Policy

29 May 2026
Russia’s central bank reserves fall $15.1bn to $753.8bn, raising rouble volatility and rate-hike bets

Russia’s reserves fell $15.1bn to $753.8bn, raising ruble volatility fears and rate-hike expectations, pressuring equities.

29 May 2026
Koruna Under Pressure as Central European Rate-Hike Bets Fade; Focus Shifts to Polish Inflation

Softer CEE rate outlook weakens koruna; Hungary reprices easing, Poland inflation rises; favor EUR/CZK up and PLN outperformance.

29 May 2026
US PCE inflation rises to 3.8% as April data fuels higher-for-longer Fed outlook

April PCE inflation re-accelerated to 3.8% y/y, boosting “higher-for-longer” fears, volatility, and dollar-supporting rate-hike odds.

29 May 2026
US jobless claims edge up as Dollar Index steadies and markets weigh cooling labour signals

US jobless claims edged up to 215K; rising averages suggest cooling labor market, complicating Fed policy outlook.

28 May 2026
US continuing jobless claims edge up to 1.786m, bolstering case for a more dovish Fed

Continuing jobless claims edged above forecasts, hinting softer labor market, cooling momentum, and increasing rate-cut expectations.

28 May 2026
US GDP Price Index Eases to 3.5% as Markets Recalibrate Fed Pause Odds

US GDP price index eases to 3.5%, signaling cooling inflation, boosting pause expectations and risk-asset positioning opportunities.

28 May 2026
US Income Growth Stalls in April, Raising Rate-Cut Bets and Shifting Investor Positioning

April US personal income stalled at 0%, missing forecasts, signaling weakening consumers and boosting bets on rate cuts.

28 May 2026
US core PCE surprise reinforces higher-for-longer Fed stance, pressuring equities and boosting dollar

US core PCE hits 4.4% in Q1, boosting “higher-for-longer” Fed bets; equities pressured, volatility and dollar rise.

28 May 2026
US April personal spending rises 0.5%, bolstering Fed hold outlook and keeping markets range-bound

April US personal spending rose 0.5%, meeting forecasts, supporting steady demand, keeping Fed on hold, volatility subdued.

28 May 2026
US core PCE eases to 3.6% as Fed rate-cut odds slip and volatility risks build

PCE inflation matched forecasts; May core dipped slightly, Fed stays cautious, volatility opportunities emerge amid inverted yield curve.

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