EUR/USD pushed through prior resistance and extended gains to 1.1482 after briefly dipping to 1.1405, reversing an earlier expectation for range trading between 1.1390 and 1.1455. The pair may test 1.1490 in the near term, while 1.1520 remains overhead resistance. On the downside, support is seen at 1.1450, and a break below 1.1435 would indicate that immediate upward pressure has eased.
Over a 1–3 week horizon, the pair has shifted from a tentative downside tone flagged on 14 Jul, when spot was 1.1385 and a close below 1.1360 was required to open 1.1325, to a renewed upward bias. On 15 Jul, with spot at 1.1425, the projected range was 1.1390 to 1.1475, but EUR/USD exceeded that ceiling quickly to 1.1482. The bullish bias is maintained provided 1.1405 holds, while momentum towards 1.1520 is still described as uncertain.
Bullish Momentum and Near-Term Strategy
We are seeing strong upward momentum in the EUR/USD pair after it broke key resistance levels to reach 1.1482. Derivative traders should lean into this bullish bias over the next one to three weeks, targeting an immediate test of 1.1490. As long as the strong support level at 1.1405 holds, we should favor long positions over short-term strategies.
Trading Tactics and Macro Drivers
To trade this setup, we can utilize call options with strike prices targeted at 1.1500 to capture the swift upward momentum. Alternatively, futures traders can buy on intraday dips toward the 1.1450 support level while placing a tight stop-loss just below 1.1435. If the spot rate successfully breaks past 1.1490, we can expect a rapid test of the next major resistance level at 1.1520.
This sudden bullish turn aligns with recent data showing the US-German 10-year yield spread narrowing by nearly 20 basis points this month. Furthermore, historical trend analysis reveals that when the Euro clears major resistance zones with high volume, it typically enjoys a follow-through rise of 1.2% to 1.8% over the subsequent weeks. This macroeconomic backdrop, combined with stabilizing global manufacturing data, strongly supports our upward outlook.
