{"id":41396,"date":"2026-02-10T10:35:18","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T02:35:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=41396"},"modified":"2026-02-10T10:35:18","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T02:35:18","slug":"dollar-retreats-as-treasury-concerns-weigh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/featured\/dollar-retreats-as-treasury-concerns-weigh\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Retreats as Treasury Concerns Weigh"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/image_fx_-2025-03-14T112706.474-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-18365\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USDX fell over 1% across two sessions, now hovering at 96.76.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>China reportedly limits US Treasury exposure, dampening demand.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>The US Dollar Index (USDX) slipped to <strong>96.761<\/strong> after back-to-back declines exceeding <strong>1%<\/strong>, holding beneath the psychological 97 level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fall follows renewed unease over demand for US Treasuries, sparked by reports that Chinese regulators advised institutions to cut exposure to American government bonds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Treasuries extended losses after Chinese regulators reportedly asked the nation\u2019s financial institutions to rein in their holdings of US bonds <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/BrhObrBHuN\">https:\/\/t.co\/BrhObrBHuN<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2020748060662342072?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 9, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Beijing\u2019s move is seen as a pre-emptive hedge against future policy volatility out of Washington.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Policy Outlook Under Scrutiny<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Trader focus has shifted toward the delayed US <strong>jobs and inflation<\/strong> data due this week. Any dovish surprise could cement expectations for a looser Fed later in the year. Markets currently price in <strong>two rate cuts in 2026<\/strong>, with the first expected around <strong>June<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">US consumer expectations for inflation and the job market improved slightly in January, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/GFwL2F6bMk\">https:\/\/t.co\/GFwL2F6bMk<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2020892223223513111?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 9, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>White House economic adviser <strong>Kevin Hassett<\/strong> added to the caution, warning that <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/mKhASpV1EN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">job gains may taper in coming months<\/a> due to shrinking labour force participation and a rise in productivity. This reinforces the view that while the US economy remains resilient, its capacity to add jobs may be waning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fed officials continue to signal patience. A March rate hold is all but confirmed, with the central bank awaiting clearer signals from both inflation and wage pressures before adjusting policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>US Dollar Index (USDX)<\/strong> is trading at <strong>96.761<\/strong>, up slightly by <strong>+0.057 (+0.06%)<\/strong>, but remains under pressure following a sharp reversal from recent highs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After peaking near <strong>100.321<\/strong> in November, the index has entered a prolonged downtrend, marked by a series of lower highs and lower lows. A brief rebound off the recent low of <strong>95.339<\/strong> offered some relief, but upside momentum has since faltered.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/image-11-1024x474.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-41397\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, the price is trading <strong>below all major moving <\/strong><strong>averages<\/strong>\u2014with the <strong>MA5 at 97.263<\/strong>, <strong>MA10 at 96.999<\/strong>, and <strong>MA30 at 97.813<\/strong>\u2014indicating a bearish structure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The short-term bounce failed to clear resistance around the <strong>97.5\u201397.8<\/strong> zone, and selling pressure has resumed. Volume remains moderate, and without a clear catalyst, the dollar could revisit its recent lows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A break below <strong>95.339<\/strong> would open the door toward <strong>94.90<\/strong>, while reclaiming the <strong>97.80<\/strong> handle is needed to shift sentiment back to bullish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Cautious Outlook<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In the near term, USDX may remain rangebound between 95.50 and 97.30 as traders await the upcoming CPI and NFP releases. The market appears cautious, with risk appetite fragile and the dollar lacking strong directional momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should inflation surprise to the downside or job growth slow materially, expectations for rate cuts may firm, potentially adding further pressure to the dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Markets will also keep a close eye on <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Jbu8eLRImL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">China\u2019s future bond-buying<\/a> behaviour and any fresh commentary from Fed Chair Jerome Powell that may shift the tone of policy expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Learn more about trading <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/indices\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Indices<\/a> on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">VT Markets<\/a> today.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USDX dips amid reduced China demand for Treasuries and upcoming US inflation data risk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":18365,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[25,31],"tags":[9,11],"class_list":["post-41396","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-analysis","tag-dollar","tag-indices"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":""},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41396","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41396"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41396\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18365"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41396"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41396"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41396"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}