As traders become risk-averse due to concerns over US Federal Reserve independence, GBP sees recovery

by VT Markets
/
Jan 13, 2026

The British Pound sees a rise on Monday as traders become cautious due to threats to the independence of the US Federal Reserve. The GBP/USD stands at 1.3473, increasing by 0.55%, as the US Dollar weakens amid the ‘Sell America’ trend following geopolitical developments.

During the European session, GBP/USD rebounded strongly to 1.3465 from an opening of 1.3390, driven by the softening US Dollar. Concerns mounted as a criminal investigation was launched against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, causing the pair to attract buyers to approximately 1.3430.

Immediate Resistance and Market Dynamics

Immediate resistance for GBP/USD appears above 1.3450 after Jerome Powell revealed US President Donald Trump threatened him with a criminal charge. These events led to further weakening of the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling, causing shifts in market dynamics.

In other related market movements, GBP/JPY breaks higher to 213.00 while gold reaches a record $4,600 amid uncertainty. Additionally, other currencies such as AUD/USD and NZD/USD also rise due to decreasing strength of the US Dollar under similar concerns. The developments highlight the vulnerabilities and shifts in currency trading.

We are seeing a classic ‘Sell America’ trade driven by the political turmoil surrounding the Federal Reserve. This has created a massive spike in market volatility, with the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) surging over 45% last week to close above 35. Traders should respond by buying options to profit from these large and expected price swings in the coming weeks.

Profiting from Market Volatility

For the GBP/USD pair, which is now pushing towards 1.3500, we should look at buying call options. Strike prices of 1.36 or higher for February 2026 expiration offer a good way to bet on continued dollar weakness. This trade is made more attractive because, with UK inflation holding steady around 2.1% in the last quarter of 2025, the pound’s strength is purely a dollar-weakness story.

This crisis is sending investors fleeing into safe havens, which is why gold has shattered the $4,600 per ounce barrier. We should consider long positions in gold and silver futures to ride this powerful momentum. It is also a critical time to hedge existing US stock portfolios by buying put options on major indices like the S&P 500.

Looking back, this situation feels more severe than the 2011 US debt ceiling crisis, which also triggered a dollar sell-off and a spike in gold. Recent data confirms this, showing a record $50 billion flowed out of U.S. funds in the first week of January alone. We should structure our trades to last several weeks, as this political uncertainty is unlikely to disappear overnight.

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