Nasdaq Futures experienced a rebound from the lower structure, reclaiming the central pivot, signalling continued adherence to the broader framework. Despite recent efforts to breach 26036, recurring rejections have maintained the market’s existing structural boundaries.<\/p>\n
Since December 30, the macro price structure has remained unchanged, with the Nasdaq Futures desk noting a pattern of higher lows. Price behaviour within predefined levels continues to shape market dynamics, marked by three failed attempts to break the upper structure since November 2025.<\/p>\n
On the daily chart, Nasdaq Futures rebounded from 25051, reclaiming the central pivot of 25405, but struggles to surpass the resistance band between 25794 and 26036. Until acceptance above 26036, the market remains balanced within defined structural limits, with higher lows suggesting steady progression.<\/p>\n
As the London session approaches, Nasdaq Futures trades around 25706, above the central pivot. With 25794 and 26036 as key resistance points, the market anticipates either a move above 26036 or continued rotation within these boundaries. This balance between maintaining a controlled environment and moving forward is crucial to potential structural shifts.<\/p>\n
Current updates to other markets mention a sustained uptrend in gold approaching $5,000 per troy ounce and Bitcoin confronting volatility below $90,000. These observations aim to document market structure and behaviour rather than provide financial advice.<\/p>\n
Given the rebound from 25051 and the reclaim of the 25405 central pivot, our immediate focus is on the significant resistance at 26036. The market has repeatedly failed at this ceiling since late 2025, making it the most important level to watch. This repeated rejection suggests that short-term derivative plays, such as selling call options with strike prices above 26200, could be considered to capitalize on the well-defined range.<\/p>\n
This price behaviour aligns with recent economic data, as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released on January 21st showed a 3.1% year-over-year increase, slightly above the 2.9% forecast. This persistence in inflation tempers expectations for imminent rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, justifying the market\u2019s hesitation to break into new highs. Therefore, we should anticipate that the 26036 level will continue to act as a strong barrier in the near term.<\/p>\n
The options market seems to be pricing in this consolidation, with the Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index (VXN) holding steady around the 18 level for the past week. This indicates that traders are not positioning for a major breakout but rather a continuation of this balanced, two-way action. This lack of fear supports strategies that benefit from time decay and a lack of sharp directional movement.<\/p>\n
For the coming weeks, this structure suggests opportunities in selling premium around the established boundaries. We are looking at strategies like selling put options below the recent higher low of 25051, which capitalizes on the demonstrated buyer support. This approach allows us to collect income while the broader structure of higher lows remains intact.<\/p>\n
Our strategy must remain flexible and tied to these key levels. A daily close above 26036 would serve as a clear signal that the market character is changing, invalidating the range-bound thesis and forcing us to shift from selling calls to considering long positions. Until that happens, the prudent approach is to trade the rotation between the established support and resistance zones.<\/p>\n
This consolidation period is logical when we view it in the context of the strong rally we saw in the fourth quarter of 2025, where the index gained over 12%. Markets often enter a balancing phase to digest such significant gains before the next major directional move. We will continue to let the market\u2019s reaction at these predefined levels guide our response rather than predicting an outcome.<\/p>\n
Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Nasdaq Futures rebound from lower structure, face resistance near 26036, maintaining balance within defined market levels.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":16985,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40005","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40005","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40005"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40005\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16985"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40005"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40005"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40005"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}