Outlook

18 June 2026
Dollar holds gains as Warsh-led Fed turns hawkish, with tightening largely priced in

Dollar holds modest gains as hawkish Fed repricing is largely priced in, capping DXY upside near 100.60.

17 June 2026
New Zealand Current Account Deficit Narrows in Q1, Supporting NZD and Reinforcing RBNZ Hawkish Bias

New Zealand’s Q1 current account deficit narrowed to $1.01bn, supporting NZD and tempering near-term rate cut expectations.

17 June 2026
EUR/USD Holds Below 200-Day EMA as ECB Tightens and Markets Await Warsh’s First Fed Decision

EUR/USD holds range; ECB hike supports euro as oil drops, markets await new Fed decision for breakout.

15 June 2026
Rightmove House Price Index slips in June, stoking rate-cut bets and weighing on sterling

Rightmove’s June house price index fell 0.6%, signalling cooling market, boosting rate-cut expectations, pressuring GBP, housebuilders.

12 June 2026
EUR/USD Range Holds as Dollar Fails to Capitalise on US Yield Advantage, Options Favoured

EUR/USD holds 1.15–1.16 as dollar underperforms fundamentals; buy September calls targeting 1.10 over 1.07.

12 June 2026
Deutsche Bank sees Bank of England holding rates, with dissenters, as inflation keeps cuts at bay

Deutsche Bank expects BoE to hold rates, warns inflation risks; traders may profit from higher-for-longer policy.

10 June 2026
GBP/USD stays pressured as dollar strength keeps focus on 1.3300 and 1.2700 supports

GBP/USD stays pressured; momentum slows, but 1.3300/1.2700 breaks could extend losses; resistance caps rallies.

10 June 2026
US trade deficit narrows to $55.9bn, underpinning dollar strength and hedging stance on equities

April US trade deficit was $55.9bn, slightly better than expected, supporting bullish dollar and cautious equity hedging.

9 June 2026
Canadian dollar lags reserve peers as yield gap and gold slump keep USD/CAD near 1.39

National Bank says loonie weakest reserve currency; 1.39 USD/CAD driven by growth, yields, gold slump, trade risks.

9 June 2026
USD/CAD slips as Middle East ceasefire cools dollar demand, while BoC-Fed split keeps pair supported

USD/CAD eases after March high; Middle East détente, oil swings, and Fed-BoC divergence steer outlook, options.

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