{"id":40509,"date":"2026-01-30T17:46:43","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T09:46:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/in-the-fourth-quarter-germanys-gdp-growth-exceeded-forecasts-achieving-0-4-instead-of-0-3\/"},"modified":"2026-01-30T17:46:43","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T09:46:43","slug":"in-the-fourth-quarter-germanys-gdp-growth-exceeded-forecasts-achieving-0-4-instead-of-0-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/live-updates\/in-the-fourth-quarter-germanys-gdp-growth-exceeded-forecasts-achieving-0-4-instead-of-0-3\/","title":{"rendered":"In the fourth quarter, Germany\u2019s GDP growth exceeded forecasts, achieving 0.4% instead of 0.3%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Germany&#8217;s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter of 2025 registered a year-over-year growth rate of 0.4%. This figure exceeded expectations, which had been set at 0.3%.<\/p>\n<p>In quarter-over-quarter terms, Germany&#8217;s preliminary GDP rose by 0.3% in the fourth quarter, exceeding the expected increase of 0.2%. The Euro, however, did not benefit from the stronger-than-expected German GDP data, as EUR\/USD remained below 1.1950 in European trading.<\/p>\n<h3>Global Market Reactions<\/h3>\n<p>Other financial markets showed varied responses to recent economic news. GBP\/USD recovered above 1.3750 as attention shifted to events in the United States, including the announcement of a Federal Reserve Chair pick. Gold remained pressured amid a stronger US Dollar, while Stellar slipped to a three-month low.<\/p>\n<p>On the investment front, Microsoft experienced a sell-off, which etched a $400 billion hole in the market. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple faced weekly losses of 6%, 3%, and 5%, respectively, indicating continued bearish momentum.<\/p>\n<p>For those interested in trading, various resources are available, such as choosing the best brokers globally, including those with low spreads, high leverage, or swap-free accounts, among others. Properly researching investment options remains essential due to inherent market risks.<\/p>\n<p>Germany\u2019s slightly better-than-expected GDP growth is a minor positive, but it is not enough to change the bigger picture for Europe. We saw industrial production figures stagnate for most of 2025, and the latest ZEW Economic Sentiment survey from January actually fell to -8.5, showing that major investors remain pessimistic. This small GDP beat will be easily overshadowed by more powerful market forces.<\/p>\n<h3>Federal Reserve Impact<\/h3>\n<p>The main event driving all markets is the likely nomination of Kevin Warsh as the new Fed Chair, which is making the US Dollar much stronger. A Warsh-led Fed is expected to be more aggressive in fighting inflation, meaning higher interest rates for longer than previously anticipated. We should be pricing in this new reality, which favors dollar strength against other currencies.<\/p>\n<p>For the EUR\/USD, the drop below 1.1950 is a significant technical break, putting the lows from last fall back in play. We should expect currency volatility, which sat near historic lows for much of 2025, to spike significantly around the official White House announcement. Derivative traders should consider strategies like buying straddles to profit from a large move in either direction.<\/p>\n<p>Gold&#8217;s sharp reversal from record highs is a direct consequence of the stronger dollar and the expectation of higher real yields. As we saw during the rate-hiking cycle of 2022, higher yields make non-yielding assets like gold less attractive. We should consider buying puts on gold futures or shorting the metal to hedge against further declines from its current price below $5,100.<\/p>\n<p>The sell-off in tech stocks, highlighted by Microsoft&#8217;s massive drop, signals that the market is quickly repricing growth-oriented sectors. Higher interest rates hurt the valuation of companies whose main profits are expected far in the future, similar to the dynamic we saw in 2022. Protective puts on the Nasdaq 100 index are a prudent way to shield portfolios from further downside.<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Germany&#8217;s Q4 GDP beats expectations at 0.4% annually; markets see mixed reactions across currencies and assets.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":17022,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40509","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40509","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40509"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40509\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17022"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40509"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40509"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40509"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}