{"id":51428,"date":"2026-03-26T18:34:35","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T18:34:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/sp-500-rebounds-as-war-delay-eases-pressure\/"},"modified":"2026-03-26T18:34:35","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T18:34:35","slug":"sp-500-rebounds-as-war-delay-eases-pressure","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/sp-500-rebounds-as-war-delay-eases-pressure\/","title":{"rendered":"S&amp;P 500 Rebounds as War Delay Eases Pressure"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/Nas4-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44332\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>S&amp;P 500 fell 1.74%<\/strong>, with futures now attempting a rebound.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Trump delays action by <strong>10 days<\/strong>, easing immediate risk sentiment.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Rising yields and energy prices continue to <strong>drive stagflation concerns<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">U.S. equity futures edged higher on Friday, with the <strong>S&amp;P 500 attempting to stabilise after a 1.74% drop<\/strong> in the previous session.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The rebound follows a heavy selloff across major indices, with the Dow falling 1.01% and the Nasdaq dropping<strong> 2.38%<\/strong>, led by weakness in technology stocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">US stocks sank on Thursday amid uncertainty over the Middle East conflict, with oil hovering above $100. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2fzKNYsZv8\">pic.twitter.com\/2fzKNYsZv8<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Yahoo Finance (@YahooFinance) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/YahooFinance\/status\/2037274905125785726?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 26, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Treasury yields moved higher during the session, putting pressure on valuations, particularly in growth sectors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Any recovery may remain fragile as yields and macro risks continue to weigh on sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Geopolitical Delay Offers Temporary Relief<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Markets found some relief after President Donald Trump extended the deadline for potential strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure by <strong>10 days<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The move suggests ongoing negotiations, reducing the immediate risk of escalation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In addition, Trump stated that Iran allowed <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/V07yd5KuOC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">10 oil tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz<\/a><\/strong>, easing concerns over a complete disruption in supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A senior officer onboard a tanker said his ship was given permission to pass through the Strait of Hormuz by Iran, and guided by the navy, following negotiations between Tehran and New Delhi <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/nlSPyDVkdi\">https:\/\/t.co\/nlSPyDVkdi<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2035266436117967266?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 21, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, Iran has rejected the U.S.\u2019s <strong>15-point proposal<\/strong> and presented its own conditions, including control over the Strait, keeping tensions unresolved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Relief rallies may be short-lived unless there is clear progress toward de-escalation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rising Yields and Energy Prices Drive Stagflation Fears<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The broader market reaction reflects growing concern over stagflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A sharp rise in energy prices is feeding into inflation expectations, while higher Treasury yields tighten financial conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Interest-rate strategists at Morgan Stanley say this month\u2019s Treasury market slump has hallmarks of forced selling of two-year notes, whose yields soared as traders abandoned wagers on Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts and began to price in a hike <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/rGSdCV7Tjw\">https:\/\/t.co\/rGSdCV7Tjw<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2036837056157024380?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 25, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This combination is particularly challenging for equities, as it raises discount rates while also threatening economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Technology stocks, which are sensitive to interest rate changes, led the decline in the previous session.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Continued pressure from yields may limit upside in equities, especially in rate-sensitive sectors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Technical Outlook Shows Downtrend Pressure<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong>S&amp;P 500 (SP500)<\/strong> is trading around <strong>6505<\/strong>, attempting a mild rebound after a sharp sell-off that drove price down to the <strong>~6439 low<\/strong>. The broader structure has shifted from a prior range into a <strong>clear short-term downtrend<\/strong>, and this bounce looks corrective rather than impulsive so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-33-1024x479.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-45659\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trend Structure and Momentum<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Price has <strong>broken below all key moving averages<\/strong>, with:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>MA5: 6556<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>MA10: 6598<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>MA20: 6687<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>MA30: 6752<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All moving averages are now <strong>sloping downward and stacked bearishly<\/strong>, confirming sustained downside pressure. The recent candles show <strong>lower highs and lower lows<\/strong>, which is classic trend continuation behaviour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The current bounce is testing the underside of the short-term averages, particularly the <strong>MA5 and MA10 zone (6550\u20136600)<\/strong>, which now acts as <strong>dynamic resistance<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Volume increased during the sell-off phase and has eased slightly during the bounce. That tells you <strong>buyers are not fully committed yet<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key Levels to Watch<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Immediate Resistance:<\/strong> 6550 \u2192 6600<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Stronger Resistance:<\/strong> 6685 \u2192 6750<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support:<\/strong> 6439 \u2192 6400<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Breakdown Level:<\/strong> Below 6400 opens 6300 region<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong>6439 low<\/strong> is the key near-term floor. A clean break below that level would likely accelerate downside momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the upside, price needs to reclaim <strong>6600 first<\/strong>, then <strong>6685 (MA20 zone)<\/strong> to shift sentiment back toward neutral.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Price Behaviour Insight<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The rejection from the <strong>7017 high<\/strong> earlier has led to a <strong>full structure shift<\/strong>. What used to be a sideways market has now transitioned into a <strong>distribution phase<\/strong>, followed by a breakdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The recent bounce shows:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Smaller candles<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Less aggressive buying<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance holding quickly<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is typical of a <strong>bearish pullback<\/strong>, not a reversal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What to Watch Next<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Watch how price reacts around <strong>6550\u20136600<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Rejection here:<\/strong> Likely continuation lower toward 6439 and potentially 6400<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Break and hold above 6600:<\/strong> Opens a squeeze toward 6685<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Also keep an eye on:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>US yields<\/strong> (higher yields pressure equities)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>USDX strength<\/strong> (strong dollar often weighs on risk assets)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cautious Outlook<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The short-term bias remains <strong>bearish while below 6600<\/strong>, with rallies likely to be sold into. Momentum only shifts if price can <strong>reclaim and hold above the 20-day average (~6685)<\/strong>. Until then, the structure favours <strong>lower highs and continued pressure on support zones<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What Traders Should Watch Next<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Markets remain driven by a mix of geopolitical and macro forces. Key areas to monitor include:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Progress in U.S.\u2013Iran negotiations<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Movement in Treasury yields<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Oil price stability and supply flows through Hormuz<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Performance of technology stocks<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For now, the S&amp;P 500 is attempting to find footing, but the balance between easing geopolitical risk and tightening financial conditions remains finely poised.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Learn more about trading <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/indices\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Indices<\/a> on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">VT Markets<\/a> today.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQs<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Why Did the S&amp;P 500 Fall Sharply Recently?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The S&amp;P 500 dropped <strong>1.74%<\/strong> due to rising Treasury yields, higher oil prices, and growing stagflation concerns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What Triggered the Rebound in US Stock Futures?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Futures rose after Trump delayed potential strikes on Iran by <strong>10 days<\/strong>, easing immediate geopolitical fears.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>How Do Rising Oil Prices Affect US Stocks?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Higher oil prices increase inflation risk, raise costs for businesses, and pressure central banks to keep policy tight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Why Are Treasury Yields Important for Equities?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rising yields increase borrowing costs and reduce the present value of future earnings, weighing on stock valuations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Why Did Technology Stocks <\/strong><strong>Lead<\/strong><strong> the Decline?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tech stocks are more sensitive to interest rates, so higher yields tend to trigger stronger selloffs in the sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What Are Stagflation Risks and Why Do They Matter?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stagflation combines slowing growth with rising inflation, which is challenging for both equities and central banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Is the Current Market Bounce Sustainable?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The rebound may be fragile unless yields stabilise and geopolitical tensions ease.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n<p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Start trading now &#8211; Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SP500 steadies after sharp losses as Trump delays Iran strike and markets weigh stagflation risks. | VT Markets<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":51464,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51428","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - 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