{"id":56827,"date":"2026-08-20T02:26:59","date_gmt":"2026-08-20T02:26:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/uncategorized\/nz-dollar-rises-despite-rate-cut-expectations-and-high-inflation\/"},"modified":"2026-08-20T02:26:59","modified_gmt":"2026-08-20T02:26:59","slug":"nz-dollar-rises-despite-rate-cut-expectations-and-high-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/nz-dollar-rises-despite-rate-cut-expectations-and-high-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"NZ dollar rises despite rate cut expectations and high inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Key points:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>New Zealand&#8217;s CPI rose 0.4% in Q2, below the forecast of 0.5%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Annual inflation slowed to 3.3%, down from 4.0% in the previous quarter.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The New Zealand dollar strengthened on Wednesday as domestically-driven inflation remained high, though headline figures eased to a three-year low. Despite this, markets continue to expect around three rate cuts by the end of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/NZUSD-VTMarkets-17July-1024x462.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-14207\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">See: Kiwi on the rise, trading at 0.60744 as seen on the <a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\">VT Markets app<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">New Zealand&#8217;s consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.4% in the second quarter, slightly below the forecast of 0.5%. Annual inflation also slowed to 3.3%, down from 4.0% in the previous quarter, which was below the central bank&#8217;s expectation of 3.6%.<br><br>Also read: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/australian-and-nz-dollars-rise-against-the-yen-but-fall-against-the-dollar\/\">Australian and NZ dollars rise against the yen but fall against the dollar&nbsp;<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><strong>Non-tradable inflation slightly eases but remains above RBNZ forecast<\/strong><\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, non-tradable inflation, which focuses on domestic goods and services, remained high at 5.4%, just above the Reserve Bank of New Zealand&#8217;s (RBNZ) forecast of 5.3%, though it did ease from 5.8% in the previous quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The New Zealand dollar (NZDUSD) gained 0.4% to $0.6074, recovering its overnight losses against a strong US dollar. The currency faces resistance at the 200-day moving average of $0.6077.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Markets anticipate rate cuts following steady inflation report<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overall, the inflation report presented no major surprises. Following the RBNZ&#8217;s dovish shift last week, markets are pricing in a total easing of 70 basis points by year-end, with the first rate cut potentially happening as early as next month.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Australian dollar (AUDNZD) lost 0.5% to NZ$1.1075, moving away from a 20-month peak of NZ$1.1141 hit the previous day. It had been gaining on the kiwi due to a popular trade playing the policy divergence between Australia and New Zealand. Against the greenback, the Australian dollar (AUDUSD) remained flat at $0.6730, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/aussie-hits-six-month-high-kiwi-drops-on-u-s-rate-cut-speculation\/\">having fallen 0.4% overnight<\/a> to as low as $0.6712. Support is around $0.6714, while resistance is at the six-month top of $0.6798.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><strong>Local bonds rally on Fed rate cut expectations<\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/1810776904359715082\">Local bonds rallied alongside US Treasuries on expectations that the Federal Reserve is nearing a point where it will cut interest rates<\/a>. The three-year Australian bond yield (AU3YT=RR) slipped 2 basis points to 3.968%, the lowest level in three weeks, while the 10-year yield eased 4 basis points to 4.212%, also the lowest since late June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Traders are betting on a rally in the $27 trillion US Treasury market as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell casts a spotlight on the importance of US inflation data. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/QHzWWTbHKm\">https:\/\/t.co\/QHzWWTbHKm<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/1810776904359715082?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 9, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As markets digest these developments, the outlook for both the New Zealand and Australian dollars remains closely tied to upcoming monetary policy decisions and global economic trends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><br><\/strong><strong>Start trading now \u2014 click <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\"><strong>here<\/strong><\/a><strong> to create your live VT Markets account.<\/strong><\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>\n\n<!-- vt-src:14206 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key points: The New Zealand dollar strengthened on Wednesday as domestically-driven inflation remained high, though headline figures eased to a three-year low. Despite this, markets continue to expect around three rate cuts by the end of the year. See: Kiwi on the rise, trading at 0.60744 as seen on the VT Markets app. New Zealand&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/nz-dollar-rises-despite-rate-cut-expectations-and-high-inflation\/\" class=\"read-more\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56827","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Key points: The New Zealand dollar strengthened on Wednesday as domestically-driven inflation remained high, though headline figures eased to a three-year low. 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See: Kiwi on the rise, trading at 0.60744 as seen on the VT Markets app. New Zealand\u2019s Continue Reading","inLanguage":"en-US","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/#website"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/nz-dollar-rises-despite-rate-cut-expectations-and-high-inflation\/#breadcrumblist"},"author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/author\/josephine\/#author"},"creator":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/author\/josephine\/#author"},"datePublished":"2026-08-20T02:26:59+00:00","dateModified":"2026-08-20T02:26:59+00:00"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/","name":"VT Markets","inLanguage":"en-US","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/#organization"}}]},"og:locale":"en_US","og:site_name":"VT Markets -","og:type":"article","og:title":"NZ dollar rises despite rate cut expectations and high inflation - VT Markets","og:description":"Key points: The New Zealand dollar strengthened on Wednesday as domestically-driven inflation remained high, though headline figures eased to a three-year low. Despite this, markets continue to expect around three rate cuts by the end of the year. See: Kiwi on the rise, trading at 0.60744 as seen on the VT Markets app. New Zealand\u2019s Continue Reading","og:url":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/nz-dollar-rises-despite-rate-cut-expectations-and-high-inflation\/","article:published_time":"2026-08-20T02:26:59+00:00","article:modified_time":"2026-08-20T02:26:59+00:00","article:publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vtmarketsglobal\/","twitter:card":"summary_large_image","twitter:site":"@vtmarketsglobal","twitter:title":"NZ dollar rises despite rate cut expectations and high inflation - VT Markets","twitter:description":"Key points: The New Zealand dollar strengthened on Wednesday as domestically-driven inflation remained high, though headline figures eased to a three-year low. Despite this, markets continue to expect around three rate cuts by the end of the year. See: Kiwi on the rise, trading at 0.60744 as seen on the VT Markets app. New Zealand\u2019s Continue Reading","twitter:creator":"@vtmarketsglobal"},"aioseo_meta_data":{"post_id":"56827","title":null,"description":null,"keywords":null,"keyphrases":null,"primary_term":null,"canonical_url":null,"og_title":null,"og_description":null,"og_object_type":"default","og_image_type":"default","og_image_url":null,"og_image_width":null,"og_image_height":null,"og_image_custom_url":null,"og_image_custom_fields":null,"og_video":null,"og_custom_url":null,"og_article_section":null,"og_article_tags":null,"twitter_use_og":false,"twitter_card":"default","twitter_image_type":"default","twitter_image_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_fields":null,"twitter_title":null,"twitter_description":null,"schema":{"blockGraphs":[],"customGraphs":[],"default":{"data":{"Article":[],"Course":[],"Dataset":[],"FAQPage":[],"Movie":[],"Person":[],"Product":[],"ProductReview":[],"Car":[],"Recipe":[],"Service":[],"SoftwareApplication":[],"WebPage":[]},"graphName":"","isEnabled":true},"graphs":[]},"schema_type":"default","schema_type_options":null,"pillar_content":false,"robots_default":true,"robots_noindex":false,"robots_noarchive":false,"robots_nosnippet":false,"robots_nofollow":false,"robots_noimageindex":false,"robots_noodp":false,"robots_notranslate":false,"robots_max_snippet":null,"robots_max_videopreview":null,"robots_max_imagepreview":"large","priority":null,"frequency":null,"local_seo":null,"seo_analyzer_scan_date":"2026-08-20 09:33:18","breadcrumb_settings":null,"limit_modified_date":false,"open_ai":null,"ai":null,"created":"2026-08-20 02:26:59","updated":"2026-08-20 09:33:18","focus_keyword":null,"additional_keywords":null,"truseo_locale":null},"aioseo_breadcrumb":"<div class=\"aioseo-breadcrumbs\"><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\" title=\"Home\">Home<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/category\/analysis\/\" title=\"Today&apos;s Analysis\">Today's Analysis<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\tNZ dollar rises despite rate cut expectations and high inflation\n<\/span><\/div>","aioseo_breadcrumb_json":[{"label":"Home","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia"},{"label":"Today's Analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/category\/analysis\/"},{"label":"NZ dollar rises despite rate cut expectations and high inflation","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/nz-dollar-rises-despite-rate-cut-expectations-and-high-inflation\/"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56827","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56827"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56827\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56827"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56827"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56827"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}