{"id":43387,"date":"2025-12-23T03:28:52","date_gmt":"2025-12-22T19:28:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/amid-expectations-of-a-fed-rate-cut-and-usd-decline-silver-rises-above-69\/"},"modified":"2025-12-23T03:28:52","modified_gmt":"2025-12-22T19:28:52","slug":"amid-expectations-of-a-fed-rate-cut-and-usd-decline-silver-rises-above-69","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/live-updates\/amid-expectations-of-a-fed-rate-cut-and-usd-decline-silver-rises-above-69\/","title":{"rendered":"Amid expectations of a Fed rate cut and USD decline, silver rises above $69."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Silver reached a new all-time high above $69, driven by a weaker US Dollar and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts. Geopolitical tensions and thinner year-end liquidity have reinforced demand for non-yielding assets, benefiting Silver.<\/p>\n<p>Silver&#8217;s price increased to around $69.05, a 2.75% rise, continuing its bullish momentum. The macroeconomic environment, with expectations of US monetary easing and a softer US labour market, supported this upward trend in precious metals.<\/p>\n<p>The US Dollar Index slightly declined to 98.35, making Silver more attractive internationally. Geopolitical tensions involving Iran, Israel, and Venezuela, alongside the ongoing Ukraine war, have maintained a high level of global uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>As year-end approaches, declining liquidity might cause temporary fluctuations in Silver&#8217;s price. However, US economic data releases could influence its short-term direction. Despite potential pauses, expectations of an accommodative monetary policy and US Dollar weakness maintain a positive outlook for Silver.<\/p>\n<p>Silver is valued for its use as a store of value and in industry, especially in electronics and solar energy. Its price is also linked to Gold&#8217;s movements, and both serve as safe-haven assets. Silver&#8217;s value is affected by industrial demand, geopolitical instability, and US Dollar fluctuations.<\/p>\n<p>With silver hitting a new all-time high above $69, we are in a clear momentum-driven market. This move is fueled by strong expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep cutting interest rates into 2026 and a weak US Dollar. For derivative traders, the path of least resistance appears to be upward, making bullish strategies the primary focus.<\/p>\n<p>The market is now pricing in over a 75% probability of another Fed rate cut by the end of the first quarter of 2026, a significant catalyst for non-yielding assets. This sentiment has helped push the US Dollar Index down to the 98.35 level, a stark contrast to the highs above 110 we saw back in 2022. This sustained dollar weakness makes silver cheaper for foreign buyers, adding fuel to the fire.<\/p>\n<p>In this environment, we are seeing implied volatility in silver options rise, which makes them more expensive but also presents opportunities. Traders could consider buying call options to participate in further gains or, for those with higher risk tolerance, selling out-of-the-money puts to collect the rich premiums. Using vertical call spreads can also be a cost-effective way to express a bullish view while defining risk.<\/p>\n<p>This rally is also notable when we look at the Gold\/Silver ratio, which has tightened to nearly 65, down from levels above 80 we observed in recent years. This indicates silver is outperforming gold, a dynamic not seen with this force since the 2011 precious metals bull run. We should monitor this ratio closely, as a stall could suggest silver&#8217;s outperformance is becoming stretched.<\/p>\n<p>Heading into the final weeks of 2025, liquidity will be thin, which can lead to exaggerated price swings or a sharp reversal on profit-taking. Recent US industrial production figures came in slightly weaker than expected last week, which may temper some of the enthusiasm around industrial demand. We must remain alert for a potential pullback once full trading volume returns in January 2026.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Silver hits record $69, fueled by Fed rate cut hopes, weak Dollar, and rising geopolitical tensions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43387","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43387","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43387"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43387\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43387"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43387"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43387"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}