Policy

17 June 2026
Dow hits record as Iran ceasefire cools oil, markets brace for Warsh-led Fed decision

Dow hits 52,100 as Iran ceasefire cuts oil; yet unsign​ed deal and Fed Warsh decision threaten rally.

17 June 2026
Colombia Retail Sales Jump 14.9% as Consumer Demand Bolsters Peso and Dims Rate-Cut Bets

Colombia April retail sales surged 14.9% YoY, beating forecasts; resilient demand boosts peso, weakens rate-cut odds.

17 June 2026
US import prices jump to 6.7% as Fed rate-cut bets fade, equities and yields swing

US import price inflation surged to 6.7%, dampening rate-cut odds, raising volatility, supporting dollar, pressuring equities and bonds.

17 June 2026
US building permits undershoot forecasts, raising cooling signals for housing and short-term rate expectations

May US building permits slipped to 1.413m, signaling cooling housing demand; favors rate-neutral trades, hedges, and shorts.

17 June 2026
US Housing Starts Slide 15.4% in May, Raising Concerns Over Homebuilding and Rate Headwinds

May housing starts plunged 15.4%, signaling collapsing builder confidence, rate-driven demand destruction, and broader market downside risks ahead.

16 June 2026
US export prices beat forecasts, reinforcing higher-for-longer Fed bets and lifting dollar outlook

U.S. export prices rose 1.3% in May, reinforcing persistent inflation, delaying Fed cuts, boosting dollar, volatility, oil.

16 June 2026
US Housing Starts Miss Forecasts, Prompting Bets on Fed Cuts and Homebuilder Equity Downside

May housing starts missed forecasts at 1.177m, boosting dovish Fed bets and bearish housing-related trades.

16 June 2026
ADP’s Four-Week Jobs Gauge Slips as Markets Price Fed Cuts and Volatility Hedges

ADP’s 4-week average fell to 25.5K; cooling jobs bolster Fed cut bets and hedging.

16 June 2026
RBA Holds Cash Rate at 4.35% as Growth Slows, Markets Eye Lower AUD Volatility

RBA holds cash rate at 4.35%, signalling peak; growth slows, inflation eases; traders favour selling AUD volatility.

16 June 2026
Italy’s May CPI Matches Forecasts, Bolstering ECB Hold Expectations and Muted Eurozone Volatility

Italy’s May CPI rose 0.4% m/m, matching forecasts, supporting stability, lower volatility, and steady ECB rates.

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