{"id":56762,"date":"2026-08-20T02:17:21","date_gmt":"2026-08-20T02:17:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/uncategorized\/nzdusd-holds-gains-as-rate-cut-bets-ease-after-positive-employment-data\/"},"modified":"2026-08-20T02:17:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-20T02:17:21","slug":"nzdusd-holds-gains-as-rate-cut-bets-ease-after-positive-employment-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/nzdusd-holds-gains-as-rate-cut-bets-ease-after-positive-employment-data\/","title":{"rendered":"NZDUSD holds gains as rate cut bets ease after positive employment data"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The unemployment rate of New Zealand increased, but less than expected, in the second quarter, which provided some relief to the market.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Employment figures showed growth, and while annual wage inflation continued to slow for the fifth consecutive quarter, the deceleration was not as sharp as anticipated.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The likelihood of a rate cut by the Royal Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has dropped to 60%, down from nearly 100% earlier in the week.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The New Zealand dollar (Symbol: NZDUSD) maintained its position, staying close to a two-week high reached in the previous session. This stability comes on the back of mixed domestic economic data and external influences from a softer US dollar<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/NZDUSD-1024x473.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-14533\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Picture: NZDUSD trades near a two-week high after positive employment data, as observed on the<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\"><strong> <\/strong><strong>VT Markets app<\/strong><\/a><strong>.<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The resilience of the New Zealand dollar can largely be attributed to recent domestic economic data. The slight increase in the unemployment rate was better than expected, indicating that the labour market remains relatively strong despite global economic uncertainties. The employment growth further supported this view, suggesting that the economy is still on a solid footing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The slowdown in wage inflation, although ongoing, was less severe than anticipated, which has led to a reduction in the likelihood of an imminent rate cut by the Royal Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Traders have adjusted their positions accordingly, with market pricing now reflecting a 60% chance of a rate cut next week, compared to a nearly certain cut just days ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What else is affecting the value of the Kiwi?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Externally, the New Zealand dollar has found additional support from a weaker US dollar. The greenback has been under pressure following disappointing US jobs data, which has exacerbated fears of a looming recession.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week, suggesting fears the labor market is unraveling were overblown and the gradual softening in the labor market remains intact <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SNzWqjV6OY\">https:\/\/t.co\/SNzWqjV6OY<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/1821566061524718035?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 8, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Market outlook for the New Zealand dollar<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The diminished expectations of a rate cut by the RBNZ could provide upward momentum for the Kiwi in the near term. However, traders should take a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/blog\/education\/risk-management-your-guide-to-long-term-survival-as-a-forex-trader\/\">risk-management<\/a> approach as external factors, particularly developments in the US economy, could introduce volatility. Monitoring data releases, such as US jobless claims, will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\"><strong>Create your live VT Markets account<\/strong><\/a><strong> and<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\"><strong> <\/strong><strong>start trading<\/strong><\/a><strong> now.<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>\n\n<!-- vt-src:14531 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Points The New Zealand dollar (Symbol: NZDUSD) maintained its position, staying close to a two-week high reached in the previous session. This stability comes on the back of mixed domestic economic data and external influences from a softer US dollar Picture: NZDUSD trades near a two-week high after positive employment data, as observed on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/nzdusd-holds-gains-as-rate-cut-bets-ease-after-positive-employment-data\/\" class=\"read-more\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56762","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Key Points The New Zealand dollar (Symbol: NZDUSD) maintained its position, staying close to a two-week high reached in the previous session. This stability comes on the back of mixed domestic economic data and external influences from a softer US dollar Picture: NZDUSD trades near a two-week high after positive employment data, as observed on Continue Reading\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/nzdusd-holds-gains-as-rate-cut-bets-ease-after-positive-employment-data\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.1\" \/>\n\n\t\t<script type=\"text\/javascript\"> (function(c,l,a,r,i,t,y){ c[a]=c[a]||function(){(c[a].q=c[a].q||[]).push(arguments)}; t=l.createElement(r);t.async=1;t.src=\"https:\/\/www.clarity.ms\/tag\/\"+i; y=l.getElementsByTagName(r)[0];y.parentNode.insertBefore(t,y); })(window, document, \"clarity\", \"script\", \"hvd42hy9tt\"); <\/script>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets -\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"NZDUSD holds gains as rate cut bets ease after positive employment data - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Key Points The New Zealand dollar (Symbol: NZDUSD) maintained its position, staying close to a two-week high reached in the previous session. 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This stability comes on the back of mixed domestic economic data and external influences from a softer US dollar Picture: NZDUSD trades near a two-week high after positive employment data, as observed on Continue Reading","inLanguage":"en-US","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/#website"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/nzdusd-holds-gains-as-rate-cut-bets-ease-after-positive-employment-data\/#breadcrumblist"},"author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/author\/josephine\/#author"},"creator":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/author\/josephine\/#author"},"datePublished":"2026-08-20T02:17:21+00:00","dateModified":"2026-08-20T02:17:21+00:00"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/","name":"VT Markets","inLanguage":"en-US","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/#organization"}}]},"og:locale":"en_US","og:site_name":"VT Markets -","og:type":"article","og:title":"NZDUSD holds gains as rate cut bets ease after positive employment data - VT Markets","og:description":"Key Points The New Zealand dollar (Symbol: NZDUSD) maintained its position, staying close to a two-week high reached in the previous session. This stability comes on the back of mixed domestic economic data and external influences from a softer US dollar Picture: NZDUSD trades near a two-week high after positive employment data, as observed on Continue Reading","og:url":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/nzdusd-holds-gains-as-rate-cut-bets-ease-after-positive-employment-data\/","article:published_time":"2026-08-20T02:17:21+00:00","article:modified_time":"2026-08-20T02:17:21+00:00","article:publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vtmarketsglobal\/","twitter:card":"summary_large_image","twitter:site":"@vtmarketsglobal","twitter:title":"NZDUSD holds gains as rate cut bets ease after positive employment data - VT Markets","twitter:description":"Key Points The New Zealand dollar (Symbol: NZDUSD) maintained its position, staying close to a two-week high reached in the previous session. This stability comes on the back of mixed domestic economic data and external influences from a softer US dollar Picture: NZDUSD trades near a two-week high after positive employment data, as observed on Continue Reading","twitter:creator":"@vtmarketsglobal"},"aioseo_meta_data":{"post_id":"56762","title":null,"description":null,"keywords":null,"keyphrases":null,"primary_term":null,"canonical_url":null,"og_title":null,"og_description":null,"og_object_type":"default","og_image_type":"default","og_image_url":null,"og_image_width":null,"og_image_height":null,"og_image_custom_url":null,"og_image_custom_fields":null,"og_video":null,"og_custom_url":null,"og_article_section":null,"og_article_tags":null,"twitter_use_og":false,"twitter_card":"default","twitter_image_type":"default","twitter_image_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_fields":null,"twitter_title":null,"twitter_description":null,"schema":{"blockGraphs":[],"customGraphs":[],"default":{"data":{"Article":[],"Course":[],"Dataset":[],"FAQPage":[],"Movie":[],"Person":[],"Product":[],"ProductReview":[],"Car":[],"Recipe":[],"Service":[],"SoftwareApplication":[],"WebPage":[]},"graphName":"","isEnabled":true},"graphs":[]},"schema_type":"default","schema_type_options":null,"pillar_content":false,"robots_default":true,"robots_noindex":false,"robots_noarchive":false,"robots_nosnippet":false,"robots_nofollow":false,"robots_noimageindex":false,"robots_noodp":false,"robots_notranslate":false,"robots_max_snippet":null,"robots_max_videopreview":null,"robots_max_imagepreview":"large","priority":null,"frequency":null,"local_seo":null,"seo_analyzer_scan_date":"2026-08-20 09:02:28","breadcrumb_settings":null,"limit_modified_date":false,"open_ai":null,"ai":null,"created":"2026-08-20 02:17:21","updated":"2026-08-20 09:02:28","focus_keyword":null,"additional_keywords":null,"truseo_locale":null},"aioseo_breadcrumb":"<div class=\"aioseo-breadcrumbs\"><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\" title=\"Home\">Home<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/category\/analysis\/\" title=\"Today&apos;s Analysis\">Today's Analysis<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\tNZDUSD holds gains as rate cut bets ease after positive employment data\n<\/span><\/div>","aioseo_breadcrumb_json":[{"label":"Home","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia"},{"label":"Today's Analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/category\/analysis\/"},{"label":"NZDUSD holds gains as rate cut bets ease after positive employment data","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/nzdusd-holds-gains-as-rate-cut-bets-ease-after-positive-employment-data\/"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56762","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56762"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56762\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56762"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56762"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56762"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}