Nasdaq March futures remain in a rotational pattern, trading between the central pivot of 25,405 and the upper resistance, outlined by micro levels 25,794 to 26,036. Current movements suggest the market has not yet achieved acceptance into the upper structure, despite attempts to move past micro 1 at 25,794.<\/p>\n
The market framework, based on prior updates, maintains its structure as the price behaviour around predefined pivot and resistance levels is evaluated. If sustained acceptance above micro 2 at 26,036 is achieved, micro levels 26,231 to 26,703 come into focus. Failure to maintain above 25,794 could see rotations back towards balance, potentially reopening lower structure levels from 25,186 to 24,625.<\/p>\n
Intraday structure on a 15-minute chart reveals a stalling below micro levels 25,739 to 25,879, with price moving back to the 25,514 central pivot. Holding above 25,514 could align the intraday framework with daily patterns, suggesting another upward attempt. A failure below this level spotlights downside references between 25,442 and 24,924, indicating a potential shift back to lower structures. The overall market behaviour remains closely linked to acceptance and rejection patterns at strategic levels within the market environment.<\/p>\n
As we close out 2025, the Nasdaq is giving us mixed signals, rotating between key levels without a clear direction. Price is currently stuck between the 25,405 pivot point and resistance near 26,036. This indecisiveness means we should be patient, as the market has not yet confirmed a move into the upper price structure.<\/p>\n
The broader economic picture supports this hesitation. While Q3 2025 GDP showed solid growth at 2.5%, the latest November CPI data revealed core inflation is still hovering at 2.8%, keeping the Federal Reserve cautious. After the Fed held interest rates steady at 3.75% in their mid-December meeting, the market is now waiting for a clearer signal for 2026, leading to the current sideways price action.<\/p>\n
Given the low liquidity typical of the final week of the year, we must be wary of false breakouts. The attempted rally that we saw after December 19 has clearly stalled below the 25,794 level, showing that buyers are not yet strong enough. This reinforces the need to wait for a decisive move rather than trying to predict one in these thin market conditions.<\/p>\n
For those looking at bullish positions, the strategy is to wait for a confirmed break and hold above 26,036. A move like this would signal that the market has finally accepted the higher price range and is ready to target the next levels around 26,231 to 26,703. Until that happens, entering a long position is essentially gambling on an unresolved move.<\/p>\n
Conversely, a bearish stance becomes more viable if the market loses the 25,405 central pivot. A sustained trade below this balance point would indicate the recent upside attempt has failed completely. This would shift our focus to the lower support zone between 25,186 and 24,625.<\/p>\n
The increase in market caution is also reflected in the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), which has crept up to 17 from its lows earlier in the month. This suggests traders are buying protection against potential downside, aligning with the failure to secure higher ground. The typical “Santa Claus rally” we saw in the weeks leading up to this point seems to have run out of steam right at this critical resistance.<\/p>\n
For now, the structure remains two-way, meaning the market could break in either direction. We should watch how price reacts around the intraday pivot of 25,514 for short-term clues. Our job is to observe these predefined levels and react to how the market behaves, not to force a trade where there is no clear opportunity.<\/p>\n
Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Nasdaq futures rotate near key pivots; market seeks acceptance above resistance to confirm upward structural shift.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":16984,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38028","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38028","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38028"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38028\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16984"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38028"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38028"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38028"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}