area.<\/p>\n<h3>Expectation For EUR\/USD<\/h3>\n<p>EUR\/USD retraces toward 1.1700 as demand for the US Dollar grows, influenced by trade optimism from a new US-Japan deal. The US President announced a trade deal with Japan implementing 15% tariffs on imports, impacting various markets.<\/p>\n<p>GBP\/USD maintains its position around 1.3550 as risk-on sentiment prevails. The US-Japan trade agreement supports the higher-yielding Pound, while the US Dollar&#8217;s recovery struggles to gain momentum, influencing currency movements.<\/p>\n<p>The gold price remains weak despite recovering from early session lows, with US-Japan trade deal optimism affecting safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, BNB reached a new peak of $804.70, exceeding Solana&#8217;s market cap and boosting its market valuation above $110 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Six months into President Trump\u2019s second term, turbulent policy changes are noted, yet markets remain steadfast. His administration prioritises &#8220;America First&#8221; across various sectors, including trade and national defence.<\/p>\n<h3>Opportunity In Current Market Conditions<\/h3>\n<p>We view the current EUR\/USD chop as an opportunity to sell options. With Eurozone inflation recently reported at 2.4% and the European Central Bank signaling potential rate cuts, the currency&#8217;s upside seems limited against a dollar supported by a more hesitant Federal Reserve. This suggests that selling call options with a strike price above 1.1750 could be a sound strategy to collect premium.<\/p>\n<p>For the pound, its sideways movement around 1.3550 reflects a market waiting for a catalyst. Given the Bank of England is holding rates steady amid persistent services inflation, we don&#8217;t foresee a major breakout in either direction. Therefore, we are considering iron condors on GBP\/USD, a strategy designed to profit from low volatility and a stable price range.<\/p>\n<p>The slump in gold is directly linked to the strength in other assets and rising government bond yields, with the 10-year US Treasury yield holding above 4.4%. As long as the administration&#8217;s trade deals continue to fuel this risk-on appetite, we expect further pressure on non-yielding safe havens. We are looking at buying put options on gold futures, anticipating a potential test of lower support levels.<\/p>\n<p>In the cryptocurrency market, the surge in BNB, which has extended its market cap lead over rivals to more than $40 billion, signals a strong momentum play. This is a high-volatility environment where we would use long-dated call options to participate in the trend while strictly limiting our potential downside. The goal is to capture the upside from the current speculative interest without overexposing capital.<\/p>\n<p>The President\u2019s &#8220;America First&#8221; policy historically creates market swings, similar to the volatility spikes seen during the 2018-2019 trade disputes. This backdrop makes long volatility strategies, such as buying straddles on major stock indices like the S&#038;P 500, an appealing hedge. We are positioning for potential policy surprises that could quickly shift market sentiment.<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD rises past 1.1720 on asset shifts; US-Japan trade deal boosts USD, impacts global markets.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":17026,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27043","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27043","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27043"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27043\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17026"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27043"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27043"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27043"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}