Currently, XAG/USD hovers near $78.00, facing slight declines while remaining above $77.00 support level

by VT Markets
/
Jan 8, 2026

Silver prices fluctuate around the $78.00 mark during the Asian session, showing a slight decrease of 0.40% for the day. Despite this, silver stays above its previous swing low of $77.00, indicating potential support levels for bullish traders.

The 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $75.65 could play a pivotal role in short-term trading. Technical indicators like the MACD and RSI suggest stabilising momentum and balanced conditions, supporting the potential for dip-buying.

A break below $75.00 could see prices falling further towards the mid-$74.00 range, providing a base level for the commodity. Factors affecting silver prices include geopolitical instability, interest rates, and the US Dollar’s performance.

Silver usage in industry, especially electronics and solar energy, can drive demand and affect prices. The performance of the US, Chinese, and Indian economies, where silver is used extensively, can influence price changes.

Silver often mirrors gold’s movements, with the gold/silver ratio providing insights into their relative valuations. A higher ratio may indicate that silver is undervalued compared to gold. Conversely, a low ratio might suggest gold could be undervalued relative to silver.

As of today, January 8, 2026, we see silver holding steady around the $78.00 mark. The immediate technical picture suggests buying on any dips toward the ascending trend-line support near $77.00. This level offers a potential entry point for bullish positions in the coming days.

We should consider buying call options or modest long futures contracts if the price approaches these support zones. The key pivot point remains the 100-hour moving average around $75.65. As long as silver stays above this mark, the path of least resistance appears to be upward.

This bullish sentiment is supported by recent industrial data. The latest US ISM Manufacturing PMI, released last week, unexpectedly climbed to 50.8, indicating expansion and stronger demand for industrial metals. Furthermore, a Q4 2025 report from the Solar Energy Industries Association highlighted a 15% year-over-year increase in panel installations, a major source of silver consumption.

Looking back at the final quarter of 2025, the Federal Reserve’s dovish shift has also provided a tailwind for precious metals. This has kept the US Dollar Index under pressure, which is currently trading near a six-month low of 101.50. A weaker dollar makes silver cheaper for holders of other currencies, typically boosting its price.

However, a contingency plan is crucial for managing risk. A decisive break below the $75.65 pivot point would negate our positive outlook and could trigger a sharper decline. In that scenario, we would look to purchase put options to hedge long positions or initiate speculative shorts.

The gold/silver ratio is also providing a supportive signal, currently sitting at a historically high 85. When we look at the averages from 2024 and 2025, this level suggests silver is undervalued relative to gold. This may encourage a rotation into silver, potentially leading to outperformance in the weeks ahead.

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