Live Updates

13

Feb 2026
In January, the UK’s NIESR three-month GDP estimate dropped sharply from 4.296% to 0.3%

UK NIESR estimates GDP growth slowed to 0.3% in January, down from 4.296% previously.

13

Feb 2026
RBC’s Claire Fan expects the Fed to hold rates near neutral, with slightly lower unemployment ahead, unchanged 2026 average

RBC sees minor US outlook shifts: 2026 unemployment 4.5%, steady Fed, productivity-led growth, tariff-driven inflation risks.

13

Feb 2026
In the US, new unemployment benefit applications fell to 227K in the week ending 7 February

US jobless claims fell to 227K; four-week average rose, continuing claims increased; dollar index steady near 96.80.

13

Feb 2026
Rabobank’s Jane Foley says reassessed views on Takaichi ease BOJ dovish pressure, aiding yen towards 145

USD/JPY surged on “Takaichi trade,” then eased as BoJ turned hawkish; Rabobank forecasts gradual yen recovery.

13

Feb 2026
US continuing jobless claims exceeded forecasts, reaching 1.862M compared with the expected 1.85M in January 30

US continuing jobless claims beat forecasts, rising to 1.862 million versus expectations of 1.85 million for January 30.

13

Feb 2026
In December, Germany’s unadjusted current account increased to €16.1B, up from €15.1B previously

Germany’s non-seasonally adjusted current account surplus rose to €16.1bn in December, up €1.0bn month-on-month.

13

Feb 2026
America’s four-week average initial jobless claims rose to 219.5K, exceeding the prior 212.25K reading

US four-week moving average for initial jobless claims rose to 219.5K by 6 February, up 7.25K.

13

Feb 2026
US initial jobless claims totalled 227K, exceeding the 222K forecast, according to the latest released data

US initial jobless claims rose to 227,000, exceeding forecasts of 222,000, signaling slightly higher unemployment filings.

13

Feb 2026
Despite higher 2026 inflation forecast ranges, Turkey’s central bank maintains easing bias and stays upbeat about inflation outlook

Turkey’s central bank maintained inflation targets, raised 2025 forecast range, citing CPI methodology changes and food pressures.

13

Feb 2026
Despite weak UK GDP, EUR/GBP stays rangebound as sterling steadies, with focus shifting to Eurozone data

EUR/GBP hovered near 0.8710; UK GDP missed expectations, boosting BoE cut bets ahead of Eurozone data.

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