{"id":56788,"date":"2026-08-20T02:20:51","date_gmt":"2026-08-20T02:20:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/uncategorized\/emerging-asian-currencies-and-stocks-surge-anticipating-fed-decision\/"},"modified":"2026-08-20T02:20:51","modified_gmt":"2026-08-20T02:20:51","slug":"emerging-asian-currencies-and-stocks-surge-anticipating-fed-decision","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/emerging-asian-currencies-and-stocks-surge-anticipating-fed-decision\/","title":{"rendered":"Emerging Asian currencies and stocks surge anticipating Fed decision"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>South Korean won and Thai baht lead gains among Asian currencies.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders are closely watching the Fed&#8217;s policy decision, with an 87% probability of a September rate cut.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Bank of Japan raises rates, causing initial yen appreciation followed by a pullback.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Emerging Asian currencies and stocks experienced gains on Wednesday as traders awaited the US Federal Reserve&#8217;s policy decision. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"South Korean won\">South Korean won<\/a> and the Thai baht led the way among currencies, rising by 0.6% and 0.5%, respectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/shared-image-15-1024x520.jpg\" alt=\"The chart displays the daily price movement of the USDKRW (US Dollar\/South Korean Won) pair. The trend is down by 0.52%. The opening price is 1380.37, the closing price is 1373.23, the high is 1381.82, and the low is 1370.1. The chart includes moving averages (5, 10, 20, 30), showing a recent period of consolidation with minor fluctuations around the moving averages. The MACD (26, 16, 9) histogram shows a flat to bearish momentum, with the MACD line and signal line converging. Trading volume indicates steady activity with no significant spikes. The chart reflects a relatively stable but slightly bearish market sentiment for the USDKRW pair.\" class=\"wp-image-14402\" style=\"width:1433px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>SEE: The USDKRW closing lower, implying a stronger KRW on the <a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"VT Markets App \">VT Markets App <\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Bank of Japan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/rates-bonds\/bank-japan-outline-bond-taper-plan-debate-rate-hike-timing-2024-07-30\/#:~:text=The%20decision%2C%20which%20defied%20dominant,in%20a%207%2D2%20vote.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"raised its short-term interest rate target\">raised its short-term interest rate target<\/a> to 0.25% and detailed a quantitative tightening plan. This initially pushed the yen to its highest level in a week, but the currency later pared all gains. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Other Asian currencies such as the Singapore dollar, Philippine peso, and Malaysian ringgit traded flat to 0.3% higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Tension is in the air<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While the anticipation is palpable, traders continue patiently awaiting the Fed&#8217;s decision, with market expectations leaning towards the central bank maintaining current interest rates. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, any hints at a potential rate cut in September are highly anticipated. As of time of writing, there is more than a 87% chance of a 25 basis-point reduction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">JUST IN \ud83d\udea8: There is now a 100% chance of a 25 bps interest rate cut by September, according to CME FedWatch <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/VxEf4itXYj\">pic.twitter.com\/VxEf4itXYj<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Barchart (@Barchart) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Barchart\/status\/1816586821964644703?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 25, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A potential Fed rate cut could influence Asian central banks to ease their policies. While this may not be universally beneficial for emerging Asian economies, it might lead to a risk-on sentiment for Asian currencies. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A wider interest rate differential typically attracts traders seeking higher returns, leading to boosted capital inflows into riskier emerging market assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Beyond the Fed decision<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While the US remains the centre of attention, traders are also awaiting inflation data from Indonesia and South Korea this week. This data is vital to understand the future stance of their respective central banks on interest rates. Both central banks held rates earlier in the month, indicating the need for more economic evidence before making any policy shifts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>You might be interested: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/asian-currencies-face-challenges-as-markets-react-to-trump-attack-fallout\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Asian currencies face challenges as markets react to Trump attack fallout\">Asian currencies face challenges as markets react to Trump attack fallout<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Most emerging Asian equities rose, buoyed by positive sentiment. Chinese stocks advanced by about 1.9%, driven by investor optimism following a Politburo meeting that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/china\/chinas-leaders-vow-step-up-policy-support-economy-2024-07-30\/?taid=66a891ccf7c6ff000117f55e&amp;utm_campaign=trueAnthem:+Trending+Content&amp;utm_medium=trueAnthem&amp;utm_source=twitter\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"revolved around boosting consumption, raise incomes, and simulate private investment.\">revolved around boosting consumption, raise incomes, and simulate private investment.<\/a> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">China&#39;s leaders vow to step up policy support for economy <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tePEPzDIB3\">https:\/\/t.co\/tePEPzDIB3<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/DaggdzGGVY\">pic.twitter.com\/DaggdzGGVY<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/1818182259544822157?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 30, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Other markets in Thailand, the Philippines, Malaysia, and Indonesia also saw gains, with increases ranging between 0.1% and 0.8%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Given the current market dynamics, the outlook for emerging Asian currencies and equities appears optimistic. Traders should remain cautious, however, the Fed rate decision and upcoming inflation data will play a key role in shaping market sentiment and movement in the near term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Create your live VT Markets account<\/strong><\/a><strong>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>start trading<\/strong><\/a><strong>&nbsp;now.<\/strong><\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>\n\n<!-- vt-src:14401 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emerging Asian currencies and stocks experienced gains on Wednesday as traders awaited the US Federal Reserve&#8217;s policy decision. The South Korean won and the Thai baht led the way among currencies, rising by 0.6% and 0.5%, respectively.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56788","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Emerging Asian currencies and stocks experienced gains on Wednesday as traders awaited the US Federal Reserve&#039;s policy decision. 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