{"id":37790,"date":"2025-12-29T14:27:39","date_gmt":"2025-12-29T06:27:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=37790"},"modified":"2025-12-29T14:27:39","modified_gmt":"2025-12-29T06:27:39","slug":"rupee-softens-as-dollar-demand-persists","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/rupee-softens-as-dollar-demand-persists\/","title":{"rendered":"Rupee Softens as Dollar Demand Persists"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/Image_fx-34-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-35977\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USDINR traded at 89.9475, weaker than Friday\u2019s close of 89.85.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bankers paid a premium of around 1.5 paisa to buy dollars at the RBI reference rate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Indian rupee weakened on Monday as steady corporate demand for dollars filtered through private banks, keeping pressure on the currency despite the absence of major global catalysts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDINR was quoted at 89.9475 per dollar at 11:04 am IST, softer than Friday\u2019s close of 89.85, after opening the session at 89.88.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Rupee may face NDF pressure, bonds eye demand before quarter-end <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qZuDQKv2ho\">https:\/\/t.co\/qZuDQKv2ho<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qZuDQKv2ho\">https:\/\/t.co\/qZuDQKv2ho<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/2005520430153478295?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 29, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Traders described the move as flow-driven rather than sentiment-led. Demand appeared linked to routine client requirements rather than speculative positioning, which limited the pace of the decline but kept the rupee biased weaker through the morning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">RBI Reference Rate Interest Adds Pressure<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Additional pressure came from demand to buy dollars around the Reserve Bank of India\u2019s reference rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to market participants, banks were willing to pay a premium of about 1.5 paisa to secure dollars at the RBI fixing. This behaviour pointed to underlying demand for the greenback even as spot volumes remained moderate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Currency intervention by the India&#39;s central bank has become more unpredictable, discouraging rupee traders from making speculative bets. But it also risks a deeper slump in the currency <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hQVsuNgsuM\">https:\/\/t.co\/hQVsuNgsuM<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2004405135854686542?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 26, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One trader noted that after opening higher, the dollar-rupee pair continued to edge up without any single dominant trigger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Another said the probability of USDINR slipping decisively past the 90.00 level appeared low for Monday\u2019s session, given the <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PFa8XawVxu\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">lack of aggressive follow-through buying<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Structure Still Favours Upside<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDINR is trading in a sideways consolidation just below the recent high of <strong>91.431<\/strong>, following a strong uptrend from the 84.90 region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The price is supported by the 30-day moving average, with all MAs still trending upward\u2014indicating bullish structure remains intact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/1_image-41-1024x449.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-37791\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong>MACD<\/strong> has crossed into bearish territory, with the histogram shrinking and the signal lines rolling over\u2014suggesting momentum is fading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A break below the 89.80\u201390.00 region could signal a pullback toward 88.50.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Cautious Near-Term Outlook<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The rupee may continue to trade with a mild weakening bias as long as routine dollar demand persists and the dollar index holds firm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, the <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MtvAEnBoVI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">absence of strong speculative pressure<\/a> and the RBI\u2019s presence around key levels may limit sharp moves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the near term, USDINR may oscillate between 89.70 and 90.10, with any break higher likely dependent on a renewed pickup in dollar demand or stronger global cues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Learn more about trading <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Forex Pairs<\/a> on VT Markets <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/Insights\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">here<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Indian rupee slips toward 90 as routine dollar demand and RBI fixing interest keep USDINR supported. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":35977,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[10,80],"class_list":["post-37790","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-forex","tag-rupee"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":""},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - 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