Policy

11 June 2026
US core producer inflation cools to 4.9% in May, fuelling bets on Fed pause and risk rally

May core PPI rose 4.9%, below forecasts, easing Fed hike pressure; bullish for Nasdaq, weaker dollar, lower VIX.

11 June 2026
US jobless claims top forecasts, fuelling doubts over labour resilience and complicating Fed rate outlook

Jobless claims hit 229,000, signaling labor cooling, complicating Fed decisions, and boosting volatility, bonds, hedging strategies.

11 June 2026
Four-week US jobless claims average edges up, bolstering bets on Fed rate cuts and risk hedges

US jobless claims average rises to 219k, hinting labor cooling, boosting Fed cut bets and hedging strategies.

11 June 2026
ECB holds main refinancing rate at 2.4%, markets eye guidance amid subdued volatility and euro range trading

ECB holds main refinancing rate at 2.4%; volatility may ease as markets await guidance, keeping EUR/USD range-bound.

11 June 2026
ECB holds deposit rate at 2.25% as markets eye guidance, volatility slips and trades turn tactical

ECB holds eurozone deposit rate at 2.25%, as expected; markets calm, volatility dips; traders eye options, swaps.

11 June 2026
Euro upside capped as hawkish ECB tightening is priced in, leaving EUR/USD vulnerable near 1.1500

Markets price hawkish ECB hike, limiting euro upside; EUR/USD resistance near 1.1575, downside risk to 1.1500.

11 June 2026
ING sees CBRT holding 37% rate as lira steadies, but current account gap risks year-end slide

ING expects CBRT to hold 37%, supporting near-term lira stability, but deficits risk depreciation to 53.00.

11 June 2026
Commerzbank Sees ECB Rate Rise Fully Priced as Focus Turns to Lagarde’s Guidance

ECB hike is priced; focus shifts to Lagarde guidance. Commerzbank says forwards overprice further tightening amid weak growth.

11 June 2026
Commerzbank Sees ECB Hike Priced In, Keeping EUR/USD Upside Limited as Euro Risks Tilt Lower

Commerzbank says ECB hike is priced in, Lagarde cautious; easing inflation and oil cap EUR/USD gains.

11 June 2026
Australian inflation expectations edge down, bolstering market bets on RBA hold and softer AUD

Australian inflation expectations eased to 5.5% in June, supporting an RBA pause and softer AUD outlook.

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