In early European trading, XAG/USD climbs for a second day, approaching $84.30 per troy ounce

by VT Markets
/
Jan 12, 2026

Silver prices are climbing, reaching around $84.30 per troy ounce in early European trading. The price is in an ascending channel pattern, showing a bullish trend. The 14-day RSI at 70.66 indicates overbought conditions, suggesting potential short-term consolidation. Additionally, Silver’s nine-day and 50-day EMAs continue to rise, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.

Potential exists for Silver to test its all-time high of $85.87, set on December 29, 2025, with a further possible rise to $88.40. Key support levels include the nine-day EMA at $77.94 and the lower boundary of the ascending channel at $76.40. A daily close below these support levels may bring the 50-day base at $64.39 into focus.

Silver serves as a store of value and diversifies investment portfolios. Factors such as geopolitical instability, interest rates, and the US Dollar’s performance impact Silver prices. Industrial demand, especially from electronics and solar energy sectors in countries like the US, China, and India, influences price movements. Silver generally follows Gold’s market trends, aided by the Gold/Silver ratio, which reflects their relative valuation.

Silver is challenging its all-time high of $85.87, showing strong bullish momentum within its current ascending channel. However, with the 14-day RSI in overbought territory, we must be cautious of a potential short-term pullback. This tension between the strong trend and overextended indicators is key for the coming weeks.

Traders looking for a breakout could consider long positions targeting the upper channel boundary near $88.40 if the price decisively clears the $85.87 peak. This bullish view is supported by reports from the final quarter of 2025 showing industrial silver demand, especially from the solar and EV sectors, hitting a new record. Global photovoltaic demand for silver alone was reported to have grown by over 15% last year, underpinning the metal’s fundamental value.

Conversely, the overbought RSI suggests an opportunity for those expecting a reversal to consider puts or selling calls. The recent rally was largely driven by the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts during late 2025, but the latest inflation figures have introduced uncertainty about the pace of future easing. Any sign of a more hawkish tone from policymakers could trigger a correction toward the first support level at $77.94.

We should also watch the Gold/Silver ratio for clues on relative value. Looking back, we saw this ratio compress significantly throughout 2025 from highs above 85:1, as silver’s industrial demand helped it outperform gold. A stall in this compression could be an early warning that silver’s powerful run is losing steam relative to the broader precious metals market.

Given that silver is stretched but the trend is strong, traders who are directionally uncertain could look at options strategies that benefit from a large price move in either direction. For those already in long positions, this may be a good time to tighten stop-losses just below key support levels like the nine-day EMA at $77.94. A break below this level would signal that a deeper and more significant correction is underway.

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