{"id":20963,"date":"2025-04-17T06:07:08","date_gmt":"2025-04-17T06:07:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=20963"},"modified":"2025-04-17T06:07:08","modified_gmt":"2025-04-17T06:07:08","slug":"nvidia-drops-over-2-as-ai-export-ban-hits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/analysis\/nvidia-drops-over-2-as-ai-export-ban-hits\/","title":{"rendered":"Nvidia Drops Over 2% as AI Export Ban Hits"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/image_fx-90-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20965\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Nvidia (NVDIA) closes at $102.13<\/strong>, down <strong>2.32%<\/strong>, from a session high of <strong>$106.73<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Company warns of <strong>$5.5 billion hit<\/strong> due to U.S. restrictions on AI chip sales to China.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>MACD bearish crossover<\/strong> and price action below key moving averages suggest further downside risk.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Nvidia shares extended losses on Thursday<\/strong>, closing at <strong>$102.13<\/strong>, down <strong>2.32%<\/strong>, as the market continued to digest the company\u2019s stark guidance revision stemming from <strong>new U.S. restrictions on chip exports to China<\/strong>. This comes after Nvidia disclosed it expects to lose as much as <strong>$5.5 billion in revenue<\/strong> in its fiscal first quarter due to the limitations imposed on its China-focused AI processors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Nvidia Warns Trump Curbs on China Chips to Cost $5.5 Billion. Hear about that and other companies making news on Wall Street today with Stock Movers from Bloomberg <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/eoWUjS5CaI\">https:\/\/t.co\/eoWUjS5CaI<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1912473047811908067?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 16, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The news hit the broader <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/51X2kiG5mh\">semiconductor sector hard<\/a><\/strong>, with peer <strong>ASML<\/strong> also warning that <strong>Trump\u2019s tariff policy is creating uncertainty for 2025\u20132026<\/strong>. ASML shares dropped over 6%, and the pressure has cascaded across global chip names. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/DSvkIiIiGo\">TSMC\u2019s upcoming earnings<\/a><\/strong> will now be heavily scrutinised as a barometer for the industry\u2019s health, especially as cyclical risks resurface amid <strong>mounting global trade tensions<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the U.S., <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ISRvVXTguI\">Fed Chair Jerome Powell<\/a><\/strong> added further caution to the tone, stating that tariffs could simultaneously slow growth and fuel inflation\u2014putting the Fed in a \u201crock and hard place\u201d scenario. Despite Powell\u2019s dovish hints, investors remain wary of <strong>stagflation risks<\/strong>\u2014a scenario historically unfavourable to growth stocks, particularly high-beta names like Nvidia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The 15-minute chart of <strong>NVIDIA<\/strong> displays a clear <strong>shift in momentum<\/strong>, signaling a potential short-term correction after an extended rally. Following a sharp breakout from the <strong>94.73 low<\/strong>, the stock surged aggressively to peak at <strong>115.31<\/strong>, forming a potential swing high. Since then, the price has gradually pulled back, breaking below short-term moving averages and now resting near <strong>102.13<\/strong> at close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/image-20-1024x438.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20964\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Picture: Bearish crossover on MACD adds weight to NVIDIA\u2019s descending trend, as seen on the <\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\">VT Markets app<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>MACD indicator<\/strong> confirms the bearish shift: the MACD line has crossed below the signal line, and the histogram has remained in negative territory, showing persistent downward pressure. This bearish crossover, paired with a widening gap between the <strong>5, 10, and 30-period moving averages<\/strong>, reflects growing selling interest and fading bullish momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Price is currently hovering just above a <strong>critical support zone<\/strong> near the 100\u2013101 range. If this level fails to hold, further downside toward the 98\u201399 handle may unfold, particularly if broader market sentiment remains risk-off. However, any rebound would need to reclaim the 105\u2013106 range to negate this short-term bearish bias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Cautious Outlook for Nvidia<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With prices below the 30-period moving average and weakening technicals, Nvidia could retest the <strong>$100\u2013$98<\/strong> zone unless there\u2019s a sentiment shift from <strong>TSMC\u2019s earnings<\/strong> or trade policy easing. Near-term resistance stands at <strong>$106\u2013$107<\/strong>, but a recovery toward <strong>$110+<\/strong> looks unlikely without a meaningful catalyst.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a><\/strong><strong> and <\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a><\/strong><strong> now.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nvidia sinks to $102 on $5.5B warning from China chip curbs. Chip stocks slide as TSMC nears earnings, Powell flags risks. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":20965,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[7],"class_list":["post-20963","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-stocks"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20963","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20963"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20963\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20965"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20963"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20963"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20963"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}