Policy

13 June 2026
CEE currencies rebound on US-Iran de-escalation hopes as CNB seen hiking, Hungary poised to cut

Risk-on hopes from US-Iran de-escalation lifted CEE currencies; zloty, forint rebounded as policy divergence persists.

13 June 2026
Michigan survey shows US one-year inflation expectations ease, nudging Fed pause bets and markets

Michigan survey shows one-year inflation expectations fell to 4.6%, easing Fed hike odds and boosting equities.

13 June 2026
US Five-Year Inflation Expectations Fall to 3.4%, Bolstering Case for Federal Reserve Rate Cuts

Consumers’ five-year inflation expectations fell to 3.4% in June, boosting dovish Fed hopes and trades.

13 June 2026
Warsh’s Fed debut points to reduced guidance, higher volatility and firmer dollar bias

Warsh’s Fed signals reduced forward guidance, mandate refocus, and higher volatility; markets brace for hawkish rates, stronger dollar.

13 June 2026
US dollar holds firm as Iran peace talk cools oil fears, Fed tightening bets persist

US-Iran peace talk hopes ease dollar pressure, but DXY holds; oil risks and Fed tightening support.

12 June 2026
Brazil IPCA May Upside Surprise Raises Doubts Over July Rate Cut, Lifts DI Yields

Brazil’s May IPCA rose 0.58%, above forecasts, tightening rate-cut expectations and pressuring bonds, real, equities.

12 June 2026
Markets shift focus from ECB hike to FOMC as Warsh debut signals neutral-to-hawkish tilt

Focus shifts to June 17 FOMC: new leadership turns neutral-to-hawkish, dot plot drops cuts, maybe adds hikes.

12 June 2026
ECB restarts rate hikes at 2.25% as Lagarde turns hawkish; Deutsche Bank eyes September move

ECB hikes deposit rate to 2.25% with hawkish tone; inflation forecasts rise, markets price further September tightening.

12 June 2026
UK inflation expectations rise to 3.5%, prompting markets to pare Bank of England cut bets

UK inflation expectations rise to 3.5%, hawkish for BoE; August cut odds drop, boosting GBP, pressuring equities.

12 June 2026
Makhlouf Urges Swift ECB Action as Inflation Broadens, Markets Bet on Cut and Euro Volatility Rises

Makhlouf urges swift ECB action to preempt broadening inflation; markets muted, but traders see upside euro volatility.

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