{"id":56604,"date":"2026-08-20T01:53:38","date_gmt":"2026-08-20T01:53:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/uncategorized\/wheat-prices-rise-with-supply-concerns\/"},"modified":"2026-08-20T01:53:38","modified_gmt":"2026-08-20T01:53:38","slug":"wheat-prices-rise-with-supply-concerns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/wheat-prices-rise-with-supply-concerns\/","title":{"rendered":"Wheat Prices Rise With Supply Concerns"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Chicago wheat futures rose 0.3% to $5.96-1\/4 per bushel, while soybeans and corn both dipped by 0.1%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Russia\u2019s wheat harvest is projected to fall by 16% from 2022, with 85 million tons collected so far.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chicago wheat futures have gained momentum as concerns mount over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-09-26\/australia-wheat-crop-dealt-another-blow-as-cold-snap-hits-south\" title=\"\"><strong>dry conditions affecting major global producers<\/strong><\/a>, such as Australia, Russia, and the U.S.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Russia, the world\u2019s top wheat exporter, forecasts its total grain harvest to drop to 132 million tons, down from a record 158 million in 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meanwhile, European wheat exports have also slowed, down 29% from last year. Despite this, steady planting progress in the U.S. has helped temper some of the concerns regarding dry weather.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/WhatsApp-Image-2024-10-09-at-09.57.33-1024x445.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15303\" style=\"width:1450px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picture: Wheat futures edge higher, supported by strong bullish momentum and key moving averages crossing above 5.800, as seen on the <a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\" title=\"\">VT Markets app<\/a>.<\/em><span data-lark-record-data=\"{&quot;rootId&quot;:&quot;GISzdwZwsotIngxVUN9lbyjYgid&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:{&quot;initialAttributedTexts&quot;:{&quot;text&quot;:{&quot;0&quot;:&quot;VT Markets app.&quot;},&quot;attribs&quot;:{&quot;0&quot;:&quot;*0*1*2+f&quot;}},&quot;apool&quot;:{&quot;numToAttrib&quot;:{&quot;0&quot;:[&quot;author&quot;,&quot;7416565344254312479&quot;],&quot;1&quot;:[&quot;italic&quot;,&quot;true&quot;],&quot;2&quot;:[&quot;link&quot;,&quot;https%3A%2F%2Fvtmarketsapp.onelink.me%2FCD7D%2F240525WA&quot;]},&quot;nextNum&quot;:3}},&quot;type&quot;:&quot;text&quot;,&quot;referenceRecordMap&quot;:{},&quot;extra&quot;:{&quot;channel&quot;:&quot;saas&quot;,&quot;pasteRandomId&quot;:&quot;ebd85f9f-aed8-4315-b639-4187e6a706cd&quot;,&quot;mention_page_title&quot;:{},&quot;external_mention_url&quot;:{}},&quot;isKeepQuoteContainer&quot;:false,&quot;isFromCode&quot;:false,&quot;selection&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:73,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;text&quot;,&quot;selection&quot;:{&quot;start&quot;:152,&quot;end&quot;:167},&quot;recordId&quot;:&quot;LDpCdNb26odqSNxeJujlojoLgQc&quot;}],&quot;payloadMap&quot;:{},&quot;isCut&quot;:false}\" data-lark-record-format=\"docx\/text\" class=\"lark-record-clipboard\"><\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wheat futures closed at 5.791, marking a modest rise of 0.68% during the session. The price fluctuated between a high of 5.801 and a low of 5.760, with the upward movement reflecting renewed buying interest after a recent consolidation phase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The moving averages (5, 10, and 30-period) provide a clear signal of bullish momentum. The price is trading above all three moving averages, with the shorter-term 5-period and 10-period MAs indicating strong short-term upward momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is further supported by the MACD (12, 26, 9), where the MACD line is trending above the signal line, and positive histogram bars are becoming more pronounced. This suggests that bullish momentum is gaining strength.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Positive Movements Anticipated<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Key support is seen near 5.653, which acted as a base for the recent upward rally. As long as the price remains above this level, traders may view pullbacks as potential buying opportunities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the upside, resistance is found around 5.803, which aligns with the session\u2019s high. A break above this level could lead to further gains, potentially targeting the 5.850 zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Given the strong bullish signals from both the moving averages and the MACD, the market for wheat futures appears poised for further upside, though any failure to break above resistance could result in a brief period of consolidation before the next directional move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Crop Forecasts to Weigh in on Wheat<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wheat\u2019s rally has outpaced corn and soybeans, which remain under pressure due to expectations of record U.S. harvests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Traders are now turning their attention to Friday\u2019s monthly U.S. government crop forecasts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>You might also like: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/dollar-pressures-soybean-and-wheat-prices\/\">Dollar Pressures Soybean and Wheat Prices | VT Markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Estimates for record yields in both U.S. corn and soybeans could maintain downward pressure on these markets, especially as Brazil anticipates rain to aid planting progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Crop Watch: Iowa corn yields jump after busy harvest week <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/fGQMB6EV78\">https:\/\/t.co\/fGQMB6EV78<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MWggRL2Uv4\">pic.twitter.com\/MWggRL2Uv4<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/1843564524449767801?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 8, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overall, wheat\u2019s price strength could continue if weather-related supply issues persist globally, though U.S. planting progress may moderate gains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\">here<\/a> to create your live VT Markets account.<\/strong><\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>\n\n<!-- vt-src:15301 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chicago wheat futures gained for a third straight session on Wednesday, driven by ongoing dry weather that threatens yields in key regions. &#8211; 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