{"id":56603,"date":"2026-08-20T01:53:35","date_gmt":"2026-08-20T01:53:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/uncategorized\/kiwi-hits-7-week-low-as-rbnz-eases-policy\/"},"modified":"2026-08-20T01:53:35","modified_gmt":"2026-08-20T01:53:35","slug":"kiwi-hits-7-week-low-as-rbnz-eases-policy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/kiwi-hits-7-week-low-as-rbnz-eases-policy\/","title":{"rendered":"Kiwi Hits 7-Week Low as RBNZ Eases Policy"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Key points:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The New Zealand dollar fell 0.6% to $0.6103 after the RBNZ cut rates by 50 basis points.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Markets are pricing in an 80% chance of another half-point cut in November.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The New Zealand dollar experienced a decline of 0.6%, dropping to $0.6103 following the RBNZ\u2019s rate cut of 50 basis points, bringing the official cash rate to 4.75%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This rate cut marks the second consecutive reduction by the central bank, with the previous one being a quarter-point cut in August.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The decision also removed the prior stance of maintaining restrictive policy for an extended period, signalling that future rate adjustments would rely on the bank\u2019s ongoing economic evaluation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-10-1024x465.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15306\" style=\"width:1450px;height:auto\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picture: NZD\/USD continuing its downward trend as it approaches critical support near 0.6090 on the <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\"><em>VT Markets app<\/em><\/a><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Traders Shift Focus to November Amid Expected Rate Cuts<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NZD\/USD closed at 0.60892, showing a <strong>decline of 0.80%<\/strong> during the session. The pair saw little recovery from its high of 0.61407, settling near its low of 0.60882. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The downward trend has remained consistent over the past sessions, reflected in the price <strong>continuing to trade below all key moving averages<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Traders are now turning their attention to the November meeting, where there is an 80% probability priced in for another cut of the same scale. This leaves rates forecast to reach around 3.0% by the close of 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With technical indicators pointing to persistent bearish momentum, the NZD\/USD may continue to face downward pressure unless there is a strong shift in market sentiment. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Traders may remain cautious as the pair hovers near key support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>In case you missed it: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/aussie-hits-2-month-high-against-yen-kiwi-struggles-on-policy-divergence\/\">Aussie Hits 2-Month High Against Yen, Kiwi Struggles<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Monetary policy divergence boosts Aussie against Kiwi<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meanwhile, the contrast between monetary policies in New Zealand and Australia became more evident. <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RBAInfo\/status\/1820678698980229400\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely anticipated to keep its rates steady at 4.35%<\/a>, with futures pricing indicating a 50% chance of a cut in December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This divergence between the two nations\u2019 central banks provided tailwinds for the Australian dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate target unchanged at 4.35 per cent and the interest rate paid on Exchange Settlement balances unchanged at 4.25 per cent &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PMEqZXdtWH\">https:\/\/t.co\/PMEqZXdtWH<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reserve Bank of Australia (@RBAInfo) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RBAInfo\/status\/1820678698980229400?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 6, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As a result, the Aussie gained 0.5% against the Kiwi dollar, rising to NZ$1.1047. However, it faces resistance at NZ$1.1055, a level that could present a challenge in the short term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Against the US dollar, the Australian dollar remained relatively stable at $0.6743. However, it had dropped 0.2% during the previous session, hitting a three-week low of $0.6713 as falling commodity prices dampened sentiment.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Australian dollar\u2019s performance often mirrors trends in China, given Australia&#8217;s reliance on commodity exports. Currently, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/usdcnh-on-the-move-amid-beijings-stimulus\/\">China\u2019s latest stimulus measures<\/a> <\/strong>appear to have lost momentum, cooling expectations of a strong recovery, which in turn influences the Australian dollar\u2019s movements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Start trading now \u2014 click <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\"><strong>here<\/strong><\/a><strong> to create your live VT Markets account.<\/strong><\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>\n\n<!-- vt-src:15305 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>New Zealand dollar fell to a 7-week low after the RBNZ&#8217;s half-point rate cut, raising expectations for further easing and impacting bond yields. &#8211; 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